London’s Mega-Mansion Fire Sale: Why The Super Rich Are Slashing Millions Off Their Asking Prices

By Ruth Bloomfield

Super-luxury property owners are knocking millions off their house prices in the hopes of making a sale in a struggling market

In the early summer the sun was shining, the air was scented with lilac and Kam Babaee was full of optimism when he put his former family home on to the market for £7.95 million.

The magnificent seven-bedroom Gothic vicarage in Chiswick had just been fully renovated and Babaee thought that another family would snap it up.

But over the weeks that followed, his optimism faded along with the lilac blossom. Buyers came to look. One even made an offer but could not raise the cash and had to drop out.

Last month, Babaee bowed to the inevitable and knocked a cool £1 million off his asking price. The house is now listed with Dexters for £6.95 million.

“I am a commercially minded businessman, and £6.95 million in the bank is better than £7.95 million not in the bank,” says Babaee.

Across prime London, homeowners are reaching similar conclusions. Trophy mansions, beloved family homes, glamorous townhouses on famous streets and fabulous lateral flats on garden squares are all having seven-figure sums shaved off their asking prices to tempt buyers over the threshold.

Babaee bought his former vicarage back in 1999, renovated it and moved in with his family. In 2016, in the throes of a divorce, the family moved out.

The house was rented out, for £500,000 a year, until 2021. Then, with the housing market in its post-pandemic boom, Babaee — founder of luxury boutique developer K10 Group — took it back, did it up and put it onto the market.

For him a paper loss of £1 million is not an issue. He has a bigger problem with keeping the house empty and mothballed while he pays about 10 per cent interest on the development loan he took out to do the work to it.

“I am a realistic person,” he says. “Interest rates have surged, and if you are selling a trophy asset like the vicarage, you set a sensible price to get people in through the doors.”

‘It is not just super-distressed sellers cutting prices’

Because Babaee has owned the vicarage for well over two decades, he will certainly enjoy a windfall when he sells — whatever the price. But some owners simply want to unload surplus homes, even at a loss.

Buying agent Camilla Dell, founding partner of Black Brick, is currently acting for a client who is in the process of buying a house in Knightsbridge. “Its owner is a billionaire, he bought it at the peak of the market, and he put it on sale for significantly less than he paid for it,” she says.

“He is selling it for even less, because he just doesn’t need it any more. It is not just super-distressed sellers who are cutting prices.”

Dell believes the rash of price-cutting is down to the fact that vendors have finally woken up to the fact that London’s prime property market is on the fritz.

Savills reports that average sale prices in prime Central London have dropped 1.2 per cent in the past year. Across prime London they are down 2.1 per cent. Transaction levels — the number of homes being bought and sold — have also seen a downturn.

And this stagnation is nothing new. According to house-price analyst LonRes PCL, sale prices almost trebled between 2003 and 2013 — surging from £630 to £1,674 per square foot.

But over the past decade, what with increases in stamp duty, Brexit and the pandemic, they have inched up only 3.5 per cent to £1,733 per square foot.

The same pattern of a decade of dramatic price growth followed by a long slow flatline has been seen across the wider prime London property market too and, it seems, buyers have finally realised that their central London home has not been quite the genius investment they had assumed it would be.

“Finally, the penny is dropping,” says Dell. “Anyone who wants to sell a property has got to be realistic, because buyers are super sensitive about price.”

Madly overpriced

The other issue is that many of the homes currently now being discounted were, to be blunt, madly overpriced to start off with. Buying agent Jo Eccles, managing director of Eccord, agrees.

“We had a shortage of supply during the pandemic, estate agents were desperate for instructions, so they were pricing higher to win instructions,” she says. “There were also vendors who were very overconfident and unrealistic about the value of their homes.”

The cold, hard reality of the prime London market is now making those owners — and agents — change tack. “We have seen estate agents say to sellers that they can’t sell a property for a certain price; they see that it would be a complete waste of time and they are never going to get paid,” she says.

As an estate agent, Marc Schneiderman, director of Arlington Residential, has found himself having some very delicate conversations with prospective vendors about price over the past few months.

“Most property owners at the middle and top end of the market feel that their home is worth more than it is,” he says. “You try explaining to someone who thinks their home is beautiful, but which hasn’t been renovated in 15 years, that a buyer is going to come in and want to redo it all.”

These house-proud owners want to price their properties at a level Schneiderman politely describes as “ambitious and optimistic”. And in a market that is flying, with plenty of eager buyers and not much stock to buy, this strategy can work.

In a market more nervous and price conscious, and in which there are plenty of houses to choose from, it won’t.

Not all sellers have their feet on the ground, however. “There is a house in Knightsbridge we are circling for a client at the moment,” says Eccles. “The owners spent around £15 million on it, and a lot on doing it, but the problem is that the way it is done is very personal and is not going to appeal to anyone else.

“We have to price it as though it were a gut job, unless the client has got immaculate, timeless taste and not many people have that.”

International buyers look to Dubai and Portugal

Traditionally prime central London’s market was propped up by high-rolling international buyers, but while there are plenty looking, says Eccles, few are actually putting hands in pockets.

“They are circling, the appetite is there, but they are so discretionary that they don’t have to buy,” she says. “They still like London but unless there is a really compelling reason they just say: ‘We’ll come back next summer.’”

Dell agrees that the overseas buyer market has been dented in recent years, what with increases in stamp duty — some aimed directly at overseas and second-home owners, and the prospect of the non-dom system — which allows foreign nationals to reside in the UK and pay minimal tax — being dismantled by a possible future Labour government.

“We have to be honest with ourselves,” says Dell. “There are parts of the world which are more welcoming and tax friendly to foreign buyers than we are, like Dubai or Portugal.”

Another deterrent to foreign buyers has been the introduction of tighter anti-money-laundering regulations, which has encouraged the shadier end of the international buyer market to look elsewhere.

Additionally, the decision to impose travel bans and freeze the assets of Russian property owners following the invasion of Ukraine has also sent a clear “go away” message.

Schneiderman thinks that prime central London won’t revive until interest rates come back down again.

Rich people in big houses, he says, might have an enviably Instagram friendly lifestyle but they are no more immune to economic headwinds than anyone else. Their power bills are massive, City bonuses are not what they were and parents are anticipating having to pay VAT on school fees if Labour wins the next general election.

When interest rates were low many of them took on big mortgages. Now they are wondering how to keep on paying them. “Even people in lovely, expensive houses are doing a bit of number crunching,” says Schneiderman.

Navigating the UK’s buy-to-let market

Owning buy-to-let property can offer a range of benefits, including a passive income and the potential for capital growth. And for those with property in London’s prized ‘golden postcodes’, there’s also the added allure of status.

Yet, rising interest rates, slowing house price growth and significant regulatory reform are raising questions about whether UK buy-to-lets are still a profitable investment.

In our latest real estate-focused article, we look at the pressures facing many landlords, but also the opportunities that may be opening up.

The headlines are hard to avoid: ‘Is this the start of a great buy-to-let sell-off?’1 and ‘Lots of us are very anxious: why Britain’s buy-to-let landlords are selling’2.

On the face of it, some landlords are reconsidering their investments – they are more than twice as likely to be selling than buying, with a record-high 20% of landlords selling up in the last 12 months alone, according to the latest data from the National Residential Landlords Association3.

Many are mortgaged buy-to-let investors coming to the end of their mortgage deals – faced with the double whammy of soaring mortgage rates and the end of mortgage interest relief, which was phased out in 2020. It’s forcing some landlords to quit the market and sell up, despite property prices falling across the UK4.

“It’s probably the smaller landlords and those squeezed the most who are going to be making some difficult decisions,” says Lucian Cook, Head of Residential Research at Savills.

Market opportunities

And while landlords are no doubt feeling the pinch, this doesn’t tell the whole story. There are still opportunities out there – especially for those with capital available and less mortgage debt, who are well-positioned to take advantage of depressed valuations in the current market.

“Anyone looking to invest in buy-to-let must come into it with their eyes wide open,” says Stephen Moroukian, Head of Product and Proposition for Real Estate Financing at Barclays Private Bank.

“Seek professional advice, do your research, check your numbers and be aware of all the latest regulations. For instance, if you have the liquidity, is a straight-cash purchase necessarily the right option? And what about wealth planning, tax considerations and exchange rates? You need to make sure every outcome has been deliberated; but there’s no doubting the figures can still add up.”

And even if the financial benefits of buying a piece of prime UK real estate are not immediately apparent, there are other reasons why it may still be a worthwhile investment. You might be drawn to that stunning location, or you plan to use the property for a different purpose in the future, or you may just see it as a secure store of wealth given its long-term appreciation potential.

“Of course, landlords will consider using less leverage to generate enough margin to offset risks in the current market,” adds Moroukian. “But it’s worth remembering that historically real estate can also be a useful method of protecting portfolios from inflation, as well as offering important diversification benefits.”

London primed for growth?

High-net-worth individuals are often drawn to the prime central London property market for its resilience, strong fundamentals and global appeal. Property in the vibrant and cosmopolitan city is often seen as a safe-haven asset with strong investment potential – especially with a growing number of international buyers back in town.

And although Camilla Dell, Managing Partner of buying agent Black Brick, says prices are slightly below where they were a year ago, “the prime central London market is performing better than the rest of the UK”.

She adds: “We’ve taken a large volume of new enquiries from buyers in the Middle East and the US looking for homes and investments in the city. I believe there’ll be some excellent buying opportunities over the coming months, especially as sellers are now starting to be far more realistic with their pricing.”

Rents hit record highs

Despite some improvements to rental supply in the UK’s prime markets5, many areas remain chronically undersupplied – most notably the exclusive postcodes of London.

This has led to rents increasing at their fastest pace on record, according to the Office for National Statistics6 – giving landlords some extra wiggle room. Knight Frank is reporting that prime London rents are now more than 25% higher than they were at the start of the pandemic7. Savills is also forecasting prime London rents to rise by another 13.6% in the next five years8.

“The London rental market has seen some extraordinary growth in the last two-and-a-half years, with double-digit rental growth not uncommon9,” says David Mumby, Head of Prime Central London Lettings at Knight Frank. “And while things are starting to normalise, I still expect strong rental growth of around 5%-6% this year.

“The one- and two-bedroom flat markets in the prime London postcodes of Knightsbridge, Chelsea, Notting Hill and Kensington have been exceptionally strong – and I believe these areas also have room to grow in the long term.

“It’s worth noting, too, that prime central London (PCL) property prices remain 15% below their 2015 peak10, so while it’s a tough time right now, we are long overdue growth in PCL. If you can hang on to your property, there may be significant upside to come.”

Mumby adds: “If you’re not servicing a lot of debt and you’re looking at your buy-to-let investment as a long-term hold – say 10 years or more – then I believe there are significant opportunities out there.

“I have absolutely no doubt that we will look back at this period as the bottom of the price curve. And if you’re in for the ride, you’ll enjoy a decent yield along the way, too.”

Dell at Black Brick adds: “Buy-to-let is attractive for clients who are well organised and well financed. Clients who can structure their wealth efficiently, and only require more modest levels of financing are at a distinct advantage.”

Regulatory challenges

But it’s not just rental yields and potential capital growth to consider, many landlords have seen profits reduce significantly in recent times with changes to tax laws and an alphabet soup of new regulations to adhere toOne additional regulation that landlords no longer need to comply with is upgrading the energy efficiency of their rental properties. This was expected to cost £10,000 or more for an average property11, but the UK government recently revised plans to scrap the policy (instead encouraging landlords to do so when they can)12.

Then there’s the ever-increasing maintenance and repair costs to factor in, as well as the difficulty of finding good tenants. With the Renters’ Reform Bill currently weaving its way through parliament13, which will bring more protection for tenants, landlords will soon need a valid reason to evict tenants – for example, citing antisocial behaviour, unpaid rent or a need to sell the property.

“The rental sector is becoming more regulated, which can only be a good thing – for both tenants and landlords alike,” says Mumby at Knight Frank. “And while it inevitably means more costs and time-consuming compliance for landlords, it does force you to operate in a more professional manner, as well as taking more of a long-term view. You cannot just expect to make a profit in two, three or four years. The most successful investors view rental properties as an asset class to hold for at least 10 years.”

Cook at Savills concurs: “It’s the larger landlords, particularly those that hold their investments in a corporate structure, who are going to be better equipped to handle the ever-expanding regulatory challenges facing the buy-to-let market – because they’ve got economies of scale, and also economies of learning.

“For some smaller landlords, it’s going to reduce the flexibility they have on their assets. And some of these new regulations are going to be hard for them to stomach.

“It’s why I see the sector becoming weighted more towards the larger landlords, or those who are equity rich. They are also the ones who are going to be able to capitalise on rental growth prospects and perhaps sense opportunities to pick up stock that’s now coming back on to the market.”

 

How will the general election affect house prices?

What impact will the vote have on buyers and sellers? And which party really is the homeowner’s friend?

By Melissa York

Who would you trust with the biggest investment you’ll ever make; the Labour party or the Conservatives? A year on from Liz Truss’s mini-budget, with mortgage interest rates of 6.5 per cent biting into incomes, it feels as though the connection between politics and the housing market has never been stronger.

The shadow of last September’s fiscal fiasco has been instrumental in cooling down 2021’s overheated property market. The average asking price is down 0.4 per cent over the year, Rightmove reports, the biggest drop since March 2019. More than a third of properties listed for sale on the property portal have been reduced in price, by £22,700 on average.

And there’s more upheaval on the way. The next UK general election must be held by January 2025. Pundits predict the prime minister Rishi Sunak will wait for inflation to settle before going to the polls in the autumn 2024.

YouGov polling suggests that over half of British adults think there will be a Labour victory, meaning a change of government is a real prospect.

One ill omen for the Conservatives is falling house prices. A report by the buying agency Middleton Advisors, compiled by the housing analyst Yolande Barnes, places 50 years of housing data in political context.

It found that falling house prices were a feature in two out of three regime changes since 1975, whereas there has been no change in the governing political party during a period of rising house prices since 1979.

Kate Eales, the head of regional residential agency at Strutt & Parker, says: “Over the last 40 years, the property market has become more political with each election. From right to buy to stamp duty reform and a mansion tax, buyers and sellers typically become more cautious around an election in anticipation of change and the uncertainty that may bring.”

Which party is the homeowner’s friend?

Real house price growth in the last five decades has risen the most under Labour governments, while four out of the five governments that presided over falling house prices were Conservative.

Middleton Advisors’ analysis also shows that the Labour prime minister Tony Blair oversaw the period of greatest growth in the housing market, with prices increasing by 9 per cent per year on average during his premiership. Between June 2001 and May 2005, when Blair was prime minister, house prices increased by almost £48 a day. Under John Major’s Conservative government, which started during a global recession in 1990, house prices increased by just £3 a day.

This may come as a surprise to market watchers as the Conservative party has traditionally styled itself as the “party of homeownership” in opposition to the Labour party, which is generally more in favour of taxing wealth and assets rather than income.

The property consultancy JLL dug into its data over the last ten years and found that most of the Blair price growth happened in the early days of New Labour when the economy was buoyant.

This period also coincided with the buy-to-let boom between 2000 and 2007, when UK Finance figures show that the number of buy-to-let mortgages obtained increased from 48,400 to 346,000.

So, is it the economy, stupid?

The numbers suggest that the Labour party may have been lucky enough to preside over more periods of economic prosperity than the Conservatives and it is this that has played a bigger role in boosting house prices than its policies.

However, policy undoubtedly influences economic conditions. Real house prices only declined by 5 per cent under Labour’s Gordon Brown, who presided over the worst of the global financial crisis between June 2007 and May 2010, according to Barnes’s report.

In comparison, real house prices have fallen almost 13 per cent during Rishi Sunak’s premiership, who has had to deal with difficult economic circumstances, namely high inflation following a global pandemic.

Introducing housing policies before an election is rarely enough to boost house prices. Government housing policy needs time to “bed in”, Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills estate agency, says “to give [politicians] the opportunity to campaign on the back of its track record”.

A good example of this is the introduction of help to buy in 2013, followed by the stamp duty reform in 2014, which allowed the Conservative party to put homeownership at the forefront of its 2015 election campaign.

Do elections move housing markets?

There is little evidence that elections themselves move housing markets (house prices) or affect the number of transactions (sales).

Cook says: “For a general election to have an impact on the housing market the outcome would need to raise the possibility of a material change in the macroeconomic backdrop, direct housing policy or property taxation. Often that isn’t the case, so there isn’t consistent evidence of a tangible election impact on the market.”

Estate agents usually report a market slowdown in the immediate run-up to an election though as buyers and sellers adopt a “wait and see” approach.

Edward Heaton, the buying agent, expects a slowdown of as much as six months before a general election and the most extreme example of this was in the run-up to the 2019 poll.

He says: “There was near panic in some quarters about the prospect of a [Jeremy] Corbyn-[led] government. I know of several people who relocated overseas out of fear of what impact it might have had on their wealth.”

The threat of a higher regulatory or tax regime can spook markets, as proposals for a mansion tax did in early 2010. But this only tends to affect the top end of the market, where buyers are most impacted by wealth taxes.

For the same reason, second-home sales tend to slow down too, Josephine Ashby, from John Bray Estates, says. When elections are held in May, she says the fear of change “tends to take the wind out of the usual spring market”.

The majority of the market, however, appears to be less buffeted by ballots. Across the four elections since 2010, there were just 1 per cent more sales in the three months following election month compared with the three months prior, JLL data shows.

How could the upcoming election change the housing market?

In the midst of a cost of living crisis, housing may be a bigger issue in the next election than it has been in recent years.

Each party will need to demonstrate that it has the ability to bring inflation under control, which has a direct impact on the finances of homeowners and landlords.

The manifestos will also need to have something to offer private renters “who have become more important to securing potential swing seats”, Cook says.

The delay of the second reading of the Renters Reform Bill, which has reportedly been held up by vested interests in the Conservative whip’s office, is not likely to endear the Conservatives to younger or less affluent voters.

However, it could win the Tories the landlord vote, as could ditching new energy efficiency requirements — as Sunak was reportedly considering this week — which are set to cost private landlords £9,260 per property on average.

Higher mortgage rates have priced out many first-time buyers without access to the Bank of Mum and Dad. While the Conservatives have introduced discount schemes such as First Homes and 95 per cent mortgage loan guarantees, these have not been enough to counter higher interest rates and they do not appear to have a successor to Help to Buy in the works.

● How mortgage valuations are driving down house prices

The Labour party has a homeownership target of 70 per cent (it currently stands at 64 per cent) and it is looking at a state-backed mortgage guarantee for people who can afford mortgage repayments but cannot save for a deposit.

Help to Buy has been accused of artificially pushing up new-build house prices and any demand-boosting policy is likely to be scrutinised for its ability to distort the housing market.

Marcus Dixon, director of residential research at JLL, says: “Overall the biggest spikes in activity have been around changes in tax rules (such as stamp duty land tax) rather than the result of an election.”

Property pundits seem satisfied by the assurances of the shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves, who recently ruled out wealth taxes on assets. However, there has been talk around raising council tax for second homes and creating a national register; giving first-time buyers priority to purchase new-builds; “ending the worst excesses and abuse of leasehold tenures”; and raising stamp duty for foreign property-buyers.

Perhaps the boldest policy is Labour’s pledge to scrap non-domiciled tax status, which allows people to live in the UK without paying tax on their global earnings. There are about 68,000 such individuals, mainly in London.

“If members of this small but economically significant group decided to vote with their feet and exit the UK, it could have a disproportionate impact on the very top end of the housing market,” Camilla Dell, the buying agent, says.

All of these policies are likely to affect the prime market and investors the most, rather than mainstream buyers and sellers, but critics say it could impact supply at a time when the housing shortage is acute.

This year, the Conservatives ditched their annual house-building target of 300,000 homes, but Labour plans to reinstate mandatory targets for local authorities.

Cook concludes: “While that is unlikely to significantly affect the market in the run up to the election, it probably has the greatest long-term implications for house price growth and activity levels, provided it results in concrete policies rather than arbitrary house building targets without any real plan of how to achieve them over a parliamentary term.”

Summer Deal Digest: Nine of the best luxury apartment sales of 2023 so far

As apartment living regains its appeal amongst PCL’s elite buyers, PrimeResi picks some of the standout deals from the last few months, from top-spec penthouses to grand period laterals.

Demand may have fallen off a cliff during the pandemic, but 2023 has seen apartments mount a resurgence in PCL, accounting for a growing share of sales as lockdown memories fade: 44% of £5mn+ transactions across the capital in the year to last month, up from 40% last year and just 28% in 2021.

This year marks a “clear shift away from a time when larger homes with private outdoor space topped every buyer’s wish list,” noted Frances McDonald of Savills recently, and many other firms have reported renewed appetite for apartment living.

Buying agency Black Brick recently revealed that 90% of deals it’s been involved with so far this year have involved flats, up from 43% last year. “Buyers are clearly bored of being out in the sticks, and are looking for the excitement of city centre living once again, particularly if they need to show their faces at the office,” said the firm’s Camilla Dell, while Jo Eccles of Eccord noted how large lateral living spaces and generous proportions are also driving the demand, particularly for new-builds, which provide high levels of security and service. Planning crackdowns on large-scale new-build apartments are also widely tipped to push up prices for existing stock.

Here are some of the standout examples to change hands so far this year, from marquee units in prestigious new-builds, to unmod projects with ultra-luxe potential…

Clarges Mayfair, Mayfair

Agents recently confirmed the sale of a near-£40mn penthouse overlooking Green Park.

Regarded as one of the very best apartments in the area, the ultra-luxe residence at Clarges Mayfair, British Land’s landmark development on Piccadilly, has a c.2,000 sq ft roof terrace with a spectacular vista taking in the capital’s skyline.

David Turner Property acted as joint sole agent with Knight Frank in the sale of the “special” property, which went through a few weeks ago and marks one of the largest deals in London so far this year; the purchase price is undisclosed, but the guide was set at £39.5mn. PCL agency Rokstone introduced the buyer.

Designed by Squire & Partners and completed in 2017, the super-prime development delivered a total of 34 residences with interiors by Martin Kemp Design.

Residents have access to a five-star private wellness spa with a 25m swimming pool and fully-equipped gym, sauna and steam room, along with a private cinema, meeting rooms, residents’ lounge and 24-hour concierge service.

The site was originally acquired back in 2012, and the first tranche of new-build apartments were released – to great fanfare – in 2014. The scheme went on to smash local price records, and the developer confirmed the final unit had been sold at the end of 2021.

Grosvenor Square, Mayfair

An unmodernised apartment on Mayfair’s Grosvenor Square was tucked away over the summer at an impressive £16mn.

The five-bed mega-lateral, positioned on the first floor of a red-brick block opposite The Connaught, went through at £3,900 per sq ft – marking the highest rate achieved by an unmod apartment in the neighbourhood in the last 12 months.

An unnamed British buyer acquired the “landmark” property as a London family home, according to local agency Wetherell, which had brought it to market for the first time in over three decades. We hear there were several interested parties and serious bidders, including some other residents of the building.

The 4,100 sq ft residence has three-metre ceilings, grand proportions and a barnstorming back story. During the 1920s, it was the London home of Le Mans racing driver Bernard Rubin, one of the legendary “Bentley Boys”, a quartet of famous racing drivers who used to live at 49-50 Grosvenor Square.

One Kensington Gardens, Kensington

One of the best apartments at One Kensington Gardens – a c.5,500 sq ft park-facing example guided at £23mn – was picked up by an unnamed overseas purchaser.

There are only five of these super-sized five-beds in the prestigious development opposite Kensington Gardens and Kensington Palace, designed by David Chipperfield Architects and completed back in 2015.

The successful sale highlights the enduring appeal of the Prime Central London property market to overseas buyers, said Harrods Estates, which collaborated with Strutt & Parker on the transaction.

The striking nine-storey scheme replaced the 1950s-built Palace and Thistle hotels, and the De Vere Gardens mansion block. It now houses 97 generously proportioned residences, specced-out with exotic bespoke materials, full underfloor heating, comfort cooling, and state-of-the-art kitchens.

Residents have access to a full suite of amenities, including a 24-hour dedicated concierge, valet parking, health spa, 25m indoor swimming pool, a private health and fitness centre, sauna and steam room, and private treatment rooms.

A £25mn-plus deal went through at the building just before the UK entered the first Covid-19 lockdown.

St James’s Place, St James’s

An East Asian buyer swooped on a “spectacular” unmodernised apartment just around the corner from Buckingham Palace earlier this month.

The 4,025 sq ft lateral on St James’s Place – directly overlooking Green Park – was listed a few weeks ago at £21.95mn by locally-based agency Oliver Bernard, who described it as a “once-in-a-lifetime” opportunity.

A deal concluded, off-market, at a rate of £5,093 per sq ft, which is said to be a new area record.

The apartment’s position, facing west and up on the fifth floor of the six-unit building, gives a pretty unbeatable vantage point over the 40 acres of royal greenery opposite, and there’s a large balcony to make the most of the vista. Inside, there’s four bedrooms, and a huge reception room with floor-to-ceiling bifold doors. Underground parking, a storage room in the basement, and 24-hour concierge services came as part of the package.

The Bryanston, Hyde Park

Another big-ticket sale was reported at Almacantar’s super-prime resi project The Bryanston, Hyde Park.

A 2,921 sq ft lateral at the Rafael Viñoly-designed building, guided at £18.1mn, was tucked away by Knight Frank’s PCL developments team, achieving a rate of around £6,000 psf.

The luxury apartment up on the 14th floor came with three bedrooms plus a study, and panoramic views across the park. The buyer was from Asia Pacific.

Completed last year, The Bryanston is now the tallest resi development on Hyde Park and has delivered a total of 54 high-spec apartments. Facilities include a comprehensive health spa and wellness centre with 25-metre pool, plus a cinema and a “magical” children’s play space.

The Broadway, Westminster

Northacre reported chalking up over £30mn worth of sales in a single week at its latest project in PCL, including one of the marquee penthouses.

11 residences, including a shell and core penthouse, transacted in the seven-day, £32mn burst at The Broadway in Westminster.

The batch of deals followed a £50mn flurry in November 2022, when another penthouse went through at a rate of £5,200 psf.

Located on the former Met Police HQ site (New Scotland Yard) in SW1, the 258-unit project is being pitched as “the wellness capital of London.”

Designed by architects Squire and Partners and built by main contractors Multiplex, the six Art Deco-inspired towers house 258 apartments across 355,000 sq ft of high-spec resi space, including 16,000 sq ft of health and wellness facilities.

W1 Place, Marylebone

A penthouse at a luxury new-build scheme in Marylebone was sold for £6.3mn amid competing bids.

The “spectacular” apartment at W1 Place on Portland Street is the larger of two penthouses at the forthcoming 37-home development by Concord London.

The three-bed unit – in a prime corner position – had been on with a number of agents, but the newly-launched PCL branch of boutique agency Anderson Rose ended up sealing the deal for the “discerning” purchaser, who paid close to the £6.595mn asking.

Particulars showed a large open-plan living/dining/kitchen space, along with two bedroom suites, a further bedroom and bathroom, and a knockout roof terrace with views across the London skyline.

Kensington Palace Gardens, Kensington

A super-rare apartment on London’s Kensington Palace Gardens sold for £21.5mn over the summer, according to official records.

Listed earlier in the year, the near-5,000 sq ft residence sprawls across two floors of a modernist block on the exclusive private road, and was described by agents as “the ultimate secure ‘pad in town’”.

It usually costs some way north of £100mn to have a KPG address, so this was a real collector’s item; the two/three-bed came with a double-height drawing room, and galleried study area, along with porterage, parking, plus some communal gardens to the rear.

Greybrook House, Mayfair

Marking one of the first significant resi deals of 2023, luxury agency Beauchamp Estates confirmed the sale of a 2,500 sq ft apartment at Fenton Whelan’s Greybook House on Brook Street, asking £8.95mn.

The three-bed lateral was picked up by a “discerning London-based family”, said the firm; a rate of £3,345 psf was achieved.

Fenton Whelan originally unveiled the project in 2018, serving up four lateral residences with prices ranging up to £25mn and perks including 24-hour concierge services and valet parking. The option for a bulk-buy was floated in 2018, for which agents were quoting an asking of £46mn.

Internally, the spec includes custom engineered oak flooring, 2.6m high doors, bespoke sliding walls with antique bronze ironmongery, and Bianco Perlino and Emperado patterned marble flooring.

The Art Deco block, dating back to 1929 and in a prime spot between Claridge’s and Bonhams, was originally designed by architects Sir John Burnett and Partners and served as the London headquarters and showroom of world renowned piano manufacturers, Bechstein.

 

Safe as luxury houses? How security concerns are impacting London’s super-prime property market

TALKING HEADS: PrimeResi investigates the increasing importance of peace of mind for today’s elite buyers, featuring insight from some of PCL’s top agents, developers, designers & security experts….

London may be no different from other world cities in this regard, but recent media reports have painted a particularly grim picture of the capital: widespread looting, armed burglaries and attacks on high-profile personalities in broad daylight have all featured on the front pages over the summer – and security concerns have even been cited as a factor in some A-listers’ decisions to move out to the country.

PrimeResi canvassed opinion from some of the top names in buying, selling, design and development to find out what’s happening on the ground: are HNWIs indeed getting jumpy, or is this just another media storm; how important has security become in the decision-making process; and which practical measures are being installed in the most desirable homes to allay concerns?

“There is an unmistakable surge in the significance of security considerations for high-net-worth individuals,” according to Simon Barry of top-end agency Harrods Estates, while Vic Chhabria of London Real Estate Office describes security as “one of the top non-negotiables” amongst today’s top-end buyers.

We’re told buildings and developments with 24hr security, concierges and porticos are very much in for purchasers harbouring worries, but bunkers and panic rooms are still a step too far for most. Private roads are proving especially popular, reports Marc Schneiderman of Arlington Residential, who has sold six houses on one such turning in north London – all to buyers attracted by the heightened safety.

Officials stats suggest London’s crime levels remain moderate on a global scale, points out Camilla Dell of buying agency Black Brick, who has found convenience and amenities to be higher-up the wish list for HNW buyers than security, but developers are undoubtedly taking note: “The value of feeling secure cannot be overstated,” summarises Kevin Kuok, whose firm is behind one of the new wave of PCL schemes prioritising peace of mind…

Peace of mind and a sense of safety have become invaluable commodities for PCL buyers

Simon Barry, head of new developments at PCL estate agency Harrods Estates: “The demand for luxury properties in prime Central London remains unabated, but there is an unmistakable surge in the significance of security considerations for high-net-worth individuals.

“Today, peace of mind and a sense of safety have become invaluable commodities for prime Central London buyers. These individuals lead high-profile lives and have become acutely aware of the potential risks and vulnerabilities they may face. Fortunately prime central London is perceived to be a safe space and with armed protection officers guarding the many embassies and other high profile corporate HQ buildings which share London’s smartest residential locations, residents know that they can rely on a level of protection and visibility not available in many comparable cities.

“Our prime London clients are looking for more than just luxury living spaces; they seek properties that can be transformed into secure havens. Privacy is paramount, but for some nationalities advanced security features are often non-negotiable. High-net-worth individuals often have unique needs, such as panic rooms, biometric access controls, sophisticated CCTV systems, and dedicated security staff. Additionally, the integration of smart home technology plays a significant role in providing real-time monitoring and control, ensuring residents can feel safe and protected at all times.

“Agresti, a renowned luxury brand, has elevated the concept of panic rooms into an essential status among the super-rich many of whom may prefer to live in detached houses with secure grounds outside more central parts of London. These bespoke sanctuaries seamlessly combine cutting-edge security technology with luxurious aesthetics, catering to the unique needs of those seeking a sense of opulence and safety within their properties. Discreetly concealed behind crafted facades, Agresti’s panic rooms are tailored to each property’s layout and the homeowner’s lifestyle, offering a multifunctional and indulgent space during times of distress.

“Recognising this emerging demand, leading developers have swiftly adapted to incorporate state-of-the-art security measures into their projects. These visionary developers are collaborating with security experts to create residences that employ cutting-edge surveillance systems and have secure entry protocols. New developments offer an additional layer of protection which a traditional London townhouse accessed from the pavement, simply can’t provide.  Alongside more overt security systems, passive measures also have a role to play when buyers chose where they want to live: they may avoid buildings which are over-looked or too close to other buildings, and where the entrance doesn’t allow for a secure drop-off with drive-in, drive out.

“London is generally regarded as safe, and the capital’s enduring allure for international HNWs is also linked to its reputation for safety and stability. The sight of luxury cars parked on the streets of Mayfair and Belgravia is testament to the city’s ability to provide an environment that caters to the unique security needs of HNWs.”

More and more high end buyers are seeking buildings or developments with 24hr security

Marc Schneiderman, director at NW London-based estate agency Arlington Residential: “We are not seeing a trends of HNWIs moving out of London, but we are certainly noticing that more and more high end buyers are seeking buildings or developments with 24hr security.  There are several roads in central and north west London which are gated, with vehicular gates prohibiting anyone uninvited from driving into the road; these roads also have 24hr/seven day a week/365 days a year security personnel constantly on surveillance. One such street, is Courtenay Avenue in Highgate. Located immediately opposite Kenwood House, this private gated road has only 23 houses and is extremely desirable.  I have acted on the sale of six houses in this road, and each buyer whom I sold to, has bought the property because of the security this specific road offers.

“Recently, we have received numerous enquiries from overseas and UK buyers in equal measure, looking for apartments in York Terrace West, Regent’s Park. This is the only terrace in Regent’s Park that is gated and has a visible porter’s lodge staffed day and night. Such is the demand for flats in this location because of the terrace’s unique security arrangements, that we achieved in excess of £3,700 per square foot for the last flat we sold earlier this year.”

There are examples of the very wealthy putting together a massive estate by buying every house and farm that comes onto the market

Edward Heaton, founder of London & country buying agency Heaton & Partners: “We’ve had examples of owners of large country estates wanting to buy any adjoining properties coming up for sale. There are examples of the very wealthy putting together a massive estate by buying every house and farm that comes onto the market.

“It’s not uncommon that you have people literally buying the house next door for extended family, we’ve just acquired a house next door for a client in the countryside where he bought the house for his staff to move into. He also wanted it for security as it was a little too close for comfort to the main house, he wanted to secure his own privacy.”

Most HNW/UHNW buyers worry about their security in any city, not just London

Camilla Dell, managing partner at PCL buying agency Black Brick: “There’s been a lot of talk amongst certain HNW’s about London’s increase in crime and how terrible things are and they are leaving. Donald Trump’s feuding with London Mayor Sadiq Khan also contributed to this rhetoric. As a Londoner, having lived and worked in London my whole life, my own personal experience is that I haven’t noticed an increase in crime. I continue to wear my wedding ring, eternity ring and new apple iWatch and I have never once felt threatened or at risk walking the streets of London. As a buying agent, I walk the streets a lot. I’m not trying to take away from other people’s negative experiences, but I do think a few high profile people have jumped up and down about crime in London but they aren’t leaving London for the crime. They are leaving because they prefer to live in countries such as Dubai with lower tax rates, or for other business reasons. London’s crime index is 53.8 with a safety index of 46.2 meaning we have a relatively moderate crime level compared to other major cities around the world.

“I think most HNW/UHNW buyers worry about their security in any city, not just London. Buyers do love the security that new builds in London offer, having 24 hour concierge/security is a real benefit and that’s one reason why new builds have done so well, but not the only reason. In my experience security isn’t the main draw of a luxury new build, but more the convenience and amenities on offer. Clients seeking total security will often enlist the services of a private security firm to install CCTV and other security measures. Some of my clients have on-site security living in their homes 24/7 but these are rare cases and more about the profile of the client than crime rates in London.

“For clients where security is important, we work with a few trusted security firms, many are ex-police officers who advise our clients on how to make their homes more secure. Security isn’t just about preventing burglaries and intruders but also cyber criminals – something which is often overlooked.”

A physical deterrence, a residential security team, is by far the most effect security measure

Jasper Adams, MD of global security firm Team Fusion: “The importance of security should, in theory start to become more prevalent in the homebuyer decision-making process.  More and more communities are clubbing together for low-level security patrols – particularly at night.

“CCTV and access control systems remain the priority for most. The challenge is making sure that they are being properly monitored! There really is little point having CCTV if it is not being monitored with the capacity to respond immediately. The sad truth is the Police response times are appalling – 45 minutes is fairly standard (and the perception is that the Police rarely attend burglaries).

“The security we provide to our clients properties is designed to deter criminals – prevention is always the best solution – and criminals will always look for easy targets. Our experience demonstrates that a physical deterrence, a residential security team, is by far the most effect security measure.  Technology is important, be that CCTV or sensors, but they are there to support the human rather than the other way round.

“We are seeing a greater demand for K9 solutions to augment physical & technical aspects, but they can be extremely expensive and require trained handlers or they risk becoming too domesticated.”

The value of peace of mind and feeling secure cannot be overstated.

Kevin Kuok, CEO of luxury developer Bellworth Developments: “London’s global city status and position as a major financial hub makes it a hugely appealing market for investment from both an international and domestic perspective. While the city is generally considered safe as a place to live, the value of peace of mind and feeling secure cannot be overstated.

“For purchasers at Lancer Square, our exclusive residential address in Kensington, home security is of paramount importance, especially since many of our clients are frequent travellers for both business and pleasure, whether they are in residence or not. Understanding this need, we have incorporated a plethora of security measures into the development of 36 homes.

“These security measures at Lancer Square include electronic video entry systems that allow direct contact with the concierge team, residences prewired for the future purchaser to install a security alarm of their choice, multipoint locking systems, and a 24-hour concierge. These features ensure that our residents can confidently leave their homes and belongings, knowing that they are well-protected even when they are away. By prioritising home security, we aim to provide our residents with the peace of mind they deserve in a bustling city like London.”

Having a dedicated staff member, such as a concierge, at the entrance or lobby of super-prime properties can play a pivotal role

James Waight, regional director at London estate agency John D Wood & Co: “In the prime and super-prime housing market in London, security stands as an essential pillar of desirability, particularly for overseas buyers seeking prestigious properties in the heart of the city.

“London’s discerning buyers, especially international investors, frequently prioritise properties equipped with garages and private gated drives. These features provide an extra layer of security, assuring a secluded haven amidst the bustling city. Garages offer a safe storage solution for luxury vehicles, while private gated drives grant an added sense of exclusivity and control over access to the property.

“In addition to garages and private gated drives, having a dedicated staff member, such as a concierge, at the entrance or lobby of super-prime properties can play a pivotal role in enhancing overall security. The presence of a concierge serves as a strong deterrent to unauthorised individuals, ensuring that only approved residents and guests gain access to the premises. Their vigilant monitoring and quick response to potential security concerns contribute significantly to the overall safety and peace of mind of the property’s occupants and owners.

“Buyers often seek reassurance through advanced security systems, such as state-of-the-art surveillance, access control technologies, and 24/7 monitoring. Additionally, discreet security integration is crucial to preserve the architectural elegance of the property while delivering unmatched protection.

“Furthermore, our buyers recognise the significance of cyber protection in today’s interconnected world. As cyber threats loom large, prioritising the implementation of stringent cybersecurity protocols becomes crucial to safeguard sensitive data and digital assets, particularly for international clients with properties worldwide.”

Security and safety is always one of the first questions I’m asked when showing a property

Toby Downes, London specialist at London and country buying agency Haringtons: “Like any other major city, London will always pose a risk of crime and sadly, the statistics do suggest that this risk is increasing. I would say that buyers in general are more concerned about crime and that this isn’t unique to just the high-end buyers. You can walk around almost any neighbourhood and majority of homes will have Ring doorbells and additional alarm systems.

“When dealing with high-end buyers, security and safety is always one of the first questions I’m asked when showing a property and buyers will always invest in state-of-the-art security systems if the home is not already fitted with one.

“PCLs most prestigious addresses tend to be serviced by private security firms paid for by residents. A large number of our clients, especially those who travel regularly, are drawn to new build developments with security measures and a 24 hour concierge and safety is the main driver in this decision, followed by the reduced level of property maintenance required.

“Whilst many high end buyers move out of London into large country homes, in my experience, crime is never cited as the major driver – the reasons are driven by the desire for more space and the reduced need to be in London due to remote working.

“Common security measures include surveillance systems, access control with biometric authentication, private security personnel, smart locks, secure panic rooms, and advanced alarm systems. As for extreme examples, some high-end properties might have features like bulletproof glass, fingerprint-locked wine cellars, facial recognition technology, and even tunnels for emergency escape.”

We know we have to think about security features from the concept stage, and how it can be seamlessly and flawlessly integrated into the property’s aesthetic

 

Alex Christou, co-founder of luxury development and interior design firm 1.61 London: “In recent years, all our clients are ensuring they have fully integrated security systems in their homes. In our latest development, Three Kings Mayfair, one of the biggest selling points is the fact it not only has high-spec security systems in place, but it is also located on the only private gated road in Mayfair and the building cannot been seen from the road offering complete privacy. This unique offering has been incredibly well received by prospective purchasers.

“Every project we undertake now requires a high level of security integration throughout. As a developer and interior designer, we know we have to think about security features from the concept stage, and how it can be seamlessly and flawlessly integrated into the property’s aesthetic. In addition to cameras, intercoms and panic alarms, wealthy clients are opting for panic rooms, walk-in safes and emergency exit plans. More recently, we’ve had several clients turn a bedroom in their property into a hidden panic room that can be shut off and secured immediately. The most extreme examples involve properties equipped with bulletproof windows, advanced facial recognition systems, retinal scanners, and even private helipads for emergency evacuations. As a luxury property developer, it is essential to take these concerns into account.”

Security is very much a key part of the decision-making

Simon Edwardson, head of sales at luxury developer Northacre: “Security and privacy have always been principal concerns for our clients, wherever they are located. We have found that individuals or their private representatives always consider levels of security, privacy and discretion as among the primary features that influence their purchasing decision. Security is very much a key part of the decision making.

“Northacre’s The Broadway is in the heart of Westminster, SW1, overlooking the Houses of Parliament, Westminster Abbey and Big Ben, with such locations demanding a high level of ambient security from which The Broadway benefits. This includes heightened security protocols in the area for major royal gatherings and political events such as this year’s Coronation. Its very location gives it the benefit of added and continual security at a national level, with strict protocols in use throughout the vicinity.

“The Broadway’s residents benefit from completely private world class amenities including 25m heated indoor swimming pool with vitality pool, sauna and steam room, fully equipped gym with the latest fitness technology, two personal training studios, two treatment rooms, two meeting rooms and a games and screening room. In addition, The Broadway offers full security compliment from point of arrival onwards with secure underground parking accessed by car lift, a 24-hour concierge and valet who know the residents personally and maintain the utmost discretion, another layer of personal security. There are numerous other security protocols on property including surveillance and also 24-hour security patrol of its central, pedestrianised street, Orchard Place.”

People don’t want bunkers and panic rooms, they want to live life

James Moran, head of London sales at prime property advisory Middleton Advisors: “There is an increased desire amongst London homeowners for security across the board, but particularly amongst second homeowners. Those who don’t reside in their London property on a full time basis are often leaving their home or apartment vacant for up to months at a time and want peace of mind that their properties and possessions are protected and safe when they are out of the country.

“Those concerned about security will be drawn to gated communities and high-end apartment complexes which offer unrivalled amenities such as concierge services, 24hr security, and the added privacy of enhanced entry systems. Particularly, if people have had concerns or issues before, this often becomes a non-negotiable part of the search.

“A balance is definitely required with security features; people don’t want bunkers and panic rooms, they want to live life. Large steel gates and high walls can be unsightly, remind residents of safety issues, and make the house less desirable should they decide to sell in the future.

“Some of the more extreme examples include: fog and smoke which can be coupled with LED strobe lights and a sounder (which can be painful) to increase disorientation of any trespassers using a blinding effect; small magnets attached to valuables which alert authorities upon the tiniest movements; biometric locks and facial recognition

“Looking forward to new technologies, particularly with AI, including heat detection and night vision which AI can decipher the difference between animals and trees moving and people within the house circumference.”

A percentage of buyers who would historically have looked for a house are now more amenable to look for an apartment

Will Pitt, senior director at luxury estate agency UK Sotheby’s International Realty: “I’m certainly having more conversations with people regarding crime and security than I was five years ago. High-end homeowners/buyers sometimes need to think carefully about walking down the street with an expensive watch, and the extent to which London is struggling with knife crime hasn’t gone unnoticed, which concerns some buyers looking for Prime Central London property in particular.

“However it is important to note that every major city deals with certain levels of crime – and high end buyers who have owned and lived in multiple cities are aware of the dangers and are perhaps less phased.

“I’m finding that a percentage of buyers who would historically have looked for a house are now more amenable to look for an apartment. Apartments provide an added layer of security because they don’t have a front door leading out onto the street, so security-conscious buyers see value in an apartment block and especially one with a concierge. The premium that one pays for a branded residence is offset by the idea that there are a number of staff in the building – one doesn’t have to have their own private security team anymore. Many of these branded residences are being designed from the outset with security in mind, either with cameras or physical security in the form of doormen.

“High-end homeowners/ buyers are installing a lot more CCTV. While CCTV used to be in the form of a VHS tape, it can now even be installed via your mobile phone – it’s accessible around the world and across all price categories. Similarly, intelligent doorbells and cameras report into one’s mobile phone, so the homeowners could be on a remote beach but still be notified. There are also smart fingerprint locks on front doors and mobile phone locks.

“The most extreme examples I’ve seen are panic rooms, which have been around for a while, kitted out with communication safes and separate air intake.

“The overall objective for many high-end homeowners/buyers is to ultimately remain invisible and anonymous, which reflects the idea of ‘stealth wealth’.”

‘Lock up and leave’ security is incredibly appealing to UHNW hypermobile buyers

Vic Chhabria, founder of boutique luxury property agency London Real Estate Office: “Security has become one of the top non-negotiables amongst todays high net worth buyers, particularly amongst international buyers who prefer to purchase homes within high end apartment developments with on-site 24-hour concierge and security teams. This ‘lock up and leave’ security that apartments of this kind offer is incredibly appealing to UHNW hypermobile buyers who are often travelling for work and pleasure.

“Something we’re also seeing more frequently is requests for properties with designated ‘drop off’ porticos, which are located away from main roads to ensure a safe journey from their chauffeured cars or taxis. This is paramount for security but also for their privacy, something increasingly important, the higher profile the client.”

A previous client has invested in drones equipped with infrared cameras

Jerome Lartaud, co-founder of West Country property buying agency Domus Holmes: “Security is a huge concern for High Net Worth individuals – it always has and always will be along with privacy and discretion – but it also applies to people with more modest budgets as well, especially when buying a house in the countryside and due to the secluded nature of rural properties.

“Countryside properties are often a second home for the HNW Individuals. As they are occupied at irregular intervals and left vacant for large periods of time, these properties can become prime targets for criminals. To prevent burglaries, the physical security measures implemented must offer visual deterrence and physical protection as well.

“There are many options available when addressing security concerns in countryside properties: CCTV and smart home alarm systems are an increasingly popular choice. There are many benefits to a security system that can be operated remotely, however this does not offer a property any physical protection.

“In rural countryside locations, one of the main issues is police response time: by the time officers arrive at a property after an alarm has been raised, the intruders are often long gone. Physical security measures such as on-site guardianship offer an element of delay as well as deterrence.

“A previous client of ours (who we assisted with the purchase of a large country estate in Somerset with acres of garden and land, woodland in particular) has invested in drones equipped with infrared cameras: this is really good tech that can be programmed to do various flight paths across his estate as an extra security measure.”

 

Why are these apartments the most coveted in the world?

Answer: They sit on top of the Mediterranean Sea in Monaco, in an enclave designed by a starchitect dream team. And the developers are handpicking every resident

By Mark Ellwood

Portier is a turn in the road familiar to Formula 1 fans, a double right- hander that tees up one of the trickier stretches of Monaco’s Grand Prix circuit, where drivers tear through a tunnel whose aerodynamics can sap a third of a car’s downforce. Portier is where Ayrton Senna famously wrecked late in the race in 1988, after leading for 67 laps, handing victory to rival Alain Prost. But soon, this tiny corner of a tiny country (at 499 acres, it’s bested only by Vatican City for the title of Europe’s smallest state) will be famous for entirely different reasons. The forest of cranes that have sat on the waterfront in its backyard for more than a decade will vanish next year, heralding the end of a multi-billion-dollar project as well as the opening of an entirely new neighborhood, located on a plot of man-made land bolted to this strip of coast- line. Called Mareterra, it will be home to what its developers hope will be the most expensive real estate anywhere in the world.

Reclaiming land from the sea here is not a new idea. Monaco has nibbled greedily at the surrounding waters for decades—since the 1950s, 20 percent of the principality’s surface area has been created this way. Yet Mareterra is one of the most ambitious efforts to date, a 14-acre district that will increase the country’s size by 3 percent. The project has been surrounded by secrecy and rumor, but Robb Report was granted exclusive first access to preview the site, which boasts a name-dropper’s dream of assorted starchitects. Renzo Piano helmed the ultra-luxury 50-unit building that’s named in his honor, while Stefano Boeri, Tadao Ando, and Sir Norman Foster are among the names who have designed properties in the 10-strong villa collection—in Ando’s case, a complementary adjacent pair nestled in the southwestern corner. Paris-based Valode & Pistre, whose projects have included the Musée d’Art Contemporain in Bordeaux and the Clarins headquarters in Neuilly-sur-Seine, France, oversaw the master planning as well as the design of the family-focused Les Jardins d’Eau apartment complex, while the green spaces fell to landscape architect Michel Desvigne, who has juggled teaching at Harvard with creating outdoor environments for the likes of Rem Koolhaas, Jean Nouvel, and Herzog and de Meuron. For Mareterra, Desvigne emphasized local pines rather than the palm trees once imported en masse as evocative exotica. There’s also ample public space, including a half-mile-long promenade at the water’s edge, plus an exten- sion of the Grimaldi Forum exhibition building and a mixed-use marina with 16 slips for residents and visitors.

The best guide to the site is Guy Thomas Levy-Soussan. The 50-something Monegasque banker joined developer Patrice Pastor on the project six years ago after living and working around the world, including an extended stint on Wall Street. He’s a genial, energetic presence striding between the near-finished structures of the construction site, unde- terred by the heat of a June day and a clammy plastic safety vest. He’s surprisingly informal, too—a small blue friendship bracelet peeks out past his crisp white cuff, and his quiff qua- vers in the breeze. At the outset of the tour, Levy-Soussan emphasizes the aspects that differentiate this district from the ever-present redevelopment elsewhere in Monaco. Those other buildings are often awkwardly wedged onto the steep hillside like the world’s most expensive Legos, the design pretzeled into whatever footprint is available. By contrast, at Mareterra, the developers started with a blank slate, giv- ing themselves—and the clutch of design talent—leeway to indulge every whim. “When you buy an apartment in Monaco, there’s always a compromise,” he says. “This was our statement: to be unique and offer what did not exist.”

The project was named L’Anse du Portier, or Portier Cove, but the new district will officially be known as Mareterra on maps. It was Prince Albert II who picked the name from a short list. “It was my favorite, too,” says Levy-Soussan, “because when the architects talked about the project, they talked about the sea and the ground together here.” The royal family has been integral to the development beyond simply naming it: Expanding the country with a reclamation effort became a pet project for the prince soon after he acceded to the throne. (As this issue went to press, several close advisers to the prince stood accused of accepting payments for real-estate projects, but neither Albert nor the developers of Mareterra had been implicated in any wrongdoing.) Albert’s mother, Princess Grace, was Levy-Soussan’s godmother, and Levy-Soussan grew up alongside her children, so tapping him effectively installed the prince’s proxy as day-to-day head. In the construction-site locker room, one of the few allocated units bears the name of Andrea Casiraghi, son of Princess Caroline, Albert’s elder sister.

Le Renzo has a regal affect apropos of the project’s patron. Its floor-through apartments with dual views of ocean and city are massive—the smallest is just over 4,000 square feet—with only two per floor, though some buyers have bought adjacent units to combine into larger homes. Le Renzo includes the on-site extras of any desirable building in Miami or New York, such as a gym and a wine room; the accessory apartments on lower floors are available only as an additional purchase to use, say, as a nanny annex or a stand-alone home office.

Piano’s namesake also adjoins the neighborhood’s most exclusive perk: a 65 foot–by–54 foot saltwater swimming pool (named in honor of Prince Albert’s wife, onetime champion swimmer Princess Charlene) that will be accessible only to those living in Le Renzo, while the rest of Mareterran apartment dwellers will have to simply look on longingly. The pool’s prominence—jutting out into the water, free from incursions around it—isn’t merely a status statement, according to the project’s landscape designer, Michel Desvigne. “It protects the harbor from a big wave, much better than a big wall would have done,” he tells Robb Report, noting the adjacent marina. It’s the realization of an idea he first trialed with Piano four decades ago. “It was a study in the north of the Adriatic, close to Trieste, that we didn’t complete: Instead of a very high wall, could we try a bigger, flat surface?”

Those living in the villas, of course, will have their own pools. Monaco was once cluttered with Belle Epoque–era waterfront homes, with almost 600 still standing in the early 1950s. Since then, aggressive real-estate development in the tax haven has seen all but a handful demolished to make way for high-rises, so Mareterra’s commitment to seven water- front homes (with three more on the artificial hill behind) is architectural catnip. No wonder, then, that it has attracted such a roster of world-famous names to design them, all corralled by the buyers. “The deal was very simple: If you buy at the beginning, you can bring in your own architect,” Levy-Soussan explains, walking past the two Ando-helmed homes, the last to begin construction. Did anyone buy more than one of the villa sites, which are around half an acre apiece? “Not originally, no,” he says, smiling to suggest that perhaps an initial buyer was persuaded to part with their purchase by an even deeper-pocketed neighbour, just as he clambers into the near-completed frame of the Foster home, arguably this mini neighbourhood’s standout structure. It has a vast double-height reception room with sea views and a garden out front with its own private dipping pool. Even these showplaces, though, aren’t likely to be full-time residences. “One of the buyers we have said he would put his staff on the higher floor, the second one, and I asked why. He said, ‘I’m never going to use it, so they can enjoy the views.’ ” That buyer, like every other, would have been personally approved by Levy-Soussan and his team. “It was so important to us to whom we sold,” he explains later, over drinks at the Mexican restaurant he co-owns in the Larvotto complex next door— another Piano design, intended to rejuvenate the rather shabby beachfront there when it was inaugurated two summers ago. “We refused to talk to any middlemen. If you cannot spend one hour with us presenting the project to you, we’re not interested for you to live in this building.”

The developers refused to change fixtures or finishes, instead delivering the apartments as-designed for owners to adjust as they wish, a rarity in high-end real estate. There were no agents involved on Mareterra’s side, either; that role fell to the partners in the project, including Levy-Soussan and homegrown billionaire developer Patrice Pastor—and they didn’t delegate. “We have no salespeople,” Levy-Soussan says. “We sold it ourselves.” Another person familiar with the project puts it more pithily: “Patrice is the master and commander of that entire thing. No one goes in there without his personal say-so.” And for good reason: He’ll be one of the neighbours.

Around half the buyers of Mareterra’s 114 units were existing Monaco residents, Levy-Soussan says, and half were new to the principality. Many bought more than one property. Levy-Soussan says that the project sold out almost entirely off-plan but declines to specify prices. “Mareterra prices are in line with the current market prices in Monaco,” is all he’ll offer. “People think that what makes luxury is price. It’s not the same.” (While residential property in Monaco sells for an average of 50,000 euros per square meter, or about $5,500 per square foot, one local expert claims Mareterra fetched twice that figure, which puts that entry- level 4,000-square-foot pad at about $41 million.) Such discretion conceals the true value of these properties, which—if true—are expected to outperform any local rival’s.

Edward de Mallet Morgan runs Knight Frank’s South of France operation and also oversees sales in Monaco from a nondescript office overlooking Port Hercules. He has the rangy confidence of an upper-class Briton, chatting animatedly about the appeal of Monaco and rattling off impressive stats: Monaco consistently ranks as the most expensive residential market glob- ally in his firm’s annual wealth report, he says, citing the current edition, from 2022, when $1 million would buy just 183 square feet of prime Monegasque property, followed by 226 square feet of comparable high-end Hong Kong real estate or 355 square feet of the same in New York City. Government data supports his enthusiasm: Residential-real-estate prices have increased 60 percent over the past decade.

Buyers in Monaco should typically expect approximately a 5 percent capital appreciation per annum, he continues, and most new developments in the principality generally provide a 20 to 30 percent premium for flippers selling after initially buying off-plan. “But Mareterra is going to be different—some of those prices will double in four or five years,” de Mallet Morgan says. “It is arguably the triple-A waterfront location in Monaco now. It’s already pushed through the 100,000-euros-per-square-meter mark and will keep going, because it’s not like there are a lot of other big schemes coming up to compete with it.” The curation of residents there has been critical, he adds. “They’ve effectively said, ‘You know what? The wealthiest owners are scattered around the other districts in Monaco—let’s put them all in one.’ And that’s what it is: a top-tier community within the existing hierarchy of Monaco. And if you don’t come about it in the right way, present yourself the right way, or we don’t like who you are? Then forget it.”

Nothing is more sought-after, of course, than whatever has been deemed to be off-limits—especially to those unaccustomed to encountering such roadblocks. Put simply, Mare- terra isn’t a development where disreputable oligarchs and oil magnates can keep cash away from prying governments’ eyes. The developers have cherry-picked residents to ensure a diverse assortment of nationalities, among other criteria.

With current engineering know-how, it’s impossible to extend into the Mediterranean beyond its current confines, so views will be safeguarded. (There’s no legal “right to light” in Monaco, mean- ing occupants of the formerly waterfront apartments whose views Mareterra now blocks are simply out of luck.) There are patches of the coast as yet unextended, notably off Le Rocher, the rocky outcrop on which the palace perches, but the issue is cost. The seabed there is too deep to feasibly, and profitably, encroach on the waters—at least for now.

The appeal of living in Monaco has long lain in its tax-friendly policies. The principality’s absence of levies on capital gains, income, and property is why the writer Somerset Maugham memorably described it as the original “sunny place for shady people.” Today, de Mallet Morgan says, there’s an attraction beyond wealth preservation: safety. Increasingly, there’s a considerable risk involved in wearing a Daytona or a bejeweled Royal Oak, which is why many languish in private vaults. “A lot of my friends and clients here take off their jewelry and put it in a safe before they fly to London,” he says. “These days there are very few places in the world where you can show off your wealth if you want to. It’s basically here and in the Middle East.”

The Persian Gulf, incidentally, is another land-poor, cash-rich enclave that has reached into the surrounding seas to extend its salable square footage. In Monaco, Mareterra isn’t the first project of this kind championed by Prince Albert, who has long touted his interest in marine ecology and spends time, and money, pro- moting ocean conservation. An earlier effort was intended to have a far larger footprint, at almost 30 acres, with Daniel Libeskind and Norman Foster announced as finalists, but was stymied by the financial crisis of 2008 and canceled before work began; according to sources familiar with the efforts, both the environmental impact and the cost were to blame. Conversely, the smaller footprint and particular shape—a wavy, uneven outline— of Mareterra were determined by the local currents. Following this contour was less disruptive to the ecosystem and wave pat- terns, more easily allowing the developers to protect indigenous marine life and minimize underwater impact to nearby coral reefs and Neptune grass.

There’s a reason the ruler returned to try again, according to Mark Braude, who wrote the book Making Monte Carlo, about the state’s modern transformation. Braude believes that physically growing its landmass is a psychological need—not merely a practical one—for Monaco. In 1861, France annexed 80 percent of the principality’s historic dominion in exchange for 4 million francs and recognizing its existence. Since then, the country has made every effort to make up for the lost territory, acre by acre. “Every inch counts, and it has to be maximized for profit and for survival,” Braude says, likening Monaco to another self-made place of myth and money. “They’ll make it happen, like Las Vegas does. That’s part of the attraction: the opulence and bizarreness of putting things where they’re not supposed to be.” It was about six years before France’s geographic gastric bypass that the Grimal disauthorized the opening of the first casino in the country—a gesture to position it as a playground of the rich. “It seems like that bluff, that vision, the idea of presenting it as an elite place, has come to fruition now.”

Once Mareterra is completed, though, there will still be more splashy projects to come, including l’Esplanade des Pêcheurs on Quai Rainier, down on Port Hercules. There, the onetime site of the Monaco Yacht Club, almost two dozen new homes are planned, to be developed by Patrice Pastor’s prime rival, Claudio Marzocco. Such competitive retorts don’t concern Levy-Soussan, however. As a native Monegasque, he’s clearly devoted to the project for reasons that transcend the transactional. “I don’t think I could do the same in London, as I would not put my heart into it as much,” he says. “I’m doing the project, and I have this job, because I’m so attached to my country, my prince. I’m proud of it.”

Levy-Soussan, in conversation, mentions several Britons and Americans. “You want the list of people who bought here?” he deadpans at one point. “Just teasing.” That gatekeeping is crucial given that Mareterra is selling not only the appeal of the neighborhood but also the entire country as a refuge. “The slam-dunk development sites in Monaco have gone, and there’s safety in numbers,” says Caspar Harvard-Walls, a partner in London-based Black Brick, which specializes in top-tier real estate. What’s more, he suggests, Mareterra is effectively a branded residence, where the luxury label is Monaco itself; it’s intended to draw a new, younger kind of ultra-high-net-worth buyer. “They don’t want to live where their parents or grandparents do. They want to be with people their own age.” Adding to Mareterra’s allure.

Crash or Correction

It was a pleasure to chat to Bloomberg’s Francine Lacquer and Ray Boulger from John Charcoal about what another rate rise means for London house prices.

Whilst the more debt driven markets of outer prime London and properties in the sub £1 million range are clearly suffering from a reduction in transaction levels and falling prices, the prime London market is faring much better with prices down a nominal 0.2% this quarter, and just 1% on an annual basis (Savills).

Demand for flats makes up 90% of our client base, showing a firm commitment from buyers to return to city living and we have seen a 50% increase in buyers this year compared to last year. Cash buyers are dominating the London market but realistic pricing by sellers is key in order to achieve a successful sale.

If you are considering a London purchase please get in touch. We would be delighted to assist.

Watch the interview here (starts at 11mins 11secs)…

Flats now ‘firmly rehabilitated’ in PCL, says agency, as buyers return to the bright lights

90% of Black Brick’s deals involved apartments in H1 – up from 43% last year.

After falling out of favour during the pandemic, it seems demand for apartment living is well and truly back. A top buying agency in PCL has revealed that 90% of deals it’s been involved with so far this year have involved flats, up from 43% last year.

“Buyers are clearly bored of being out in the sticks, and are looking for the excitement of city centre living once again, particularly if they need to show their faces at the office,” said Black Brick in an update on its performance in 2023.

Other firms have also picked up on this trend recently, noting heightened demand for large lateral living spaces and generous proportions, especially new-builds, which offer high levels of security and service.

The latest analysis by Savills supports these observations: apartments have accounted for 44% of £5mn+ transactions across London year to date, up from 40% last year and just 28% in 2021.

Black Brick’s total deal numbers were up by 50% during the first three months of the year, compared to the same period last year. Demand for professional help has increased amid the challenging market conditions, said the firm. 90% of its clients were looking for either a main residence or an addition to their property portfolio; only one in ten were investors looking for properties to rent out.

40% of the buyers were British, and another 30% were from the USA. Others came from Bermuda, Italy and Nigeria.

The average discount to asking price achieved was 4%, which the team described as “good going since most of our buyers are looking for a really special property”.

Chiming with findings published by Coutts this morning, managing partner Camilla Dell noted the rising number of price cuts across the prime postcodes: “We are definitely seeing price reductions on vast numbers of properties right across PCL at the moment, including trophy homes in areas such as Mayfair, Belgravia and Knightsbridge,” she said, citing overpricing at the outset as the key reason: “Sellers are finally realising that if they want to sell, the price has to be realistic.”

Sellers are advised to have patience, while buyers should “avoid overstating their power” in the market, and “move fast” if a perfect property comes along.

Although overpriced homes are being corrected there aren’t crazy bargains to be had, added Dell: “To think that PCL is distressed and that prices are falling off a cliff would be far from the truth…It’s more of a recognition amongst sellers that the crazy inflated prices of last year are no longer being tolerated by buyers.”

The property hotspots immune to the house price downturn

Select locations across Britain are seeing pre-pandemic transaction levels

By Ruth Bloomfield

On the face of it, the Royal Borough of Kensington and Chelsea, with its palace, its Michelin star restaurants, and its fabulously expensive real estate, has little in common with the down-to-earth Lancashire town of Clitheroe, where the main attractions include a tiny Norman castle and some outstanding traditional pubs.

But these two locations, just over 200 miles apart, share a key property parallel. They top a new league table of the locations across England and Wales where the number of homes being bought and sold exceeds pre-pandemic levels.

In Kensington & Chelsea transaction levels today are 40pc over 2019 rates, while in Clitheroe, and the wider Ribble Valley, they are up 17pc.

This is important because transaction levels are a key indicator of the health of a housing market, showing where buyer confidence is strong enough (and their pockets deep enough) to commit to sales despite rising interest rates, the cost of living crisis, and fears of future property price drops.

And, the thesis goes, if buyers are active and business is brisk, price rises should follow. Research by Savills highlights the performance of a dozen different locations which are defying a gloomy national picture of price falls and subdued trading.

According to the latest data from the HM Revenue and Customs the number of transactions in the year to March 2023 were down almost 19pc on the previous year.

And the Bank of England reports that the number of mortgage approvals is down 25.5pc in the same period.

The dozen locations include a quartet of affluent, expensive London neighbourhoods beloved of young City workers, aspirational families, and overseas buyers.

Alongside Kensington & Chelsea, London’s top performers are Westminster, Hackney, and Islington. Affluent commuter neighbourhoods – Epsom and Ewell, in Surrey, Chichester, West Sussex, and Windsor and Maidenhead, Berkshire – also rank highly.

But the south east does not have things all its own way. Alongside the Ribble Valley and neighbouring Burnley, there has been strong transaction growth in West Lancashire, with its good-looking villages and appeal to commuters from Liverpool and Manchester, and Salford, Greater Manchester.

But of the UK’s coastal locations, which saw phenomenal demand and price growth during the height of the pandemic, only Northumberland has managed to sustain transaction levels to a level exceeding 2019.

 

Last spring Guy and Harry Dixon-Smith moved into their first home, a three-bedroom flat in Hackney Wick. The brothers were given a leg up onto the property ladder by their sympathetic parents, who understood that high (and rising) rents in the capital meant it was impossible for the pair to save for a deposit.

Their apartment cost £600,000, and mortgage repayments come in at £1,200pcm. But even when service charge is added Guy, 28, an estate agent who works in Savills’ Hackney Wick office, and Harry, 27, who works for a start-up, are still laying out less on accommodation than the £800pcm each were paying to rent rooms in shared flats.

Guy suspects that the reason Hackney – and neighbouring Islington – are trading so well is partly because they have become vibrant, hip destinations that appeal to buyers just like him. “They have got amazing restaurants, music and culture, and that is a draw to people,” he says.

And their relatively high buying costs – the average Hackney home costs £630,000 according to the latest UK House Price Index while Islington’s average price is £689,000 – are not a deterrent to the kind of buyer Guy currently deals with most frequently.

“Against the headwinds that we are seeing, the most prominent buyer is the cash buyer, and buyers less reliant on debt,” he says.

“There is a lot of bank of mum and dad going on. They see that they can bypass mortgage price hikes, and with rents getting higher and higher they are being pushed towards buying.

“It is definitely not the mass market which is buying at the moment.”

In prime central London, Caspar Harvard-Walls, a partner at Black Brick, is not jubilant about the strong performance of Kensington and Chelsea and Westminster, pointing out it must be put into context.

“In early 2019 we had Theresa May as prime minister, we were going through the agony of Brexit, and there was the worry of Jeremy Corbyn becoming prime minister,” he says.

“Confidence was very, very low, and transactions were low. Comparing now to then is a comparison to a real low point.”

This does not mean there are no reasons to be cheerful about the current scenario in prime central London.

“Overseas buyers have certainly been returning to London,” says Harvard-Walls.

“They are not worried about interest rates, it is all about confidence, and they are also benefiting from the weak pound. A lot of domestic buyers in these areas work in the financial markets and have done really well in the last couple of years so they also have money to spend.”

Add to this a renewed interest in buying flats, which were out of favour during the pandemic, and Harvard-Walls feels that prime central London is now “back to normal” after a difficult four years.

Few overseas buyers and high rolling City workers venture as far north as Northumberland.

Its strong showing is based more on British lifestyle movers attracted by the glorious scenery of its national park, its ruggedly beautiful countryside, and a strong sense of nostalgia.

Because Jason Roberts, a senior associate director of Strutt & Parker in Morpeth, believes the strong transaction figures are being generated by a mix of regular local movers augmented by buyers now working from home going back to their roots.

“A lot of our buyers are returning to Northumberland, where they were brought up or went to university, now that they don’t have to go into the office so much,” he says.

Buyers coming from the south can certainly get more bang for their buck in Northumberland, although it is worth pointing out that prices in its prime spots are not bargain basement.

You could pick up a three bedroom terrace in Alnwick or Morpeth for around £475,000 to £500,000, says Roberts, or a three bedroom seaside cottage in a sought after village like Bamburgh for around £600,000.

“But if you throw a sea or castle view into the mix then the price ramps up,” says Roberts. “We have sold a few recently for £1m-plus.”

Downsizers are another powerful force in the current market; with equity saved up in their family homes they are another sector of the market not desperately worried by interest rates.

Pauline Whittle falls into this category. Last summer, after more than half a century living in Rochdale, the 72-year-old upped sticks and moved some 25 miles north to a village on the outskirts of Clitheroe.

Pauline, a retired magistrates’ court secretary, made the move primarily to be closer to one of her three daughters, and she opted for a new home at the Oak Leigh Gardens development by house builder Redrow in the village of Barrow.

She exchanged a four-bedroom detached house for a modern three-bedroom semi, and moved in last summer.

Clitheroe and its surrounds are more expensive than Rochdale, but by downsizing Pauline was able to release some equity, selling her family home for £320,000, and buying her new property for around £270,000.

Although her move was driven by her desire to spend more time with her grandsons Pauline is not surprised that homes in the town and its surrounds are continuing to sell strongly.

Clitheroe is an aspirational address for commuters from cities like Leeds and Manchester, and families who rate it for good schools and open space.

“I have always loved the Ribble Valley,” she says. “I used to come for runs out with my girls when they were smaller.

“What people like about it is that it is a pretty sort of area with lovely walks, and not industrial at all. The people are friendly, there is a lot going on, there are good shops in Clitheroe, and lots of lovely pubs and places to get a bit of lunch in all the villages around it.”

Ferraris, art collections . . . the agents who deal in £50m houses

Melissa York meets the people selling top properties to royals, A-listers, tech bros and politicians

By Melissa York

I work 25 hours a day, eight days a week and 366 days a year,” says Becky Fatemi, who buys houses for the super-rich with budgets from £5 million up to £200 million. She recently made an exception, buying a house for £4 million, “but that was for quite a high-profile actor”, she concedes.

At her elite London-based agency, Rokstone, her team of three sold only 12 houses last year, but collectively they were worth £500 million. To get her cut, Fatemi has to be available to her clients, who are from all over the world, at a time and a place that suits them.

“I have a membership to every private members’ club possible because they’re all in different worlds,” she says. “I meet clients at the gym and we’ll talk on the treadmill. I just flew to Monaco for two days, in and out. Last night I was at Sotheby’s for an art launch, then I went to an art gallery for a dinner with a client who’s just launched a champagne, and then next week I’m flying to Madrid to see a client’s flat there.”

Jet-setting and fine dining is all in a day’s work for Britain’s top-tier property agents, whether they are buying, selling or letting to actors, entrepreneurs or private equity fund managers — all of whom need an agent on the inside to find the few properties with the space, security and sparkle to house them.

This means that Fatemi also spends less glamorous hours in planning meetings with Kensington & Chelsea council asking for permission for a rooftop pool, or in lawyers’ offices getting deals over the line. She has to be very “measured” in what she promises her mega-wealthy clients; “these are very litigious people with big teams around them,” she says.

Their requirements are notoriously tricky to find among London’s historic housing. Fatemi’s latest impossible task is to find a one-bedroom property that spans 10,000 sq ft. “We’ll have to build it or restructure it, which is typical because everything they want is listed,” she says.

In this world, swimming pools, ballrooms and gated entrances aren’t at the top of buyers’ wish lists; wall space to hang art collections and vast temperature-controlled walk-in wardrobes are.

“Clients at this level are wearing couture, and it doesn’t even hang in the same way as normal clothing. You need a different place for the furs,” Fatemi says.

Iceberg basements were once a subterranean super-trend; the artist Damien Hirst converted his 150ft-long basement below his home in Regent’s Park, north London, to house his artworks, while Foxtons estate agency founder John Hunt won a ten-year planning battle to build a mega-basement in Kensington for his collection of classic cars.

But complaints from beleaguered neighbours and planning restrictions have brought this era to an end. Where basements are light and converted into useful rooms, such as staff quarters or gyms, they are still desirable, but Roarie Scarisbrick, partner at the prime buying agency Property Vision, has seen less appealing creations with niche appeal.

He says: “I got in a lift, pressed minus five and then my ears popped as I got to the centre of the earth. There was a revolving dancefloor and, on minus four, a walk-in gun safe.”

The “armageddon situation” for him, Scarisbrick says, is when he has two high-net-worth clients looking for the same type of property. Like a talent agent, he carefully curates his client list so they aren’t likely to be competing for the same houses. He learnt this lesson the hard way in his early days as a property agent when he had to mediate between two “alpha male types”.

He says: “We got to a certain point in the negotiation where there was probably £50,000 in it. And my client proposed it was settled in their Ferraris on a racetrack.

“I’m sorry to say that I was the fun sponge on that and I said, ‘This is absolute madness.’ Looking back on it, I really wish it had happened and I’d have been able to watch.”

It isn’t unusual for demanding high-net-worth clients to fall in love with a specific house that isn’t even on sale. Camilla Dell, founder of the high-end buying agency Black Brick, says she was struggling to find a house on the market in St John’s Wood with a garden and a carriage driveway for her client’s budget of £12 million, so she spent six months persuading a couple who did own such a house to sell.

She says: “That’s never an easy market to deal in because you’ve got very tricky sellers, lots of big characters, and this may be the first time they’ve sold in 45 years.”

Her biggest purchase last year was a £55 million house in Belgravia on behalf of a member of a foreign royal family.

She’s now on the hunt for a £3.5 million warehouse-style apartment for a young screenwriter in northwest London, and is also assisting Swiss buyers looking for a £15 million second home in Marylebone or Mayfair, and a Nigerian family with £50 million to spend on a house in South Kensington near their children’s school.

She also isn’t a fan of novelty basement conversions. “Who lives like that, really?” she says. “Even the really wealthy don’t have a hair salon [at home].”

Dell thrives on the competitive nature of her day job and claims to love taking her clients’ calls late on a Sunday evening. She recently gazumped another wealthy buyer on a big country estate in Surrey that had been under offer for 18 months.

“I told them, ‘We have to obliterate them out of the water on price,’ ” she says, and closed the deal for nearly £30 million on Christmas Eve. “Since buying it, we’ve actually had unsolicited bids from people coming forward at much higher levels.”

Not all of the elite want to buy, however. The A-lister Rihanna rented an eight-bedroom house in St John’s Wood, north London, for £18,000 a week, with parking for up to ten cars, a gym and two entire floors for entertaining. Taylor Swift reportedly rented a £7 million townhouse in Primrose Hill, north London, with her boyfriend, Joe Alwyn, before they split up a few months ago.

American celebrities are used to living in big houses with amenities such as swimming pools, massage rooms and separate quarters for a live-in housekeeper, explains Yasmin Ulhaq, who finds rich tenants for landlords at Glenfield Property Management. She says: “When people are coming over, they want to replicate that and they get a lot more value by renting.”

In February, Ulhaq found a house in Notting Hill for an American family for £27,000 a week. Last month, she organised a rental for £37,000 a week.

Apart from high-profile actors, the tenants she looks after include tech entrepreneurs, Indian investors looking for somewhere to stay while they expand their London property portfolio and politicians from overseas.

Privacy is a key consideration; they usually want a property that hasn’t been let on the open market and is only available on the books of exclusive agencies, so floorplans do not exist for anyone to peruse online. These tenants often come with their own security teams; the American family specified a CCTV monitoring room for their security guards.

Unlike a “normal” lettings agent, Ulhaq isn’t just calling in tradespeople and drawing up tenancy agreements; she’s pulling strings with promoters for tickets to the Grand Prix or Harry Styles concerts.

Once, she had to arrange to fly a chef to France in a private jet to buy a specific brand of salmon mousse for a tenant’s dinner party. “I had to send the chef who went to get it with colour swatches because it had to match the dusky pink shade the room was going to be decorated in,” she said.

While her job is all-consuming, there are perks; a tenant recently bought her a box at a Beyoncé concert to say thank you.

To unwind, Ulhaq will splurge on a shopping spree in Harrods, but uninterrupted days off are rare, she says. “Most days, if I’m lucky, I’ll treat myself to a tiramisu at the end of the day.”

‘Sticky’ PCL set for deal drought as buyers & sellers enter deadlock

It will take time for vendors to accept the fact that buyers are far more price sensitive these days, says Black Brick.

Transactions are likely to remain low in Prime London during the months ahead, as buyer and seller expectations remain out of alignment.

This is the prognosis from PCL buying agency Black Brick, which has reported a “very sticky” start to the summer, with buyers “far more price sensitive” than they were at the peak of the pandemic.

The firm suggests it will take time for vendors to accept this fact, and start pricing homes at the lower end of the PCL scale at a level to tempt interest. Until then, unfortunately, much of the market looks set for deadlock…

“I have found that there tends to be a long delay, in a market which is slowing, for that message to sink in for sellers that they need to be realistic about prices,” said managing partner Camilla Dell. “We are just starting to see prices coming down a bit – even where we have been previously told that a seller is in no hurry – and some sellers are becoming more amenable to negotiation.”

While there’s no sign of the double-digit price falls that were being predicted at the start of the year, the team is seeing a “very selective market” which has more in common with pre-pandemic times than with the rollercoaster journey since 2020.

“Buyers are still out there”, said the firm in the update to clients, “particularly cash buyers operating at the top end of the market, but despite healthy budgets they are not willing to pay over the odds for properties. They are also taking the time to be very choosy when it comes to location and specification. As a result, while prices are holding firm, the number of deals being made is the indicator which has taken a hit.”

“Those 2023 forecasts were always ridiculous,” added Caspar Harvard-Walls, a partner at the firm. “The problem was that they did affect buyer confidence and sentiment”.

He suggests the market is now undergoing “normalisation”, with interest rates no longer at a record low, and the race for space far less of a driving force: “We were just spoiled during the Covid-19 market…It was a false reality, a completely unusual set of circumstances. Now buyers are saying hold on, that property is the wrong price, and that is how it should be.”

The latest LonRes data showed PCL sales activity in April was 34.7% lower than in 2022, with the year-to-date total down more than 24%. The number of properties under offer was down 11% year-on-year.

The high-end sector of the market has outperformed, however – agreed sales above £5mn were up 26% on last year and are more than 50% above the average levels seen between 2017 and 2019.

Dell says the reason for the “two-tier” market is simple: “The people who are buying at the moment are wealthier clients who are less reliant on mortgage finance. They include overseas buyers who are still buying in London because of the weak pound, and they tend to have bigger budgets.”

The estate agency Strutt & Parker decided to retain its 2023 sales market forecasts last week, citing “renewed confidence” and “signs of recovery and stability” in around South East, East of England and Prime Central London as cause for a relatively bullish outlook.

At the national level, Strutts expects the average UK house price to drop by up to 5% through this year (something between a -5% and a 0% annual change), while Prime Central London could see prices either rise or fall by 3% (a -3% to +3% forecast range for the current year).

Prices in Prime London and around the UK are still on track to rise by between 10% and 15% over the next five years, according to the firm’s analysts.

Why wealthy Turks are buying up elite postcodes in London

Financial instability in their homeland is driving many towards the capital’s prime property market

By Melissa York

The wisteria-covered portico pillars of Belgravia are in full bloom, and the world’s wealthiest are on the hunt for a safe haven for their families — and their cash.

“We typically see Middle Eastern, Asian and US investors in London, however, this year one nationality is standing out as unusually active,” says Becky Fatemi, chief executive at the property buying agency Rokstone, “and that is buyers from Turkey.”

There have been thriving communities of Turks, Kurds and Cypriots in London for decades, congregating mainly around north and southeast London. However, in the past two to three years they have been joined by a growing number of Istanbul’s monied elite looking for a stable place in which to invest their wealth.

This week Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who has dominated Turkish politics for 20 years, narrowly beat Kemal Kilicdaroglu to be re-elected president, with 52.16 per cent of the vote. The country has been in economic turmoil since 2018, and this is believed to have led to Erdogan’s party, the AKP, losing Turkey’s biggest cities, including Istanbul and Ankara, in the 2019 local elections. There was a modest economic recovery during the pandemic, but the Turkish lira lost 44 per cent of its value against the dollar in 2021 after the Central Bank of Turkey cut interest rates from 19 per cent to 14 per cent.

Camilla Dell, founder of the buying agency Black Brick, says the currency crash means some Turks can only afford to rent in London at the moment, but the wealthier ones are keen to get their money out of the country. “Many Turks fear the longer Erdogan remains in power, the worse the country’s economy will become. They have lost all hope that he can turn it around. His handling of the earthquake disaster [in February] has only cemented this thought in the mind of many Turks, both locally and Turkish expats,” she says.

Turkey’s high-net-worth population is set to grow by 156.5 per cent by 2027, according to Knight Frank’s Wealth Report — faster than any other country’s elite.

Wealthy Turks like to rub shoulders in the prestigious neighbourhoods long favoured by buyers from the United Arab Emirates, southeast Asia and, until recently, Russia. Turkish entrepreneurs were behind some of the biggest property deals in Knightsbridge, Mayfair, South Kensington and Belgravia last year.

Hanzade Dogan Boyner, one of Turkey’s most high-profile tech bosses, who founded Hepsiburada, an online shopping platform dubbed “the Amazon of the East”, bought a six-bedroom Victorian mansion in Belgravia for £27 million last summer. In the winter there was a significant sale in Cadogan Square, Knightsbridge, to a Turkish buyer, who paid £27 million for a property that was originally listed for £35 million.

Rokstone has completed on several properties on behalf of Turkish buyers this year, including a £31 million house in Mayfair, a £7.5 million flat in Knightsbridge and a £4.5 million flat in Paddington. In the past few weeks Fatemi has found two properties for Turks, one in Knightsbridge and the other near Hyde Park. “Both wanted a house with a porter, good ceiling heights and good views,” she says. “The political uncertainty in Turkey seems to be the driving factor behind this heightened interest in London.”

Turkish buyers looking for a speedy purchase will pay cash for new-build flats by the River Thames, reports Lindsay Cuthill, founder of the prime property agency Blue Book. He says: “Buying momentum from Turkey, particularly in London’s prime postcodes, hits new heights when they have an election. Instability often encourages quick financial thinking.”

Institutional Turkish investors too are looking to the UK for solid returns. Will Watson at the Buying Solution, Knight Frank’s in-house buying agency, confirms that he has started working with a Turkish fund to find high-end family homes with potential for long-term capital growth.

At the end of September 2021 Eren Paper bought Shotton Paper Mill in Flintshire for £600 million — one of the largest investments made by a Turkish conglomerate in the UK. It plans to employ 660 people to make containerboard, a common packaging material.

Turkish buyers aren’t just looking to make a quick buck, however. Owning a holiday home in London is seen as evidence that one has “made it” in Turkey, according to Dell.

Education is a key driver for upwardly mobile Turkish families, according to Sophie Rogerson, managing director at the buying agency RFR, who says that she has a £15 million budget from one Turkish client to find a house near Francis Holland, a private girls’ school in Sloane Square, Chelsea, that charges fees of £7,750 a term.

Now that Erdogan has won another term, secondary residency is a “hot topic” among Rogerson’s client’s friends: one is considering moving her two children to the capital for the start of the school year, and a lawyer friend is looking for an investment property in central London.

“London is not the only option, of course. Greece, Portugal and Italy are also discussed at length,” Rogerson says. “However, with English so commonly spoken among Turks, the transition to life in London is felt to be more smooth. There is also a view that, with its vibrant cultural scene, ownership of a London property provides a certain social cachet that other destinations cannot compete with.”

Eight questions an estate agent doesn’t want you to ask — but you absolutely should

By Emma Magnus

Buying a property? These questions will help you assess the price and decide whether there may be wiggle room for negotiation

For most of us, buying a property is the most significant investment we’ll ever make. But how can we know whether we’re getting a fair price, or judge whether a negotiation will be fruitful? Asking the right questions is key.

“Information is critical to be able assess price, ability to negotiate, timescales and whether there are any potential hidden reasons why you may not want —or be able — to buy that property,” says Camilla Dell, founder of buying agency Black Brick. “It’s a very British thing to not ask and be polite, but buying a property is one of the most expensive things a person buys in their lifetime.”

From sussing out the seller to probing the price, here are eight questions you shouldn’t be afraid to ask an estate agent, according to leading buying agents.

Why is the seller selling?

“Understanding why the seller wants to sell is critical when working out how to position offers and, importantly, how amenable the seller may be to negotiating,” says Dell. “A seller that’s getting divorced, probate or receivership sales indicate a higher probability of being able to negotiate successfully. A seller with no mortgage and no real reason to sell other than ‘if they get their price’ suggests far less chance of negotiating anything.”

What is the seller’s timescale?

“This is often overlooked at the offer stage, and many deals fall apart because this isn’t discussed at the outset,” says Ashley Wilsdon, Head of London Buying at Middleton Advisors.

Understanding the seller’s timescale may also help negotiations, adds Dell. Find out whether they have somewhere to move to if your offer is accepted. It might be possible to negotiate a price reduction in return for a delayed completion, for example.

Is the property deliverable?

“This basically means: is the seller actually going to sell?” says Dell. “It’s a good question to ask, particularly for an off-market property where the seller may just be playing at selling rather than being serious about a sale.”

Is the seller ready to sell?

Specifically, Dell recommends asking whether the seller has appointed a law firm on the sale, and whether a legal pack is ready to be sent out. Do they have finance, or a mortgage on their property? This is available to access publicly on the Land Registry.

It’s also worth finding out who the decision maker is, Dell advises. Is it down to one seller, or is the sale a family decision, involving multiple people?

Are you the main agent?

“It is important to know if your agent is directly instructed by the seller. Very often people are unknowingly viewing via a sub-agent,” says Roarie Scarisbrick, partner at buying agent Property Vision. Not having direct contact with the seller may disadvantage buyers — plus, in competitive bidding, the main agent will favour their own buyer over the sub-agents, who will want a share of their fee.

What offers have been received previously – and what happened?

Dell and Wilsdon both recommend asking about previous offers. Crucially, find out what happened. If a past offer was accepted, why did the buyer withdraw from the purchase? Or, if a sale fell through — why?

On that note, also ask how long the vendor has been trying to sell for, adds Dell.

Can you tell me more about your current offers?

“If you are being hustled by an agent who has an offer, then you really need to push them on the terms of the bid,” advises Scarisbrick. “What are the conditions? Are they cash buyers or subject to finance? What timings are they proposing? Do they have a related sale? Are they represented by a buying agent? People tend to focus on the headline figure, but the terms and the quality of the bidder are more important.”

Is this your price or the vendor’s?

“If the price doesn’t seem right, then it is worth finding out how they got there,” says Scarisbrick. “Very often vendors get greedy and disregard their agent’s advice on price. If this is the case, then there is a problem, and it may take time in the market for the penny to drop. Sometimes waiting is the best strategy.”

If it’s the agent’s price, on the other hand, Wilsdon suggests asking for evidence of comparable properties that have sold at a similar value to justify the guide price. “If they can’t, then you know it’s too much.”

 

Talking Heads: What would a Labour-led government mean for the prime property market?

The spectre of Corbyn may be laid to rest, but the threat of a mansion tax continues to haunt the streets of PCL as election chatter intensifies. Read the latest insights from some of the industry’s top names, including Aston Chase’s Mark Pollack, Black Brick’s Camilla Dell, Prime Purchase’s Charlie Wells, Winkworth’s Dominic Agace, Middleton’s Mark Parkinson & many more…

 

“Discussions around the general election have started to creep into conversations”, according to Christian Lock-Necrews, head of the Knightsbridge office at Knight Frank; following Labour’s strong showing at the local elections, and various manifesto murmurings, many other agents and advisors will be fielding questions about the possible impact of a change in government next year.

PrimeResi spoke to specialists from across the prime property sector to gauge the general feeling: what would a Labour-led government mean for the market, and which potential policies are keeping buyers and sellers up at night…

 

A Labour Government under the stewardship of Keir Starmer is less of a concern than it was under Jeremy Corbyn

Ashley Wilsdon, Head of London Buying, Middleton Advisors.

“The general consensus amongst our clients is that a Labour government is perhaps an inevitability at this stage…and with it a Mansion Tax of sorts is widely expected.

A Labour Government under the stewardship of Keir Starmer is less of a concern than it was under Jeremy Corbyn and the London property market seems to have already factored in this likelihood, which is reflected in lower levels of transactions compared to the same period last year.

The PCL London market will likely revert to type, namely vendors will be reluctant to sell and buyers will be opportunistic in their approach.”

 

Perhaps gives people who are on the fence a reason not to buy

Charlie Wells, Managing Director, Prime Purchase

“One hopes the reality of a Labour government, should we end up with one, will not be as negative for the top end of the property market as some fear.

There is talk of a percentage increase on stamp duty paid by foreign buyers in the UK – one hopes that the impact of that would be softened by the fact that the pound is relatively speaking pretty weak, although it has recovered a little, and UK property is comparatively not as expensive as property in some other countries.

That said, the uncertainty around a Labour government and what it might or might not introduce isn’t helpful; it perhaps gives people who are on the fence a reason not to buy.

One also has to question just how much such a move will actually generate for the economy. What impact will it have on the average working man? When rich people come to the UK and buy houses in London or estates in the country, they employ a lot of staff, as well as tradespeople, buy a lot of furniture etc and spend a lot of money in the economy. If we stop them doing that, is it worth it in order to generate an extra 2 per cent in stamp duty which grabs the headlines?  Or is it just about appeasing the champagne socialists who live in Islington?

What Labour might not realise is that such policies have the potential to impact hard-working people in the UK.  It may turn out not to be a very sensible move at all but quite often it’s not about that – it’s about appeasing the liberal elite.

It’s a similar situation with the plan to impose VAT on school fees – it won’t affect the rich, it will just put pressure on the state system as those parents who are only just able to afford to put their children through private school suddenly can’t do so. And what’s the outcome? More children in the state system and suddenly the local school’s class size goes from 22 to 30. What good is that to anyone?

The reality is that a Labour government probably won’t have as much of an impact as we think but it would put pressure on the ‘wrong’ people and certainly not those it is trying to target in the first place.

It’s certainly a talking point for clients. Are they worried? At the moment it is all an unknown and if they ask us what the impact of a Labour government might be, we can’t answer the question for them – they have to take a punt for themselves”.

 

Many people will see a change as welcome…but there could be more punitive measures around multiple home ownership

Mark Pollack, Co-founding Director, Aston Chase

“What a Labour-led Government would mean for the UK’s prime property market would depend on what legislation comes with a change in government. Fundamentally, Kier Starmer is reasonably moderate and it feels like there is an understanding that it would be an ‘own goal’ to punitively tax properties that could result in some wealthy people choosing to leave London despite them having strong ties to the capital such as children’s schooling and healthcare provision.

However, if there were to be a Labour-led Government, it would be a culture change, and there will be anxiety with any change of government particularly after such a long Conservative Government rule. However, we have had such a volatile time with the current government, so many people will see a change as welcome.

I believe under a Labour Government there could be more punitive measures around multiple home ownership. Some sort of wealth / property tax seems like a possibility and this will affect Buy-To-Let investors and multiple home owners such as landlords the most. However, under Labour Governments, there always tend to be an upturn in regeneration project initiatives and new development zone allocations. For example the regeneration of Nine Elms, Battersea Power Station and Croydon were all kick-started under Labour governments.

Labour Governments, historically, are happy for more private sale homes to be built, especially in London, as long as this comes with ample social housing, leisure and community infrastructure provision. Both the Labour and Liberal parties are currently very critical of the Conservative party that not enough new homes are being built in London and the wider UK, and a focus on more housing provision can only be good for the property industry.

We are not yet seeing any impact at the moment on buyers and sellers. We are potentially still 18 months away from a general election, in 2024 it may become a hot topic but at the moment we feel we have just begun to  get over the effects of the mini budget and escalating interest rates, it would be nice to have a little bit of stability in the market for some time.

Also, especially in Prime Central London in locations such as St John’s Wood, Regent’s Park and Hampstead, the last 15 months have been a significant upturn in American families – both buying homes and renting. This is because of the exchange rate advantage, but also because the American real estate market has been so deeply depressed, so even if we have a change of political party, these overseas buyers and others from the Middle East and Asia are highly unlikely to “sell-up”.

Since the autumn mini budget it is only recently that we feel, perhaps as the weather is improving and spring has sprung, that despite interest rates going up, people have got used to the new terrain. There has been a period of inactivity resulting in pent-up demand but life goes on and people want to get on with things such as buying their new home.

Many of our recent sales are on properties that have been reduced in price – it has taken quite a long time for the market to get used to the new reality. Now that this has happened, and people have reduced prices, we are seeing a bit more of normality.

I am not sure that Labour is as such a terrible prospect for the property market as some view it, seeing as we have had a Conservative Government that has been so set on financial acumen and everything associated with that. So we are currently not as phased by this as we have been with other political issues”.

 

London will undoubtedly remain a desirable city for prime buyers

Toby Downes, London Specialist, Haringtons

“Of course, for many looking to buy or sell prime residential property in London, the prospect of a new Labour government does prompt concern. Higher stamp duty rates aimed at the International buyer combined with further measures being discussed could discourage purchasers and temper their appetite for the Capital. However, London has long been a favourite with overseas buyers whose interest remains strong most recently fuelled by the strength of dollar based currencies.

Regardless of the political agenda, safety, security, culture and a favourable time zone, ensure that London will undoubtedly remain a desirable city for prime buyers. Little surprise therefore that with fewer excellent properties available, impartial advice and buying expertise are today more crucial than ever”.

 

What the London property market needs is more affordable stock, not higher taxes

Camilla Dell, Managing Partner, Black Brick

“A Labour win isn’t going to have a positive impact on the super prime London property market. Labour want to increase tax on overseas buyers which is already at 15%, an extortionate amount. Most overseas buyers aren’t even competing with first time buyers as they are buying well above £1 million. What the London property market needs is more affordable stock, not higher taxes. Higher stamp duty will cause the market to stall meaning fewer transactions, but not necessarily huge price falls.

The last time stamp duty went up the London market fell pretty much in line with the increase. How much the market falls this time all depends on what the extra increase looks like. A 60% tax, such as what the Singapore government have brought in for overseas buyers, would be disastrous and would erode confidence in the market in London. Right now, most overseas buyers are unaware of the changes a Labour government would implement if elected but I imagine that will start to change as we get closer the GE”.

 

Those who really want to have a foothold in one of the pre-eminent cities in the world will still want to be here

Caspar Harvard Walls, Partner, Black Brick

“The changes to taxation on property over the last 10 years and in particular to stamp duty has had many impacts, one of them being that buying in London has to be for the medium to long term.

A change in Government might put off some buyers but Governments potentially change every five years and so those who really want to have a foothold in one of the pre-eminent cities in the world will still want to be here”.

 

Buyers and sellers are understandably craving political stability

Jimmy Waight, Regional Director, John D Wood & Co

“After the disastrous mini-Budget announcement in autumn 2022 which sent mortgage rates spiralling, and spread a cloud of uncertainty across the property market, buyers and sellers are understandably craving political stability.

The market has settled, and confidence has begun to return, however, we need our elected Government to take our housing policy with the seriousness it deserves.

There are serious challenges facing the UK’s housing market – from lack of affordable homes, and rising rents, to uncertainty around policy, such as the u-turn on the abolishment of the leasehold system – to name a few. It is abundantly clear that we need a long-term strategy to address these issues, which will create much needed improvement within the industry. Having had 6 housing ministers in the last 15 months, and 16 housing ministers over 13 years, it comes as no surprise that these issues are yet to be resolved.

Regardless of which party is in power and the merry-go-round of housing ministers, the prime London property market remains resilient and an upcoming election is unlikely to deter people who need to move home”.

 

Our current crisis is in development and construction

Ben Ridley, Director, Architecture for London

“A Labour government would result in shifts in housing policy that are likely to affect the prime property market. Labour intend to increase the stamp duty paid by foreign buyers of UK properties, thereby reducing demand from overseas buyers, this will have a cooling effect on value growth in the prime sector. Other proposed policies that may have a similar effect include: allowing only first-time buyers to be able to buy homes in a new development in the initial months of marketing, and limiting overseas buyers to 50% of units in any new development. The benefits of these policies will be meeting local housing needs first and potentially making properties more affordable to local buyers.

I feel that our current crisis is in development and construction. Site transactions and development activity are being paused due to the double-edged sword of high borrowing and construction costs, both arguably due to political decisions in recent history. I think over the next few years we will see an impact from this reduced supply of new homes in the prime sector – this reduction in supply may keep prime values buoyant despite the policies of a potential new government”.

 

If Labour pushes them too far, international investors will choose other cities to the detriment of the economy in London and UK as a whole

Dominic Agace, Chief Executive, Winkworth

“The outlook for prime markets looks more positive than it has for some time, with Brexit behind us and Labour taking a more centrist approach than they have in the past.  However, the housing market is in crisis, with rents rising rapidly recently after a sell-off by landlords in the face of tax changes. A lack of new homes being built is set to exacerbate structural supply and demand issues for the foreseeable future.  With these issues, housing has never been such a political issue. With that comes the dangers of over-intervention having unintended consequences that add to the problem rather than solve it.

In some ways both parties are now trying to occupy the same ground, competing for the votes of the first-time buyer and generation rent with proposed incentives for FTBs and further regulatory reform to support tenants. In many ways, a Conservative or a Labour government will have the same impact as they push through these agendas, as we start the countdown to the next election and the parties seek to win votes – with the housing market at the core of their pitch to the electorate.

The dangers are already here and it now depends whether a Labour government will exacerbate them. Support for first time buyers is a positive step, but without actual action on supply and planning reform, this will be a one hit wonder – with future first time buyers facing an even steeper challenge. The Conservatives have clearly defeated themselves by missing their housing targets. Labour have spotted this opportunity and are pushing their commitment to build new houses and council houses, which one can only hope they deliver if they come to power.

The big concern is the private rental sector where private landlords are starting to not see a future with rising costs of finance and tax changes meaning they pay tax on income they do not receive and their investments are underwater.  The issue is if they do sell off, then rents will rise further and competition will increase.  The answer to this is not rent caps. We have seen in Scotland how this will disincentivise investment in the sector by institutions or private landlords, affecting the availability for people who want to live near their workplaces. This is undermining the appeal of our cities as places to move for career reasons. In the case of London as a global business centre, international workers coming to the capital for work can’t find accommodation.  We need to encourage a healthy private rental sector to ensure that young people can live in cities, and not force them all into larger rental schemes without offering the choice of more central locations. We do need both options and responsible regulation to ensure a fair market place.

The other threat for prime markets is a stated intent to increase tax on overseas investors. We have seen in recent years that tax changes and economic credibility do affect buyer demand in prime markets. London needs to continue to be open and welcoming to overseas investors to continue to thrive. If Labour pushes them too far, international investors will choose other cities to the detriment of the economy in London and UK as a whole”.

 

A Mansion Tax as such still looks difficult, if not impossible to implement in an equitable way

Mark Parkinson, Managing Director, Middleton Advisors

“The short answer is we do not know as they have not published any policies. If a recent article citing a Labour think tank on possible/probable housing policy is correct, it seems to be more focussed on helping first-time and low-income buyers get on the ladder with government backed mortgages etc, rather than clobbering the owners and buyers of prime property. They did suggest further increased SDLT for foreign buyers, but it would be quite difficult to define a ‘foreign’ buyer given the very diverse nature of London as a city.

One question we are asked increasingly is about the threat of a Mansion Tax. This was a recurrent theme in the run up to the 2019 General Election and the thinking remains the same. There may well be increases in Council Tax at the higher end or indeed more Council Tax bands, but a Mansion Tax as such still looks difficult, if not impossible to implement in an equitable way”.

 

A new government could provide further stability

Jonathan Harris, Founder, Harris Associates

“London remains a safe harbour for investors, regardless of the government in power and despite economic concerns, we see reasons for optimism. The UK market exhibits relative resilience in the face of global instability and unpredictability, which is why it has and will continue to draw the appetite of international investors, including Asian capital. We see this demand through our international partnership with Edmund Tie.

As it stands, the local councils that are mostly Labour-led would suggest minimal market changes. On a macro level and looking back at Labour’s previous tenure, their investor-friendly approach and openness to immigrants bode well for business, hospitality, and real estate. With the market already showing signs of strength, a new government could provide further stability”.

 

There is a lot of pain coming for lots of people

Yasmin Ulhaq, Director and Founder, Glenfield Property Management

“As the general election approaches, housing plans have once again taken centre stage. The Conservative Party, in my opinion, has heavily focused on the Renters Reform Bill (RRB) as a key solution. However, I anticipate several challenges in its implementation. The RRB was initially discussed in 2019 but has faced delays due to uncertainty within the party. The legislation aims to abolish the section 21 notice, shift tenancies to periodic terms, and introduce new standards for the rental sector making it challenging for the private sector landlords.

Labour has shown support for rent controls, particularly in major cities. If implemented, this could potentially impact the rental market and, indirectly, the prime property market by affecting rental yields and returns on investment for landlords.  According to Nandy, the next Labour government will never treat renters like second-class citizens. What about Landlords? I believe both parties have totally misjudging the situation. By protecting tenants they are actually causing more hardship for them. This is going to increase rental prices making it harder for tenants to rent and subsequently landlords will leave the sector.  What about having some practical landlord incentives?

The global community of super prime buyers (anyone over the £5mn category) are more diluted now as other cities such as Dubai, Spain and Miami have entered the stage. London properties are set to have the most substantial fall in value during 2023.  Several signs have indicated towards the Labour party increasing the stamp duty paid by foreign buyers of UK property as well as limiting the sale of new build buyers overseas. Starmer wants to retain up to 70% allocation for UK buyers. Starmer is making an exception here by bashing the uber wealthy, especially those who claim non domicile status.

Speaking to some of our clients, their tax advisers are on the fence and are considering diverting their money elsewhere, potentially leaving a gap in the UK’s finances. Many landlords have decided to exit the rental market and invest in other funds. Will the government build the 300,000 homes it’s promised in time before we have another crisis on our hands. There is a lot of pain coming for lots of people”!

 

Targeting of ‘overseas’ buyers as a solution is problematic…and rather short-sighted

Vic Chhabria, Founder and CEO, London Real Estate Office

“The Labour party has already sent clear signs they are keen to limit non-dom buying activity with a second stamp duty surcharge and even sales restrictions on new build developments, which is significant to the prime property market. Of course, there is a need to make homeownership more accessible though this targeting of ‘overseas’ buyers as a solution is problematic and – dare I say it – rather short-sighted. Such a blanket approach to the UK’s entire market, and all people of so-called international status, doesn’t reflect the complexities and nuances within it and it’s hard to say whether such actions will really bring about the change that assists local and younger buyers. It also assumes international buyers are not active residents and contributors to the local communities and economies in which they live, from local businesses, schools, gyms, restaurants, bars and more. If the above would come into force, the Capital could lose out on foreign money that has historically been crucial to the UKs economy. This in turn could be a hit to our current political-economic climate and could result in worse outcomes, with little help to the audience it’s aimed at assisting.”

As it stands there is caution amongst both UK and overseas buyers but not worry. If a Labour Govt looks is imminent, it could potentially catapult London’s property market between now and the election as foreign buyers look to snap up homes in the Capital before any stamp duty surcharges and restrictions come into play”.

Buyer sought for 16,000 sq ft Hampstead mansion project

Agency lists rare plot of land across the road from Hampstead Golf Course with scope for new super-home.

A rare plot of land on north London’s Winnington Road has been put up for sale with scope for a new mega-mansion.

Mayfair-based agency Black Brick is quoting an asking price of £6.995mn for the 0.38 acre slice of Hampstead Garden Suburb, which currently houses a tennis court and a patch of grass.

 

The vision, however, is for an “elegant” 16,000 sq ft period-style residence with a full suite of leisure facilities.

Plans show four floors of accommodation, with two living rooms, a large kitchen overlooking the garden terrace, a dining room and a study. Six bedrooms would occupy the upper levels, with all the fun stuff down in the basement: a games room, gym, hair salon, massage room, swimming pool and Jacuzzi.

 

 

Consent is already in place for the transformation, said the firm, describing the instruction as “an intriguing prospect”.

Winnington Road, close to Hampstead Heath, is regarded as one of north London’s most prestigious addresses. The plot itself sits right across the road from Hampstead Golf Course.