Format: Online

Why is the property market joining the podcast party?

If there’s one thing that received a boost as a result of Covid and lockdowns, it’s podcasts – which reached whole new audiences as people sought to while away the extra hours at their disposal.

They were nothing new – first receiving real prominence with the podcasts featuring Ricky Gervais, Stephen Merchant and Karl Pilkington – but received a major boost as anyone who’s anyone, from Louis Theroux to Peter Crouch, got involved with the podcast boom.

There are a huge range of podcasts out there covering pretty much every topic, from cooking, crime, sport and music to politics, science and history. Popular platforms for podcasts include BBC Sounds, Spotify, Audible, Google and Apple.

Some of the most popular podcasts include Off Menu with comedians Ed Gamble and James Acaster, My Dad Wrote a Porno, Diary of a CEO with Steven Bartlett, The Adam Buxton Podcast, That Peter Crouch Podcast, Newscast, Rob Beckett and Josh Widdicombe’s Parenting Hell and No Such Thing as a Fish.

Well-known TV shows frequently have podcast spin-offs nowadays, while sites like the Guardian and the Telegraph have popular weekly pods discussing football, business and politics.

Most podcasts are either half an hour or an hour in length, although this varies, and typically have a clear structure, format and tone that is utilised in each episode. People often listen to them while they’re commuting, out on a walk or run, while driving in the car or during their lunch hour.

Many have built loyal and large followings who eagerly wait to tune in each week, and are often encouraged to get involved in the podcast itself via various means. Some have even turned successful podcasts into live shows to physical audiences.

And now, it seems, property is keen to get in on the podcast act. Just in the last few weeks, OnTheMarket, buying agency Black Brick, The Guild and Just Move In (featuring former Propertymark CEO Mark Hayward) have launched podcasts.

There are also longer-running property podcasts such as The World Class Agency podcast with Homesearch’s Sam Hunter and love2move’s Mark Worrall, and the two Robs (Rob Dix and Rob Bence) who focus on everything to do with property investment in their podcasts over at Property Hub. Plus, of course, property royalty and EAT columnist, Phil Spencer, has a regular property podcast through his Move iQ platform.

Whisper it for now, but the Today sites hopefully has a podcast offering in the offing, too – watch this space! This comes as news sites increasingly tap into the power and reach of the humble pod.

Why are they becoming more popular?

Podcasts have become a trend that is hard to ignore – and have fully established themselves alongside radio, TV and audio books in the nation’s psyche. Their popularity, as mentioned before, was given a massive boost by the pandemic.

With more spare time on their hands, and more hours spent walking, cycling and running, people turned to podcasts to accompany them on these pursuits, to distract their minds, to allow them to escape to somewhere else.

The very best podcasts captivate you for 30 or 60 minutes and leave you constantly wanting more. They can be used to entertain, inform and educate, making them perfect platforms for major property discussions.

But they also thrive on personal or funny stories, or getting to know someone or something you previously had little knowledge of.

They can be longer-form, more spontaneous and more conversational than video interviews or traditional Q&As. They can help to go in-depth on a particular topic or offer pithy bite-sized summaries of a major topical discussion point.

From a property person’s point of view, they allow more exposure – on social media and elsewhere – the chance to build brand awareness, the chance to be seen as an authority on a given subject, and also the chance to entertain, inform and educate listeners, offering a human side to the property market that is too often overlooked.

This excellent article from Simply Business helps to explain how people should go about launching a podcast if they’ve not done it before.

Will they be a short-term fad or something more long-term?

This will largely depend on the success of the new podcasts that have recently hit the market. For all the joy, escapism, information and educational content they can provide listeners with, they do also take a lot of time, effort and organising.

If this isn’t reflected in strong listener numbers, enthusiasm for making them could start to wane. There are a few property podcasts that have already established themselves, including the aforementioned World Class Agency Podcast with Sam Hunter and Mark Worrall, and the team at Property Hub, but property podcasts do remain niche for now.

That is starting to change with more and more now offering podcasts, ranging from agencies and trade bodies to portals.

It will be interesting to see how these go down with audiences as the property market continues to become more multi-media than ever.

Here at the Today sites, we’re always looking for ways to make the content we provide as engaging and interactive as possible, and podcasts could be the next stage of that evolution.

It’s certainly something to keep an eye on over the next months to see if the post-pandemic podcast boom continues.

Award-winning editor

For the Today sites, we’ve always been keen to have the very best in the business penning our daily breaking news stories. For years, multi-awarding winning journalist Graham Norwood has been doing fantastic work across a number of our publications. When he stepped down from Estate Agent Today earlier this year, we hired Marc Shoffman to take over.

We knew we were getting a respected and award-winning journalist when we signed him up, but it’s excellent to have that reaffirmed by fresh awards success.

On Thursday night, Marc won Freelance Journalist of the Year at the Headlinemoney awards 2022. Here’s what the judges had to say about him:

“With so many freelancers plying their trade in the financial space this is always a competitive category to win. As it turned out, one name had already emerged from the shortlist after the first round of judging. When the panellists convened to make their final decision, it was a relatively straightforward task to go on and name Marc Shoffman as the winner for the second year in a row.

“Marc is a top-notch freelancer with an eye for an exclusive and the journalist nous to dig into tough topics, get results and convey that well in his writing,” one judge commented. “A clear stand-out with excellent investigations into issues that are likely to impact many readers, with evidence of enacting real change,” said another.

An outstanding achievement and we’re very glad to have Marc and the consistently excellent, and equally award-winning, Mr Norwood on board. Keep up the great work, chaps!

Until next time…

Why now is the best time in years to downsize your home

House prices are on the turn and older homeowners are taking advantage

By Ruth Bloomfield.

Clive and Gina Collins are a practical sort of couple. Barely had their youngest daughter left home before they began to consider what to do with the family house they had lived in for 26 years. Last summer, after a pandemic spent ruthlessly decluttering, their decision was made. They sold the 1920s house and moved into a brand new apartment.

Their timing has been impeccable. A perfect storm of factors – household bills rocketing, interest rates rising and warnings that house price growth will start to taper off – means that there has rarely been a better time to downsize.

As mortgage rates rise, the market could now be peaking. Buying agent Camilla Dell of Black Brick, said savvy downsizers were already trying to “cash in before the market takes a turn”.

Lucian Cook, of estate agency Savills, agreed that the market appeared to be at a turning point.

“But we have just had a strong burst of house price growth, the first for several years, and that means the gains made on an existing home will far outweigh the increased costs of buying a smaller property, even with stamp duty,” he said. “And as we go into winter, the cost of running and heating a larger home will start to become a greater issue.”

‘I would have been spending £1k a month on bills’

The Collinses, both 62, had raised their two daughters in a five-bedroom house in Bushey, Hertfordshire. With its large garden it was a great home for children, but Mr Collins was keenly aware how much it cost to maintain.

“With gas and electricity going through the roof I would probably have been spending £800 to £1,000 a month on bills if we had stayed,” he said. “It also cost a lot to pay gardeners and cleaners.”

New research from estate agent ­Purplebricks suggested that many other homeowners were making similar calculations. More than half of all house hunters would be willing to downsize if it would cut their bills, it found. Of those in the process of downsizing, 60pc were doing so specifically to reduce ­household costs.

Tom Greenacre, of Purplebricks, said: “People’s concerns over increasing energy bills are now translating into real action. Some are taking the significant step of downsizing their home and are moving somewhere smaller to save on household bills, a reversal of the ‘race for space’ we saw at the start of the pandemic.”

The Collinses sold their family house for £1.255m. Their apartment, at Squires Park, Bushey, which they share with their dog, Teddy, cost £860,000. They spent some of the equity they released on furnishing their new home and put the rest into a pension.

Over the past year, while most of the country despairs at rising bills, the couple have seen their living costs drop. Their power bills are down from £450 a month in their old home to around £250 a month.

Beyond releasing equity by buying a more modest home, the day-to-day savings of downsizing can be significant. A study by the AimC4 project suggested that domestic gas and electricity costs were around £15 per sq m per year. Bills have gone up dramatically since the research was done, so these costs are now likely to be closer to £25 per sq m. So moving from a 140 sq m (1,500 sq ft) house to a 65 sq m (700 sq ft) flat should save almost £2,000 a year in bills.

Moving to a more walkable area can also pay, because driving currently costs around 40p a mile, according to the car insurer Nimblefins. Driving five miles to a nearby town three times a week would, on this basis, cost more than £600 a year. And buying a less expensive home will often cut your council tax bills too, although local costs are something of a lottery.

‘It was a big house with a big garden to look after’

Alison and Douglas Gibb’s motives for downsizing were more about meeting their future needs than cutting current living costs. The couple met at art school and bought their six-bedroom house in Gullane, 18 miles east of Edinburgh, in the early 2000s for £316,000.

Although the couple, who have two children in their 20s, have made contributions to a pension over the years, they were painfully aware that they had not put enough aside to live on in retirement. “We had put more into the house,” said Mrs Gibb, 56. “So we always knew that when we stopped working we would need to sell it and downsize.”

But during the pandemic Mr Gibb, 58, who had earned the family nickname of “the janitor” because of all the work he did on the house and garden, started to feel that those plans should be brought forward. “He started to say that life was too short,” said his wife.

“It was a big house with a big garden to look after and he just wanted to free himself to work less and live more.”

In September 2020, they sold the house for £725,000 and later bought a four-bedroom house near ­Berwick-upon-Tweed for £325,000. Their new home is not only smaller than their old one but more energy efficient. As a result, despite rising fuel costs, their energy bills have dropped from £193 a month to £150.

As the couple are self-employed – Mr Gibb is a photographer and his wife a journalist – they needed the capital they had freed up by downsizing to provide them with a long-term income.

“We are not into spreadsheets and yields, so we really agonised about what to do with the money,” said Mrs Gibb. Eventually they decided to invest in property and bought a pair of flats in Edinburgh to rent out.

The Collinses and the Gibbs opted to downsize in their 50s and 60s, and, according to research from Savills, these younger age groups are now far more willing to relinquish their family home than older generations.

Owners in their 50s, for example, own around 22pc of Britain’s property stock and are responsible for 21pc of all sales. Those in their 60s hold 19pc of property stock and make 13pc of moves. But those in their 70s and above, despite owning almost a quarter of all properties, account for only 8pc of house moves.

‘It is something we just had to get on with’

Not long ago Linda and Christian Pegley thought they would live in their family home for ever. They had moved to their three-bedroom cottage on the eastern fringes of Dartmoor in 1983, paying £18,000 for the property. In 2001 the neighbouring cottage came up for sale and they bought it for £78,000. They amalgamated the two properties into a six-bedroom home for them and their two sons, who are now grown up.

Mr Pegley, 74, retired six years ago and devoted himself to the house and its two acres of garden. But after Mr Pegley, who has Parkinson’s, had a couple of bad falls in the sloping garden, they decided to move to a more practical, less remote home. They sold their Dartmoor house for £630,000 and paid £525,000 for a three-bedroom bungalow at the Little Cotton Farm development near Dartmouth.

The couple have invested the bulk of the capital they released in their new home, building a glass-topped veranda, from which they can see the sea, and landscaping the garden.

Today, Mr Pegley said he had mixed feelings about the move. Having neighbours nearby has taken some getting used to after almost 40 years of perfect solitude. On the other hand, their household bills are lower, as are their transport costs, since Dartmouth is nearby. More importantly, their new, flat garden is a lot easier to cope with, and having people living nearby means help is at hand should the couple need it.

“It is something we just had to get on with,” said Mr Pegley.

Why house prices are heating up in London’s elite postcodes

With oil going up and the pound going down, wealthy buyers are feeling flush in the capital

By Carol Lewis

Whatever the woes of the economy, London still retains the power to persuade the world’s wealthiest individuals to part with their cash in return for bricks and mortar. The global super-rich — the oligarchs and sheikhs, industry magnates and tech billionaires — are back post-pandemic, outbidding each other to own a trophy home in the capital.

The wealthy Hariri family, a business and political dynasty that has produced two Lebanese prime ministers, sold their five-bedroom, 6,500 sq ft Knightsbridge home close to Harrods last week to a Lebanese tycoon for just under £20 million, and are now believed to be looking for an even larger base in London. Gary Hersham, founder and director of Beauchamp Estates, who sold the property, says: “We have seen a flurry of deals for London properties priced over £15 million. As international flights resume we are seeing the return of wealthy international buyers.”

It wasn’t the only super-prime deal in London last week: a family home in Hampstead, north London, was sold to another Middle Eastern buyer, also for just under £20 million. “It’s the first Middle Eastern sale at that price point I’ve done in a while,” Marc Schneiderman, director of Arlington Residential, a prime London estate agency, admits.

Both sales are a sign that as the schools in the Gulf break for summer and Middle Eastern families make their way to London for the holidays, they are keen to indulge in the activities they have missed during the pandemic — including shopping. Many come buoyed by profits from the booming oil and gas markets and the strength of the dollar against the pound.

“Anyone working in oil and gas seems quite interested in the London property market — I have a few Nigerian clients and inquiries from Africa, the Middle East and the United States. Oil is up, the pound is down, so London property will benefit from these buyers feeling much wealthier,” says Camilla Dell, managing partner of Black Brick, a buying agency.

International buyers are back

London’s summer season is back, after a two-year hiatus, kicked off by the Summer Exhibition at the Royal Academy. Spectators sip Pimm’s to cool down at the Queen’s Club tennis championships and exhibitors are polishing up their antiquities in readiness for the annual Masterpiece arts fair in Chelsea.

“People are going out, restaurants are packed and there is a feeling that everything is coming back to life — and that includes the London property market,” says Peter Bevan, co-head of central London’s residential desk for Savills.

Sales were driven by wealthy British-based buyers during the pandemic and they remain the driving force in the market — there are 177 billionaires in the country, according to The Sunday Times Rich List, and many more multimillionaires.

However, international investors are beginning to return, bar the Russians who are stymied by international sanctions over the war in Ukraine. Bevan says Savills’s office in Dubai reports that several wealthy Middle Eastern buyers are planning to come to London this summer to invest. Others report that rich Chinese and Hong Kong parents are back buying flats for their children ready for the start of the next academic year.

Hersham says that since the start of 2022 there has been a wave of deals for London homes priced above £10 million to foreign buyers in Knightsbridge, St John’s Wood, Kensington, Belgravia and Chelsea. Ashley Wilsdon, head of London buying at Middleton Advisors, is also seeing more big deals than before: “I’ve been out looking at large lateral apartments in Knightsbridge and Mayfair for between £3 million and £10 million with clients from the Middle East and Far East, and it’s been a while since I’ve done that,” Wilsdon says.

The agents — whose commission at the very top end of the market is 0.5 to 3 per cent — have to prove their worth. Often they are required to sign non-disclosure agreements, and after an instruction, it has been known for an estate agent to receive a legal letter warning that the seller reserves the right to sue if anything goes wrong during the sale. It is a high-stakes, high-reward business.

For estate agents to get a foot in the door with the wealthiest buyers requires getting past a legion of gatekeepers: estate managers, private bankers, wealth advisers, lawyers and buying agents. Estate agents have been known to woo an entourage with invitations to weekend shoots or dinners in Michelin-starred restaurants.

Not everyone is feeling flush though: “My clients in private equity are extremely downbeat about the world particularly in the last few weeks with trillions wiped off the [stock] markets. They’re feeling much, much poorer and those who had their money in crypto [currency] are probably finished,” Dell adds.

Inflationary influences

The Bank of England raised its base interest rate to 1.25 per cent last week on the expectation that inflation could exceed 11 per cent by the autumn — it stands at just below 8 per cent with an update due this Wednesday.

While most in the property market blithely remark that buyers in the prime markets are “immune” to such trifles as a rise in interest rates, Louis Harding, head of London residential sales for Strutt & Parker estate agency, points out that many are old enough to remember that rates were 5 per cent before the global financial crash and 13-14 per cent in the late 1980s and early 1990s. “They’re sensible about the fact we are in a period of normalisation,” Harding says.

“It’s wrong to say that the wealthy aren’t influenced by interest rates — most can afford to buy in cash but will take out as much in mortgages as they can because money is cheap,” says Mark Wells, chief executive of Invisible Homes, an off-market property platform. Schneiderman adds that he doesn’t think that wealthy buyers will be troubled by interest rate rises until the base rate hits 5 per cent; although the highest rate that even the most gloomy economists expect the Bank of England to go is 3 per cent.

Sales might be funded by putting up other homes, businesses or even yachts as collateral against loans. The paperwork is sophisticated and aimed at ensuring privacy. All buyers, though, are subject to stringent anti-money laundering checks, and any agent found to be involved in a sale with someone subject to sanctions faces a possible prison sentence and a hefty fine.

Flats are back, but we prefer houses now

“The sweet spot is houses in Notting Hill and Kensington between £5 million and £10 million. If I had a property for around £8 million then I’d have 20-30 viewings within 2-3 days and in a lot of cases it would go to sealed bids and sell for over the asking price,” Harding says. Much of this demand is fuelled by British-based buyers who work in the City or have inherited family wealth.

The house markets in Marylebone, Regent’s Park and St John’s Wood are strong but also making a return are the pied-à-terre markets in Knightsbridge, Westminster and further afield as British buyers look to enjoy the return of the London social scene. “The flat market is coming back, with people looking for pieds-à-terre near the theatres or village hubs, such as Marylebone, Belsize Park, Islington, Kensington, Westbourne Grove and Elizabeth Street [in Belgravia]. It’s less that people regret leaving London and more that they want to come into town and have the best of both worlds,” Bevan says.

Encapsulating the desire for flats and turn-key properties — buyers are aware of the rising cost of building materials and the shortage of tradespeople — are sales at 80 Holland Park, Christian Candy’s latest endeavour. The super-prime development, which is mostly flats, has just three out of the 25 homes still available to buy. The contemporary homes on the edge of the park were sold mainly to British-based buyers, many local residents — with penthouses selling for £10 million-plus.

What next for prime central London?

During the pandemic, when many people left the city and headed to the country in search of space and a more relaxed lifestyle, property prices in London remained subdued while those elsewhere soared. In March, London house prices clocked an annual price rise of 4.8 per cent against 9.8 per cent across the UK, with some regions such as the East Midlands experiencing more than 12 per cent growth, according to the Office for National Statistics.

“Prime central London is coming off the back of a wretched few years and we are still not back to where we were at the top of the market in 2014,” Harding says. Data from LonRes, prime London property analysts, shows that in May transactions were 11.5 per cent ahead of a year ago and prices up by just under 9 per cent.

Knight Frank estate agency said that the number of offers it accepted in May was “the highest monthly figures in a decade” with prices rising by 2.4 per cent in the year to May — the highest rate of annual growth since April 2015. In prime outer London, prices increased 4.8 per cent over the 12-month period, which was also the highest rate of annual growth in more than seven years.

The estate agency is optimistic about the prime central market’s prospects and predicts a 6 per cent rise in prices next year and 22 per cent from 2022-2026. Savills is slightly bolder, predicting just under 24 per cent growth over the same time period.

Agents say that many of the top-end deals continue to be off-market (not openly advertised) although some of these are simply the result of being sold quickly by agents armed with black books stuffed with buyers ready and waiting to snap up the right property when it comes along. Others are sold secretly because the buyer or seller doesn’t want publicity or a digital record of the sale — particularly if, whisper it, the price has to be reduced.

There is more choice for buyers though: “Supply is finally picking up, the number of new sales instructions in May was the sixth-highest figure in ten years,” according to Tom Bill, head of residential research for Knight Frank. Although Alex Woodleigh-Smith, of the buying agency AWS Prime, asks: “The question is: once the buyers in the market have bought, are we going to have new buyers coming into the market to replace them?”

Buyers choose high end homes in bustling Battersea

Buyers choose high-end homes in bustling Battersea. After years of difficulty, the redeveloped Battersea Power Station in south London has left its ‘soulless’ past behind.

After nearly a decade spent living next door to the construction site surrounding the regeneration of Battersea Power Station in south-west London, Gabrielle and her family bought a home there. In December, they moved into a three-bedroom duplex in Switch House West, which used to house the station’s battery and switchgear.

“They’ve managed to create a space that really works for all ages,” says Gabrielle, an entrepreneur with two children, who declined to give her last name. “And it’s getting busier — from 6am there are people around dog-walking, going to the gym or to catch the Uber Boat to school or work.”

The redevelopment of the power station, which had been more or less abandoned for 40 years, has been beset with financing problems, changes of ownership and years of delay. It has also been derided in the press in recent years, with critics describing the area — and the neighbouring Nine Elms project — as “soulless”, “dire” and an “ugly ghost town”.

It may have felt deserted at one time, but not any more. The streets and cafés are bustling. And now that buyers have been able to visit and view finished properties, they have been more inc­lined to splash out on the Power Station development’s high-end flats. In 2021, the developer says it sold £400mn worth of properties — more than any other year since selling started in 2013 — though it won’t reveal how many units. It will say that 1,563 properties have been sold so far, nearly all of them flats.

Apartments start at £865,000 for a new 500 sq ft studio apartment — or £995,000 for one within the curvy Frank Gehry-designed Prospect Place — and go up to £9.1mn for a 2,840 sq ft three-bedroom Sky Villa on the roof between the chimneys. In March, Caspar Harvard-Walls of Black Brick, a buying agent, brokered a sale on a three-bedroom duplex river-facing apartment within the power station listed at £5.55mn.

“The buyer was looking for a house in Knightsbridge or Chelsea for £5mn but thought the turbine hall property with its floor-to-ceiling Crittall windows was too impressive,” he says.

Penny Holley, 71, downsized from Oxfordshire to a two-bedroom flat in Switch House East in December. She says she uses the development’s app to stay in touch about groups and social events — “One time Sting [the singer] turned up for choir practice,” she says. “Sometimes I am on my own in the residents’ cinema room but when the shops open in September the site will really come alive.”

Outside the development, the market for flats across Battersea’s SW11 postcode has been in decline — the number of second-hand apartment purchases in the first three months of this year was 17 per cent lower than the 2015-19 average, according to LonRes, which tracks the London market. By contrast, the number of house sales was up 40 per cent.

Holley’s son and his children live in a house in the long-established residential area of south Battersea between Wandsworth and Clapham Commons. Here, Victorian terraced houses typically sell for between £1.6mn and £1.8mn — commanding a premium because of the good schools and proximity to the shops and restaurants of Northcote Road, the area’s main artery.

For about 5 to 10 per cent less, you can find a similar house in the area north of Clapham Common, says Mayow Short of Savills Battersea. “Lots more space-seeking or newly dog-owning buyers came from north of the river to Battersea during the pandemic than before,” he says. With the average flat in prime central London selling for £2.1mn in 2022, according to LonRes, but the average house in Battersea costing £1.7mn, the appeal is clear.

Paul Hallett has been firmly entrenched in Battersea for some time. The GP bought a five-bedroom house with a small garden just north of Clapham Common in January 2020 with his wife Poppy in preparation for their first baby, due in July.

“I have owned a two-bed flat with my brother in the area since 2010 and didn’t want to move far,” he says. “I work in Putney but think the high street [there] is dreadful and the houses more expensive.”

Another popular pocket is The Sisters, a conservation area near the river where the streets are named after the landowner’s daughters: Edna, Orbel, Ursula and Octavia. Victorian semi-detached and terraced houses here start from about £1.3mn; extended ones can sell for £1.8mn.

Entry level for a small resale flat in one of the many mansion blocks around Battersea Park is about £550,000. “The best [larger] ones — in York Mansions and Overstrand Mansions — have been achieving record prices this year, but others are selling less well,” says Short.

A one-bedroom apartment in Primrose Mansions, a red-brick block on Prince of Wales Drive, which last sold for £575,000 in 2015, is now listed at £600,000, after two price reductions. A two-bedroom flat in York Mansions sold in March 2021 for £840,000, after selling in 2016 for £950,000.

Last December, after renting in one of the Victorian mansion blocks next to Battersea Park, Floridian LeAnn Ferry and her husband Gustavo bought a quarter share of a two-bedroom flat in Windsor Apartments, a new building on Prince of Wales Drive with a shared-ownership scheme for households earning less than £90,000 a year. The total cost of their apartment — their first home — is £820,000.

“I feel very lucky there’s a way for us to be able to afford to buy in the area we like so much,” says the florist, who works in Chelsea. “We wanted a new-build property and have seen this area grow and become more vibrant.”

Homes in this part of Battersea appeal to empty-nesters who like the short walk to Chelsea, says Andrew Fisher of Knight Frank. “It’s a very different market to Nine Elms,” he says, “Nine Elms — where around 70 per cent of buyers before the pandemic were from overseas — has not had the same interest from domestic buyers [as Battersea].”

Evening Standard newspaper logo.

Crossrail property hotspots: Elizabeth line stops with the greatest house price growth

Londoners who bought on Crossrail’s top stops are enjoying record price growth as the Elizabeth line finally opens.

As London’s newest transport link steams into action the true winners — and losers — of Project Crossrail can finally be unveiled.

A decade after work began on the Elizabeth Line it is the unassuming south east London suburb of Abbey Wood which has seen the strongest price growth in the capital.

Average prices have accelerated 107 per cent in the area, from £175,550 back in 2012 to £362,870 today, giving early adopter buyers a paper profit of almost £190,000.

Forest Gate, in east London, has seen prices shoot up by 101 per cent in the same period, to an average £447,980.

In nearby Manor Park prices rose 97 per cent to hit an average sale price of £481,370, according to exclusive research by estate agent Hamptons which analysed price performance across the line.

Table: 10-year Crossrail winners

Crossrail station Average price 10-year growth
Abbey Wood £362,870 107%
Forest Gate £447,980 101%
Manor Park £481,370 97%

“Crossrail has been the missing link in London’s transport network for many, many years,” said Raul Cimesa, head of London new homes at Knight Frank.

“It’s opening will unlock and finally link neighbourhoods across London that previously buyers may have felt were less well-connected or too complicated to get too.”

What today’s top three locations have in common is relative affordability.

A decade ago they were amongst the cheapest options along the line, and buyers with an eye on investment potential have surged in to take advantage.

“These are the areas which always had the most to gain,” said Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills.

“They came from the lowest price point and more affluent buyers started to be attracted to them because of the new ways to commute. They were also more accessible to a wider part of the market.”

City Slickers Desk Return

As the pandemic hit, the City became a ghost town and the work from home trend was bad news for the shiny new tower blocks and trendy warehouse conversions within the Square Mile. It’s therefore little wonder that prices collapsed. According to the UK House Price Index (HPI), the Government’s official property price monitor, more than £115,000 was shaved off average sale prices, between June 2020 and June 2021, which fell to just over £750,000.

But as banks and law firms revert to business as usual – and central London becomes noticeably busier day-by-day – so the sun has started shining on the City once more. Annual house price growth according to the latest HPI stands at 15% year on year. Most of Prime Central London. Part of the reason for this leap is that in 2021 the UK was in lockdown, and prices had hit rock bottom. But there is also a distinct shift in priorities at play.

The pandemic has a lot to answer for with buyers re-evaluating their needs after lockdown and opting for countryside properties and homes in outer leafy suburbs are largely responsible for the mismatch between stock on the market and demand for homes. This is equally not helped by the average number of homes on the market being 8% less than the average since March 2019.

Camilla Dell, Founder and Managing Partner at Black Brick Property comments: “We have also seen an uptick in interest in east London postcodes, particularly from entrepreneurs and tech types,” said Dell. “There is definitely strong activity, which will be being driven by the return to normality and people going back to their offices. Plus, it is so much more affordable than Prime Central London for younger buyers.”

Joining start-up stars and young professionals, Dell believes, will be a number of buyers who fled London at the start of the pandemic and are coming to realise that life in the country isn’t as straightforward as they had assumed. “Some buyers are bound to be people who moved out of London and are now realising that they need to be back in their offices at least a few days a week,” said Dell. “There are a lot of businesses which will not accept people working from home from the shires full time. I am sure that there are also a lot of returning renters thinking the same thing, which is why we are also seeing rents increase.”

Taking stock of the UK’s red-hot property market

Despite global macroeconomic uncertainty dominating headlines in 2022, UK house prices continue to defy gravity. Rightmove, the online property portal, says homes today are selling faster than ever before and this “frenzy” is driving property prices to record highs1.

On the face of it, concerns around interest rates, the economy, and the war in Ukraine would normally be enough to put the brakes on a runaway housing market.

Yet, as the last two years have shown, we live in far-from-normal times. And the UK prime housing market seems no different.

As Stephen Moroukian, Product and Proposition Director at Barclays Private Bank explains, the pace of change in the market has been staggering: “Ironically, back in May 2020, there were dire warnings from the Bank of England that UK property prices could fall 16%2. However, the pandemic certainly stimulated the housing market and it’s continued to defy expectations, with many prime markets recording double-digit price growth across 2021.”

The impact of COVID-19 and home working had sent many city-based buyers into a pandemic-fuelled “race for space”, and a longing for luscious coastal and country pads. Yet urban living has seemingly since recovered much of its allure with people returning to the bright lights of the city, as well as their offices – albeit at a reduced frequency.

“We’re definitely seeing a pick-up in central London living – in both the sales and rental markets,” says Camilla Dell, Founder of central London buying agency Black Brick.

Dell also says that around half of all her sales are now “off-market”, properties not listed by estate agents. “In my 20-year career, I’ve never seen a market like this in central London, which is so chronically short on supply,” she adds.

 

‘Race for space’ continues to fuel demand for prime regional property

Price points today continue to reflect the tectonic shifts we’ve seen in the UK property market over the last two years. The market for high-end prime regional property remains strong; Savills is currently seeing 9% annual price growth although it notes interestingly that “proximity to London is starting to influence performance once again” – with high-value markets such as Rickmansworth, Sunningdale, Reigate, Esher, and Weybridge in much demand3. So too the country house market, with 10.3% annual price growth for £2m-plus residences3. It’s a similar story for regional cities – with prime areas in places such as Bristol, Glasgow, York, and Winchester all now “outperforming their surrounding areas”, according to Savills3.

“Ever since the housing market reopened in June 2020, the pace of buying activity – especially at the top end of the market – has been exceptionally strong, and any stock that comes on to the market is sold very quickly,” says Lucian Cook, Head of Residential Research at Savills.

“Also, this ‘race for space’ hasn’t fully played out yet, especially with depleted stock levels and the latent demand in all prime areas.

“But I do think the next phase of the housing market cycle will be linked to the reality of the commute. During COVID-19, the commuter zone expanded out as far Monmouthshire in the west, to Yorkshire and Humber to the north.

“People will start looking to live more towards London and the traditional commuter zones within an hour by train to the capital – focusing on the ease and length of the commute.”

 

Prime London bounces back as COVID-19 recovery continues

London itself has been something of an outlier during the pandemic.

While larger family homes with gardens in its leafier suburbs have continued to perform well through COVID times – areas like St John’s Wood, Hampstead, Primrose Hill, Richmond, Wimbledon, and Dulwich.

It’s been a different story for prime central London – an area stretching from Chelsea to Camden, and Notting Hill to Westminster – where apartments tend to predominate in the traditional golden postcodes.

Average prices in prime central London are now 16% lower than they were at the start of 2016, according to Knight Frank, but there are signs of a revival – with prices up 2.1% in the last 12 months alone4.

 

Foreign buyers return – but not yet in large numbers

The much-heralded return of international buyers hasn’t quite yet materialised in the way some commentators thought it would do. Heathrow Airport passenger numbers, a key yardstick of overseas visitors to the UK, are still a fifth down on pre-pandemic levels5.

And it’s these wealthy foreign buyers that usually favour the turnkey properties of prime central London – typically in the exclusive neighbourhoods of Belgravia, Knightsbridge, and Kensington.

“Summer is going to be an interesting test for London,” says Cook at Savills. “But London does seem well primed for recovery, given that it’s already started before the full weight of international money has flowed back into the market.”

And Dell at Black Brick believes these overseas buyers, once they do return in greater numbers, will encounter a very different marketplace than what they’ve faced previously.

“Buyers will have to be more flexible when it comes to finding the property they want,” she says. “Because of this lack of supply, more buyers are going to have to consider properties that require work. It’s going to make things more complex, as you’ll need to do your sums before putting in an offer, as well as checking planning consents.”

The other more-recent change is that all overseas owners of UK property must also now register details of beneficial ownership to a public register, as a consequence of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. “It’ll be interesting to see how this plays out, as a certain group of buyers like to protect their anonymity,” adds Cook at Savills.

 

Signs the UK property market may be normalising

There are, however, some suggestions that the red-hot housing market may be beginning to normalise – putting an end to the wild supply and demand imbalances of the last two years.

“The UK property market has defied gravity over the course of the pandemic,” says Tom Bill, Head of UK Residential Research at Knight Frank.

“Tight supply, low interest rates, accumulated household wealth and a desire for more space and greenery have conspired to produce double-digit house price growth over the last year. But we believe 2022 is when this begins to unwind, and growth returns to single digits.

“Crucially, we believe supply will continue to increase as the distortive effects of the pandemic fade. The supply shortage has been the single biggest cause of strong house price growth over the last two years, but there are early signs now that stock levels are building.”

There are, however, some suggestions that the red-hot housing market may be beginning to normalise – putting an end to the wild supply and demand imbalances of the last two years.

“The UK property market has defied gravity over the course of the pandemic,” says Tom Bill, Head of UK Residential Research at Knight Frank.

“Tight supply, low interest rates, accumulated household wealth and a desire for more space and greenery have conspired to produce double-digit house price growth over the last year. But we believe 2022 is when this begins to unwind, and growth returns to single digits.

“Crucially, we believe supply will continue to increase as the distortive effects of the pandemic fade. The supply shortage has been the single biggest cause of strong house price growth over the last two years, but there are early signs now that stock levels are building.”

Of course, history does not predict the future. But the quite phenomenal market conditions of these past two years may be beginning to ease. And while prime central London is finding its feet once again as activity picks up, other markets are showing early signs of cooling – as the “race for space” subsides, and interest rates rise.

 

Why 2022 is the year to buy a central London flat — while the overseas buyers are away

By Melissa York and Emanuele Midolo.

First-time buyers and families are finally getting the chance to secure a prime postcode in the capital

I actually almost moved to Canary Wharf about six years ago, but I felt, at the time, that the neighbourhood was still not quite there yet and was too quiet at the weekends. Now it’s buzzing,” says Dan Bull, a 33-year-old entrepreneur who recently moved into a two-bedroom flat in the east London neighbourhood.

The property market in the high-rise financial district was once the preserve of City workers and overseas investors. Today, though, international buyers — deterred by coronavirus restrictions, and political and economic upheaval in the wake of the Ukraine war — and City workers, who have shifted to WFH, have been replaced by British first-time buyers and families. It is a shift that is reshaping neighbourhoods across the capital, with the share of homes sold to overseas purchasers in Greater London at an eight-year low, according to Hamptons estate agency.

“First-time buyers are the predominant group of buyers now,” says Joseph Bate, sales manager at Johns & Co, an estate agency in Canary Wharf. “The reason for that is because their rents have been pushed up massively and they realise they would spend less on a mortgage.”

Until recently, Bate’s business catered to investors from Hong Kong and mainland China. Now, however, the market has shifted to domestic buyers. The sweet spot is “anything up to £600,000” — which will buy you “an amazing top floor studio” or “a one-bedroom” flat in a new-build development. In older blocks you can get “a decent two-bedroom flat” for the same price.

“There is a misconception about Canary Wharf that the only people who live here work in the area and that it’s dead over the weekend,” Bate says. “But there are a lot of people who live here because they like it. They want to be safe, in a clean, nice new development, next to the river.”

Bull, who has bought a two-bedroom flat in the Wardian development (two skyscrapers built by EcoWorld Ballymore), agrees: “I think there’s something exciting about living somewhere where there’s a lot of change happening very fast . . . I think Covid also fast-tracked diversification and saw a shift away from it being seen as just a finance hub. We have musicians, actors, ecommerce entrepreneurs, lawyers and health professionals, with the odd banker thrown in for good measure. It’s also refreshing to see that although there are a lot of young professionals, we also have some families, retirees and characters of the world.”

Bull, who is the managing director of the Espresso Room and Lockdown Room, a coffee bar and event space respectively, says that “after a long time renting and moving around” he finally feels “lucky” to have bought this flat and made it his first “real home.”

Property prices rose just 0.4 per cent last year in Canary Wharf, data from the estate agency Foxtons shows. As a consequence, UK first-time buyers who previously rented in southwest London have been moving east, according to Liza-Jane Kelly, director of Savills’ prime London market sales team. House prices across London rose by an average of 8.1 per cent in the 12 months to February, compared to a UK average of 10.9 per cent.

“Flats are where bargains can be found,” says Roarie Scarisbrick, a partner at the buying agency Property Vision. “Some areas such as Mayfair, Knightsbridge and Belgravia are looking relatively good value. There are loads of flats there.”

The property portals are littered with reduced-price flats in these prime central London neighbourhoods, areas once popular with foreign buyers and international students: a one-bedroom flat in a period mansion block in Mayfair reduced by £75,000 to £850,000; a two-bedroom period flat in Knightsbridge down £55,000 to £725,000 or £50,000 off a £1.2 million one-bedroom flat on swanky Sloane Street in Knightsbridge.

Flat prices are subdued because of a lack of competition from international buyers, the post-Covid desire for outside space and, in some buildings, the ongoing cladding scandal. In prime buy-to-let spots like Canary Wharf and traditional prime central London neighbourhoods it is the dearth of international buyers which is hitting hardest, despite agents reporting that City workers, who moved out to the country during the pandemic, are returning to buy pieds-à-terre.

Last year agents predicted that international buyers would return in 2022 but that was before another wave of lockdowns in Asia and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. “For various reasons it’s been more a trickle than a wave,” says Scarisbrick. “The international parts of the market are definitely not firing all cylinders.”

Knight Frank doesn’t expect international purchases to return to pre-pandemic levels in central London until next year. “That is later than we previously anticipated and reflects how there is unlikely to be a single moment when overseas demand normalises,” says Tom Bill, head of Knight Frank’s UK residential research. “Instead the process will be more gradual and erratic as different countries deal with Covid in different ways.” When overseas buyers do return, Bill predicts property prices in central London could increase by 6 per cent.

Typically, home buyers from countries like China, Malaysia and Singapore have preferred high-rise new-builds. As those nationalities were (and mostly still are) not allowed to travel, hotspots where the skyline is filled with residential towers — prime buy-to-let postcodes for Asian investors — are sluggish. In Nine Elms, Vauxhall, Borough and Kennington, all in south London, property values fell 1.5 per cent last year, according to LonRes, a property data company.

Middle Eastern buyers are staying away too, buying 7 per cent of properties sold in central London last year — that’s down from 11 per cent in 2019, according to Hamptons. “I think we will see a lot of Middle Eastern buyers coming back after Ramadan,” says Camilla Dell, founder of buying agency Black Brick, “Maybe there is hesitation. What could be putting them off? Boris Johnson! There is potential for political turbulence looming . . .”

Mark Pollack, co-founder of the London estate agency Aston Chase, adds that the Middle East is “probably more closely aligned to Russia” than the west. “The suggestion is that there is a little bit of concern, a bit of fear that, in the same way the UK government has changed towards Russia overnight, things could change very quickly towards them as well.”

The only overseas buyers snapping up London properties with gusto are Americans. The main reason for this, other than the opening of US-UK borders, is the strength of the US dollar. Analysis from property consultancy JLL shows that currency fluctuations mean that while sterling buyers are paying 76 per cent more for a new-build home than they did 10 years ago, euro buyers are paying 75 per cent more and US dollar buyers 53 per cent more.

However, American buyers look for properties that are “quintessentially” British. “They want something out of a period drama,” Scarisbrick says. “High ceilings, good proportions, the sort that we get in old-fashioned properties. They’re buying big country houses — if they can find them.”

Fierce competition and an acute supply shortage in the countryside mean many are turning their attention to leafy London suburbs. Data from LonRes shows that St John’s Wood, Regents Park and Primrose Hill have experienced strong price growth over the past two years — an 18.7 per cent increase in the past year after 11.7 per cent the previous year.

As for the 100,000 Hongkongers taking advantage of the British National (Overseas) visa, many of them have abandoned central London for better value for money in the suburbs and home counties.

“Buyers from Hong Kong are moving from an apartment culture with large lateral living spaces and are now having to realign this expectation with the housing stock of Elmbridge and the home counties, which is predominantly made up of townhouses,” says Tim Firth, director of estate agency Jackson-Stops’ branch in Weybridge, Surrey.

In the meantime, flats in London neighbourhoods once popular with foreign buyers are up for grabs but, say the experts, for a limited time only.

Battersea Power Station

Buying agency bags ‘best-in-class’ Battersea Power Station apartment for £5.35mn

Black Brick’s buyer was originally in the market for a £5mn house in Knightsbridge and Chelsea, but set their sights on a duplex in the historic power station…

APCL agency has reported a noteworthy acquisition at the Battersea Power Station scheme in south west London.

The buyer was originally in the market for a £5mn house in Knightsbridge and Chelsea, but after viewing a number of options decided to stay south of the river – and opt for an apartment instead.

The £9bn Battersea Power Station project was of particular interest, said the firm, but the client was after “a real ‘best in class’ and that meant one of the 250 flats in the power station building itself”.

Only one of the remaining options fitted the bill, explained the team: “Through detailed analysis we established that that only six of these homes had views of the River Thames through every window. Four had been sold. On inspection we found that one of the remaining apartments was vastly superior: a stunning three bedroom duplex measuring 2,390 sq ft.

A new batch of units in Switch House East, designed by Michaelis Boyd, were unveiled in January

When fully complete, there will be well over 4,000 new apartments on the Battersea site, including the apartment blocks by Frank Gehry and Norman Foster, flanking the power station which will be finished this year.

The grand turbine halls will finally open to the public this summer, filled with around 100 new shops and restaurants plus a cinema, hotel, and events space seating up to 1,400 people.

Talking Heads: What’s happening in the prime property market right now, according to top buying agents

Where is all the stock; what will happen to prices; and which areas are buyers flocking to right now? Seasoned buy-side pros have been giving their hot takes on the first few months of 2022, which is shaping up to be another crazy one…

We’ve heard a lot about the severe and continuing shortage of homes available to buy across the UK property market, and the situation seems even more stark at the top end.

“The finest homes are as rare as unicorns,” say Richard & Sophie Rogerson of RFR, “and invariably trade competitively and without ever coming to the open market.”

“There is a perpetual lack of supply,” adds Charlie Wells of Prime Purchase, noting that “this imbalance in the prime markets looks set to continue to support prices, while hesitant buyers risk missing out.”

Adding to the market’s hectic pace, international buyers are back on the scene in both town and country. London-based Eccord, for example, has enjoyed a 40% increase in enquiries from overseas buyers in the last month.

Some international buyers appear to be paying over the odds for English country houses, suggests Charlie Ellingworth of Property Vision, while a broader range of central London properties are in demand as city life resumes. Black Brick’s Camilla Dell has noticed “a bit of a shift from people wanting a townhouse in Belgravia or Mayfair,” towards more community-centred Chelsea.

Chelsea has got ‘much, much nicer’ over the last few years, says Black Brick, and is being favoured by many buyers over Belgravia and Mayfair

“Houses and apartments without decent outside space were almost unsaleable” in the immediate aftermath of Covid-19 lockdowns, says Edward Towers of Aykroyd & Co. Now, however, “best in class properties in general are back in demand, even where they lack outside space.” Towers believes this “is due to there being more pied-a-terre and overseas investment buyers re-entering the market, after a lull over the past year or two.”

Ellingworth adds a note of caution, echoing Knight Frank’s latest forecasts that anticipate a slowing market. “There is a queue of buyers who are burning hot – for now – but may not be next year or the year after,” he warns. “This thought is percolating through and sellers are beginning to consider that this may be the moment to get the premium that may not be there once the post-pandemic backlog has eased and the fallout from the Ukrainian crisis is known. If that is right, this year will be busy.”

Best-in-class properties are back in demand, even those without outside space

Edward Towers, Aykroyd & Co: “The overall Prime Central London market has continued in much the same vein as in the run up to Christmas.

“That is to say for best-in-class houses and apartments demand is vastly outstripping supply resulting in best bids being more common.

“As ever, the majority of properties we find for our clients never hit the open market given the intensity of buyers and lack of sellers. This is why we welcome clients engaging with us early, so we have time to fully educate them on the London property market ensuring they are poised and fully committed when we source their preferred property. This ensures they are in the best position to achieve the right outcome.

“Whereas post-pandemic, houses and apartments without decent outside space were almost unsaleable given UK ‘needs based’ buyers’ recent lockdown experiences, we are pleased to report that best-in-class properties in general are back in demand, even where they lack outside space. We believe this is due to there being more pied-a-terre and overseas investment buyers re-entering the market, after a lull over the past year or two.

“Perhaps unsurprisingly after several years out of the limelight, due to distractions such as Brexit, Corbyn and other factors such as recent stock market turmoil and world events have refocused London’s status as the premier haven for international investors, on top of an already strong domestic market.

“We have seen our busiest ever month for enquiries. We recognise and appreciate, particularly with current global affairs, that security is more important to buyers than potential interest rate rises.”

The Great Catch Up

Charlie Ellingworth, Property Vision: “Almost every seller is a buyer. This pretty well sums up the dynamic of the current market where supply, or lack of it, is the cri de coeur of every buyer. It may be great to get a record price for your house, but if you can’t find anything to replace it, even at half the price, then you tend to stay where you are.

“But if that is the case, then why are nearly all estate agents reporting a record year? They live on high turnover, not high prices, so if the desert is really so dry, they should be moaning, not rejoicing. The reason it has been a happy time for them is the Great Catch Up, that has happened after a year of lockdowns, covering all property – the good, the bad and the indifferent. It is when they sell lots of the bad and indifferent – those with a view of pylons, the smell of a nearby farmyard, the restaurant below or the noise of a motorway – that they make their money. It is in the rarified air of the good that the problem lies – as indeed it always does – where there are lots of ticks that have to match lots of boxes and where the need to compromise is somewhat alleviated by lots of money.

“It is also very concentrated. In London it is communal gardens in Holland Park/Notting Hill where there is always competition, as there is for large lateral flats with an outside space. In the country, outside the obvious commuting areas, the really hot demand is in North Oxfordshire (Jeremy Clarksonshire) and the Cotswolds, the Wiltshire chalk valleys, the West Sussex Downs and in Somerset around Bruton. In all these areas there is a limited supply and a huge demand: we estimate this (and this is finger in the air not a scientific fact) to be about three times more than in the pre- Covid era. This has obviously shown through in prices but also in the value of extra land. This is the premium paid for a house with say 200 acres of land that values the land at multiples of its agricultural price – the whole being worth way more than the sum of the parts. The valuation of this for a bank loan is clearly going to be a problem – which illustrates well that this is a market for cash buyers where personal fulfilment trumps demonstrable economic value.

“Bank valuations are an issue in such a thin and rarified market as they are, by definition, backward looking. Valuations also assume that buyers are familiar with the market and comparing what they are buying with a house nearby. For example, there were four houses in the Cotswolds that sold last year to Americans, as near as sight-unseen, for what were punchy prices. They were probably comparing the price with an equivalent house in Florida, the Côte d’Azur or Tuscany, against which they may have seemed cheap. Looking at recent local price history they appear high – but against the London equivalent they also would appear good value. Who is right on this? In a genuinely international market it’s a difficult call.

“There were plenty of people calling time on the London market last year. With working from home, who’d choose to live in the capital? It turns out that all the things that people like about cities – restaurants, theatres, clubs and galleries – have probably even more appeal after a year of abstinence. The market has been busy even without a good proportion of traditional overseas buyers, particularly those still locked down all over Asia. Even without them, there is demand for certain types of property: a large lateral flat with air conditioning is always appealing to a certain type of international buyer who would never buy anything else.

“Their value is underpinned in that they won’t be making any more of them: Westminster has introduced size restrictions for any new buildings in their area – 1,615 square feet – and Kensington and Chelsea have said that they will follow suit. This is the size of a generous two- bedroom flat and a lot smaller than any family house. This constriction of supply won’t have a major influence on prices until all the schemes that are currently under construction are completed and sold – but this is a major sea-change in a city that has been, for the last thirty years, pretty laissez faire about letting the market do what it does.

“It would be a mistake to assume that the whole property market is a seller’s market. There are plenty of places where the buyer is in the driving seat – often dictated by fashion. A good house in Leicestershire or Rutland will cost you half the equivalent in Gloucestershire or Hampshire despite better rail connections and not dissimilar countryside. Mobile phone and internet black spots will stymie even the loveliest of positions. If you are looking for a tall thin house in London with no garden, the price you pay per square foot will be about half the communal garden equivalent. There are plenty of dark flats, in clapped out buildings, on busy roads that are barely worth more now than they were in 2014 – the high-water mark for the London market before the Osborne stamp duty axe was wielded.

“Going back to the lack of supply, what unlocks the top end of the market if sellers can’t buy what they want? There is, we sense, a slight change in sellers’ perceptions. Against a darkening economic background of already high inflation and almost certain rising interest rates, there is a queue of buyers who are burning hot – for now – but may not be next year or the year after. This thought is percolating through and sellers are beginning to consider that this may be the moment to get the premium that may not be there once the post-pandemic backlog has eased and the fallout from the Ukrainian crisis is known. If that is right, this year will be busy.”

Short supply for high-end buyers

Jo Eccles, Eccord: “The market remains extremely challenging for buyers seeking large family homes in prime central London locations such as Chelsea, Notting Hill and St Johns Wood, particularly in the £5m – £15m price bracket.

“Approximately 80% of our clients are domestic needs-driven buyers, but we are also seeing the return of discretionary and international buyers. In the last month we have had a 40% increase in enquiries from international buyers, mainly from the US and Europe, as well as a number of expats relocating back from Singapore and Hong Kong.

“Outside space is less important to them but a porter or concierge is. In the £5m – £10m price range, buyers are cost conscious and sensitive to service charge levels, whereas our £10m+ buyers are keen to have hotel grade amenities and are willing to pay for them.”

US and Canadian buyers leading the international charge

Richard & Sophie Rogerson, RFR: “Whilst Omicron delayed the start of 2022 and global equity markets reacted to any manner of shocks, demand for prime properties in London seems so far unabated. According to Knight Frank, demand remains 70% above the five-year average. We have certainly seen our busiest Q1 for some time and that follows two extraordinary years of demand for our services.

“Demand represents a mix of domestic and international buyers, with the former now driven as much by the global M&A boom as pandemic proofing, whilst US and Canadian buyers are returning in force and leading the international charge. We are of course sector agnostic, but London is, anecdotally, seeing a surge in tech and life science entrepreneurs. Whilst the financial City remains subdued and adjusts to changing commuter patterns, London itself has seen a resurgence since lockdown measures were lifted.

“…In contrast, stock levels remain exceptionally low, especially for best-in-class properties and for well executed ‘turnkey’ properties. The finest homes are as rare as unicorns and invariably trade competitively and without ever coming to the open market. With a recent Savills survey showing that 90+% of buyers see the lack of stock as their biggest issue, it is no surprise that our ability to gain preferential access to these discreet properties has become the focus for new clients when we meet. As ever, there is no shortcut to opening these elusive doors; it is about the strength of relationships, credibility and tenacity.”

Lack of supply looks set to support prices

Charlie Wells, Prime Purchase: “The prime housing market has felt robust but cautious this year, for obvious reasons. Clients are mindful of rising inflation and living costs, which are having a negative impact on us all. That said, life is too short to stand still and do nothing, so with some appropriate adjustments to aspirations and spending power, the market continues to move on with surprising gusto.

“Good houses, both in London and the country, seem to be receiving as much interest as ever with large numbers of viewings, competitive bids and premium prices being paid. There is a perpetual lack of supply; this imbalance in the prime markets looks set to continue to support prices, while hesitant buyers risk missing out.”

Chelsea in bloom, as Mayfair & Belgravia wilt

 

Camilla Dell, Black Brick: “St John’s Wood has been red hot for the last couple of years, and there is a real lack of supply of family houses.

“When a good house does come up it sells immediately, and records are being set. I would say that prices have gone up by at least ten per cent in the last 12 months.

“Chelsea is an area we now get asked to search in more than we did pre-pandemic.

“There has been a bit of a shift from people wanting a townhouse in Belgravia or Mayfair. Both suffer a bit from a reputation that a lot of owners are from overseas and nobody actually lives there. Chelsea is a much more residential area, and one which has got much, much nicer over the last few years, with immediate access to lovely coffee shops and restaurants.

“The pandemic has definitely made people value having a great quality high street close to their front door.

“We have also seen an uptick in interest in east London postcodes, particularly from entrepreneurs and tech types. There is definitely strong activity, which will be being driven by the return to normality and people going back to their offices.

“Plus, it is so much more affordable than Prime Central London for younger buyers.

“Some buyers are bound to be people who moved out of London and are now realising that they need to be back in their offices at least a few days a week. There are a lot of businesses which will not accept people working from home from the shires full time.

“I am sure that there are also a lot of returning renters thinking the same thing, which is why we are also seeing rents increase.”

What not to buy now: the six types of London home that may turn out to be a bad investment

Buying agent Camilla Dell, founder and managing partner at Black Brick Property Solutions LLP offers her tips to help London buyers avoid a bad buy.

Few people are putting their homes on the market at the moment and house prices are soaring — up £11,000 in the month of February alone, according to the latest Land Registry figures.

If you’re in a position to buy now it can be frustrating to see homes being priced out of your reach or, common in the current market, to find there’s no properties for sale.

Don’t be tempted into a bad buy out of desperation though, it’s better to bide your time than suffer from buyer’s remorse over such a major purchase as a house, especially with a more uncertain economic environment on the horizon.

These are the property types I would avoid in London in the current market.

Homes with no outside space

Timing is key in the property market. Outside space has become much more important to buyers over the past couple of years and is often top of their wish lists, whether it’s a private or communal garden or even just a balcony or terrace. A more desirable home will be a better investment.

After we helped a recent client to buy a new home they asked us to help sell a central London flat they also owned. It had no outside space, nor did it have anywhere to work from home so in the current market they would end up selling at a significant loss.

We advised them to wait until demand for city centre flats increases back to pre-pandemic levels.

Unmodernised properties

Fixer uppers should be cheaper than a turnkey home but buyer beware! In a market that’s short on supply (like this one) this isn’t always in the case.

In some hot areas, such as Notting Hill, there’s little price difference between a home that needs serious renovating and one that’s more up to date.

It’s absolutely crucial to do your own sums and obtain detailed quotes before making an offer on an unmodernised property, independently of an estate agent’s estimate.

The cost of renovations has significantly increased since Brexit and inflation rises and the Ukraine war are pushing them up even further, which could tip your ‘bargain’ home purchase well over budget and leave you living on a building site.

You should also get specialist advice from a planning consultant before submitting an offer — it’s no good buying a property thinking you can dig a basement or knock down a wall, only to find out you can’t.

Even small changes like replacing carpet for wood floors in an apartment may seem relatively straightforward but can be prohibited in some leases.

Ex-rental flats

There are a lot of ex-rental properties on the market at the moment, as private landlords exit the buy-to-let market.

You need to be extremely cautious when viewing these homes, if something seems very cheap, it’s likely there’s a reason.

Look out for: cladding issues, lack of outside space, distance to a park/green space, local high street and transport links and overall density of flats in the immediate surrounding area.

Some of the worst examples we have seen for sale are often located in high density older new builds (more than 10 years old) in secondary areas, far from transport links and outside space.

These types of flats are often sitting on the market for a year plus, with no sign of a buyer. Don’t let that happen to you.

Property with a poor EPC rating

Currently domestic private rental properties must meet a minimum level of energy efficiency; an EPC rating of E. However, from 2025, all newly-rented properties will be required to have a certification rating of C or above. Existing tenancies will have until 2028 to comply.

Our advice for any new entrants to the buy-to-let market is to look for properties with a C rating or above.

With energy bills set to soar this is also a major consideration from a running costs perspective.

Train or Tube-affected property

No matter how great a property looks, if you can hear the rumble of a Tube, this will always seriously impact the property’s value and future saleability.

Often this isn’t mentioned on an agents’ particulars so be sure to look at where tube lines are located and spend time in the property to check for noise. When considering a new purchase, it is important to familiarise yourself with the immediate area surrounding the home too.

Even if you are unable to book in multiple viewings, travelling to the property at different times of day to stand and listen is advisable.

A couple of years ago, a client of ours visited a property in the early evening having previously viewed it in the day. Upon viewing the property after dark, our clients found the area was overcrowded as people travelled home at rush hour, and the street became exceptionally noisy.

This is particularly important when purchasing in London as traffic and public transport vary greatly depending on the time of day.

Don’t commit if you have doubts

London is a long-term investment. Don’t be fooled into thinking that you can easily flip a property and make easy money.

Buying costs such as stamp duty and legal fees mean every property purchase will cost thousands of pounds on top of your deposit and mortgage.

To see meaningful price growth to offset all this you should have a long-term view of five years or more.

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Hampstead is one of the best areas to buy in London – if you can afford it

By Andrea Dean

From artists and authors to actors and pop stars, Hampstead’s always been a magnet for the rich, famous and influential.

Judi Dench, Liam Gallagher and Stephen Fry are just three of the household names who’ve lived locally in recent years, and no less than 75 plaques commemorate illustrious earlier residents such as John Constable, John Keats and George Orwell.

Working out why it’s so appealing is a no-brainer: it’s in a hilltop setting, packed with beautiful period properties, only a short distance from the West End and yet hasn’t lost its villagey atmosphere.

And there’s the Heath, a sprawling green space that, if it wasn’t for the views over the city, could be in the heart of the country.

Apart from the traffic, many of Hampstead’s residential streets and twisty cobbled lanes have hardly changed since the 19th century.

There are over 400 listed buildings, including Georgian townhouses, Victorian villas, terraces and cottages, plus mansion flats and some contemporary houses.

‘Hampstead’s been a key beneficiary of off-street parking,’ says Camilla Dell, founder of property buying specialist Black Brick, who lives in the area.

‘Prices range from £1,400 to over £2,000 per sq ft, and many of our sales are off-market, so not advertised.’

 

What’s new in the area?

Novel House is a scheme of luxury apartments in New End, a quiet enclave moments from Heath Street’s boutiques and restaurants.

They have high ceilings, picture windows, secure underground parking, and use of a 24-hour concierge, gym and landscaped gardens.

Prices range from £3.95million for a three-bedroom home to £5.95m for a four-bedroom duplex with a very large terrace, through Knight Frank.

The occasional one-off house aside, other current developments are on Hampstead’s borders.

They include Oakley Gardens on Childs Hill, where ready-to-move-into two and three-bed apartments with a concierge and underground parking start at £840,000, from Savills.

Nearby Coachworks Mews consists of three houses equipped with top-end Poggenpohl kitchens, oak staircases, underfloor heating and sedum roofs.

One three-bed, three-bath home is left, priced £2million, also via Savills.

First-time buyers are catered for at The Artisan, a newly launched mix of one and two-bed apartments by housebuilder Hill and available with Help to Buy.

Featuring sleek open-plan interiors with Caesarstone kitchen worktops, integrated appliances, LED lighting and underfloor heating, each has a balcony or terrace and there’s on site cycle storage. The starting price is £545,950.

Moving to Belsize Park, one final two-bed, two-bath apartment is for sale at Belsize Park Firehouse, in a converted Grade II*-listed red brick former fire station.

Combining original details with a contemporary finish, it’s yours for £1.55million, via Johns & Co.

 

Everything potential buyers need to know about Hampstead

Average house price: £1,636,319

Average rent: £3,431 pcm for a two-bed property

Council tax (Band D): £1,719.47

Commuting time to Zone 1: About ten mins from Hampstead to Euston

Annual Travelcard: £1,536

Amenities: ★★★★☆ Independents — though fewer than there once were — and premium chains on the slopes of Heath Street, Rosslyn Hill and Fitzjohn’s Avenue, and more around South End Green. Standouts include The Coffee Cup café, crepe stall La Creperie and Villa Bianca, an Italian eatery; try the Holly Bush, The Freemasons Arms or The Flask for a cosy pint; Everyman cinema; Keats House; Burgh House; Freud Museum; Kenwood

Open space: ★★★★★ Hampstead Heath includes woodlands, meadows, swimming ponds and sports facilities; Parliament Fields; Golders Hill Park

Schools: ★★★★☆ GCSE and A level results above average. The fact that there are more independents than state schools reflects how much money’s in the area

Crime: Slightly above average

Who lives there? Affluent families; a strong domestic market

Famous faces: Harry Styles owns three houses here

Schools, crime and house price data supplied by Zoopla.

 

What can I afford on the property ladder?

£450,000

This smart studio is on the second floor of a converted period house, and includes wooden flooring, a neutral décor and plenty of storage.

£1.25 million

A good-sized first/second-floor maisonette located between the high street and Heath. Has two bedrooms, kitchen and living room and a roof terrace.

£9.5 million

In a secluded spot adjoining the Heath, this elegant house incorporates six bedrooms, three bathrooms, a conservatory and south-facing garden.

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Sisters are doing it for themselves

ON INTERNATIONAL WOMEN’S DAY, RUTH BLOOMFIELD MEETS WOMEN AT  THE TOP IN LONDON HOUSING

From the boardroom to the building site, women are woefully under-represented on London’s housing scene. Less than one third of practising architects are women, while just 14 per cent of the construction workforce is female – and many of the nation’s major housebuilders have yet to admit a woman to their upper echelons.

So, on International Women’s Day, Metro is celebrating seven women who have smashed their way through the glass ceiling – and whose work is redefining where and how we live…

THE HOUSEBUILDER – Morwenna Hall is used to being a woman in a man’s world. She studied mechanical engineering at Bristol University, one of six female students in a class of 70. Today, the 39-year-old is chief operating officer and the only female partner at developer Argent, which spearheaded the regeneration of King’s Cross. She was responsible for Coal Drops Yard, the spectacular shopping destination and foodie hotspot which opened there in 2018.

She is now working on a £5billion redevelopment at Brent Cross Town in north London, which will feature 6,700 new homes and three million square feet of office space. It will, by 2030, be zero carbon and is likely to feature the type of landmark architecture that sets the new King’s Cross apart.

‘People seek out delightful experiences that stimulate their senses,’ says Morwenna. ‘Architecture is so important for this as not only does it create spectacles that are visually appealing, but it helps create places that enable a variety of uses and activities through incredible sounds, smells, tastes and textures, like planting and water play.’

She believes the reason women are so outnumbered in her industry is lack of information. ‘Lots of young women and girls are unaware of the job opportunities in housing and development, let alone encouraged into them,’ she said. ‘I spent quite a bit of time in my twenties and early thirties visiting schools to talk about my passion for and experiences in the built environment, but this is an industrywide imperative.’

Now her own career is flying high, Morwenna feels that it is her responsibility to champion other women.

‘I am very proud that in my role as COO, I have helped us transition to become a business where 50 per
cent of our heads of department are women,’ she said. ‘However, we know we still have much more to do to be a truly diverse organisation.’

THE BROKER – Over the past 27 years the Canary Wharf Group has redefined London’s second
financial centre into a viable place to live. And Katy Kingston, as managing director, legal, has helped broker the billions of pounds worth of funding required to make this change. The 46-year-old, who lives in Farnham, Surrey, has worked for the group since 2014 and while she has noticed female representation in the sector improving, thanks to innovations such as flexible working and mentoring schemes, she agrees more work needs to be done.

An example of this work is the ‘junior board recently set up by Canary Wharf Group to nurture the next
generation of talent. ‘I hope this emboldens young women to feel represented and heard,’ she says.

THE ESTATE AGENTS – Fifteen years ago Camilla Dell set up her own company, Black Brick, to help
buyers find their dream homes.

Camilla earned her property stripes working for Foxtons an for Knight Frank, but a distinct lack of female role models at most of the the major estate agent brands made her feel her chances of progression were limited. ‘When I was at Knight Frank, only one of the proprietary partners was a
woman, and I just thought, What are my chances? And I had always wanted to be the boss and do my own thing.’

Camilla, 44, lives with her family in South Hampstead and is now considered one of London’s leading
buying agents. Black Brick has done deals worth more than £1billion, including the recent sale of a Surrey country house worth close to £30million. She feels that being a woman has advantages in the
buying agency business.

‘I can do the facts, figures and numbers and I can empathise with buyers, which is important when they’re looking for a home rather than investment.’

When she was studying art history at Oxford it is likely that Emma Mansell dreamed of becoming an estate agent. But the company she leads is no ordinary agency.

The Modern House has carved a profitable and high-profile niche by curating a collection of ultra-stylish and beautifully photographed contemporary homes for sale.

Emma joined the firm in 2016, after an early career in the art world, including a stint at the Wallace
Collection. Back then the firm had nine employees. It now has more than 70 and Emma was made managing director last year, leading the launch of the firm’s sister company, Inigo, which specialises in equally stylish traditional homes, and its print and online magazine.

‘Our editorial output has always distinguished us from other estate agencies and helped us nurture a
community of people who are united by their love of good design,’ says Emma, who is in her early thirties and lives in south-east London.

‘I’d love our audience to use our platform for inspiration on how to make homes more sustainable, too. It
is essential that we are all looking to make these changes in whatever ways we can. We want to be the place where design and sustainability come together.’

THE LOW-COST HOUSING PROVIDER – After an early career in local government Kate Davis switched to social housing. She became chief executive of Notting Hill Genesis, one of London’s largest providers of low-cost housing, and a major force in new homebuilding, in 2014.

NHG has a portfolio of 67,000 homes and an annual turnover of £1billion, and Kate, who is in her sixties and lives in Paddington, works 50 to 60 hours in a normal week, and is on call 24/7 to deal with emergencies. She spends her spare time with family and friends, travelling and doing yoga. ‘I feel my life is balanced,’ she says.

During her tenure, Kate has faced some challenges, most notably when eight of Notting Hill’s tenants died in the Grenfell Tower disaster. The association has been caught up in the ensuing cladding crisis, spending ‘millions’ on dealing with fire safety upgrades to its own buildings.

She feels the approach to the crisis has been wrongheaded – that repairs should have been carried out on the most dangerous buildings first, with those paying the bill to include ‘government, the cladding
manufacturers, the building industry, the freeholder, insurers, and–in specific circumstances – the leaseholder’.

Another issue that worries Kate is shared ownership, the low-cost housing option pioneered by Notting
Hill in 1979. ‘It is too expensive for many of London’s key workers, because we get little grant and land
and housebuilding in London is very costly,’ she said. ‘I would [like to] make public sector land available free to housing associations. The 30 per cent reduction in the cost for the first-time buyer would be held
in trust by the association and recycled to the next person when the house is sold.’

THE CAMPAIGNER – Anya Martin first became interested in property when working as a housing assistant at a university. ‘I was exposed to the very worst end of renting, and became quite passionate
about it,’ she says.

Anya works as a research manager for a charity, but in her spare time she is director of pressure group Priced Out, which wants the Government to act to reduce the price of housing. ‘The biggest problem we have is a lack of supply,’ says Anya, 29, who rents in Brixton. ‘We have a lot of people competing for very few properties, and obviously the impact of that is that prices go up.

’Priced Out is looking for planning reform to make it easier to build homes for sale and rent in high-demand areas such as London, although it faces plenty of push-back from local groups who oppose
overdevelopment.

However, Anya says: ‘Generally there does seem to be a greater recognition that you can’t solve the
housing crisis without building more homes.’

For the most part, she says, being a woman hasn’t caused her any particular issues, although social
media’s keyboard warriors can descend to sexist slurs. ‘They call me a silly little girl, and things like that, because I disagree with them,’ she says. ‘I have just learned to ignore them or block them.’

THE ARCHITECTS – Deborah Saunt co-founded London architects DSDHA in 1998. She and her co-founder and husband David Hills built parts of the Olympic Village at Stratford, revamped the streets
around Tottenham Court Road and created their own amazing concrete home in Clapham, picking up 19 Royal Institute of British Architects awards along the way.

‘My practice specialises in rejuvenating underappreciated places,’ she explains. ‘It’s about being a catalyst for enhancing people’s lives, such as our reimagination of the National Youth Theatre in Islington which now brings some Broadway glamour and joy to everyone on the Holloway Road.’

Deborah, 56, saw the downside of being a woman in architecture as her career began to take off. ‘I was shocked how uncomfortable some of the older men were at seeing me in their midst; one of them confronted me with, “What are you doing here? This is for the big boys,” she says. ‘There were also unkind remarks about my gender being a factor in winning work, even though the practice was
winning awards and had won competitions fair and square.’ To her disappointment, this kind of
treatment has driven some women out of the profession; others are deterred by the long and expensive training.

Deborah helped set up the London School of Architecture, which encourages students from a diverse range of backgrounds to combine study with work. But she wishes developers, too, would think outside of the box.

‘In the main, it’s still the ‘big boys’ who win major projects because, typically, architects have to prove they have completed a number of previous similar projects to qualify, and developers tend to be risk averse.’

Katerina Dionysopoulou worked for some of the biggest names in British architecture – Lord Foster and
Thomas Heatherwick – before setting up Bureau de Change architects with Billy Mavropoulos, a friend from her Foster + Partners days.

The firm has designed private homes and extensions as well as shops, hotels and an upgrade of the
British Film Institute on the Southbank.

Katerina, 46, lives in Barbican with her husband and their four-year-old, and decided to go it alone because she wanted to pick and choose what she worked on and have complete control. ‘It is about
doing stuff that you fully believe in,’ she says.

She experienced plenty of everyday sexism along the way. ‘When I was doing the British Pavilion at the Shanghai Expo for Thomas, people would go to him behind my back, because perhaps they thought I
wouldn’t understand.’ She says she politely disregards ignorance and tolerates mansplaining.

‘You have to be a little bit oblivious and not let it hurt you,’ she says. ‘It is about achieving what you want at the end of the day.’

Comment: London buyers with cash to burn stumped by lack of available homes

By Prudence Ivey

Why is nobody selling their home if people are queuing up to buy?

It’s an age-old shoppers’ dilemma. You’ve finally got money to burn and an idea of what you’d like to spend it on. But you scour the high street and the furthest reaches of the internet and there’s nothing you want to buy.

We’ve all been there, but usually the item in question is a pair of shoes, maybe a coat or a party dress.

In the normal course of things, the barrier to buying a home in London is money, not that Goldilocks can’t find the perfect pad.

Of course I am not dismissing the plight of swathes of Londoners for whom the barriers are still resolutely financial (I hear you, I am you).

But those with money — and there are plenty of those — are not being put off by a 0.25 per cent interest rate rise, nor by a chunky 7.8 per cent increase in asking prices. Instead they are finding themselves stymied by a lack of homes to buy.

But why would people not be keen to sell when buyers are chomping at the bit and prices are rising?

Partly it’s that second-steppers with homes of their own to sell have settled, post stamp duty holiday and ‘race for space’, says Lawrence Bowles of Savills. They’ve been replaced by city-flat hungry first-time buyers who, by definition, don’t have properties to put on the market.

Buying agent Camilla Dell says the current market dynamics are also putting off would-be downsizers who can’t find a property but are reluctant to rent for fear prices will run away from them.

Property analyst Anthony Codling meanwhile sees no evidence of a drop in sales. In his view “it’s a case of homes flying off the shelves rather than the shelves being bare”.

One thing everyone agrees on is that whatever the cause, the effect will be continuing price rises. Dedicated shoppers may have a long wait on their hands.