Best coastal towns to live in the UK 2025

Buyers will get the most out of the coast in these 20 seaside hotspots — from Cornwall’s most creative town to the cool beach that is Edinburgh’s best-kept secret

By Tim Palmer

Wouldn’t it be nice if every day could feel like a holiday? It can — or at least a lot more so — when you live by the sea. Now could be the ideal time to make that move. Increases in council tax and stamp duty on second homes has had a big effect on house prices in the most popular seaside spots.

“While at the end of March prices for prime coastal properties were 12.8 per cent below where they were in the autumn of 2022, this sits against the context of 25 per cent growth during the preceding mini housing market boom,” says Lucian Cook, head of residential research at the estate agency Savills. “Nonetheless, for those looking to buy, this provides a good opportunity to get more for their money.”

Ben Horne, head of country buying at the search agents Middleton Advisors, adds: “To be able to sell on the coast, a property has to be priced attractively. That means low — lower than it would have achieved in 2022, perhaps lower than in 2019. That creates a market where buyers hold cards. Some owners really want to sell, others wisely recognise that a correction now on their sale price will be reflected in their onward purchase price.”

We’ve picked 20 of the best places to live by the coast. They’re all different. Some are pretty honeypots, others are salty city suburbs and a few are wild, wonderful and remote. And they all avoid the twin blights that affect so many of our coastal towns, which are often either crippled by deprivation or so overrun with second homes that you won’t find a pub, a shop or a light on in winter.

Best seaside towns to live in England

Falmouth, Cornwall

You may have seen this Cornish jewel cited as Britain’s “most depressing town” last year, but Falmouth has everything you need for a happy life by the sea: four great beaches, sparkling views at every turn and a town centre that’s like the coolest bit of a cool city, along with a young, fun and creative population.

“It’s all about the community. Our friendship group includes people of all ages and backgrounds and it’s really easy to get to know people. Falmouth attracts people who are more driven by the lifestyle than by money, and everyone is very supportive of each other,” Kathryn Tyler says.

Tyler is an interior designer who has lived here since arriving as a student in 1997. She and her partner, Angus, are responsible for the two award-winning Kiln community beach saunas, one on the main Gyllyngvase beach (Gylly for short), the other at Flushing just across the river. They have added a dose of Scandi-style wellbeing to the town.

There is a superior coffee scene (Beacon, Dark Pony, Espressini and more), some great pubs and restaurants (the Chintz, Beerwolf, the Seaview Inn, Hevva!), and a busy live music scene — you’ll find something to enjoy day or night. And there’s almost as much happening in its arty neighbour, Penryn.

Falmouth is also a great place to bring up children, Tyler says — she has a two-year-old son, Kaspar. “It’s like a massive playground, with all the beaches and all the open space. There’s a very young community, there are really good networks and support groups and the great thing is that you can walk everywhere.”

There’s a good range of homes, many with sea views, or at least sea or river glimpses. Allow at least £1.5 million for something substantial overlooking Swanpool or Maenporth beach, although the pretty period riverside townhouses on Wodehouse Terrace, Stratton Terrace and Tehidy Terrace (about £1 million) are just as good. Small terraces, bungalows and some seafront apartments are available for about £350,000.
Average house price: £417,689

Tynemouth, Tyne & Wear

An unshakeable fixture in The Sunday Times Best Places to Live, Tynemouth’s mix of brilliant beaches and buzzy streets is hard to resist. Whether you’re catching a wave at Longsands, slurping a Lindisfarne oyster at Riley’s Fish Shack or hunting for treasures in the indoor market at the old railway station, you’ll always feel you’re living your best life here.

The schools are good, the centre of Newcastle is about 30 minutes away on the Metro and the strength of the community is evident in projects such as the campaign to restore Tynemouth Outdoor Pool, the 1920s lido overlooking Longsands beach.

Such riches don’t come cheap of course, even in the budget-friendly northeast of England. You can expect to pay about £500,000 for a period terrace close to the beach, relatively big bucks in the region, or upwards of £1.5 million for a house in Percy Gardens, a Victorian crescent with sea views.
Average house price: £238,943

Beer, Devon

There’s something nicely old-fashioned about Beer, a tranquil village at the western end of the Jurassic Coast. It’s all colourful beach huts, flint cottages and fishing boats on its pebbly beach. There are some good pubs (though the name derives from the woodland that used to surround the area, rather than for a boozy reason), cafés and a lively year-round social scene, much of it based around the sailing club and the annual regatta. The sense of community is strong too — a local community land trust has succeeded in building affordable homes for locals in the village.

Exeter is only half an hour away by car, and Colyton Grammar (the second best school in the southwest of England, according to The Sunday Times Parent Power Guide) is even closer. There are great coastal walks nearby and a wide choice of houses, including modest bungalows for £300,000, bay-windowed townhouses from £600,000 and spacious clifftop villas from £1.5 million.

Despite this, Beer remains about as under-the-radar as the Jurassic Coast gets. “It’s pretty and unspoilt and there’s a great lifestyle, but unlike Lyme Regis or Sidmouth, which get really busy, nobody really knows it’s here,” says Rupert Stephenson, regional director of Black Brick buying agents.
Average house price: £486,220 (five-year average)

New Brighton, Merseyside

This Victorian spot just across the Mersey from Liverpool is the opposite of a fading resort. A refreshed streetscape, community clean-ups and lots of cool new independent businesses are the most visible signs of the long-term planning and investment that are turning New Brighton into a lively rival to fancier Wirral neighbours such as Heswall, Hoylake and West Kirby.

Highlights include the vintage and vinyl shops, bars and restaurants in the Victoria Quarter, and SUP, a bar/café/crafted goods shop opposite the railway station (from where Merseyrail trains will take you to Liverpool Central in 25 minutes).

A golden beach — safe for swimming when the lifeguards are about — and sweeping views across the river to Liverpool docks and Everton FC’s new stadium maintain the maritime feel. Prices are relatively forgiving too, with four-bedroom Victorian semis and terraces from about £250,000.
Average house price: £183,869

Deal, Kent

Look back from the end of the brutalist pier at the colourful pebbly beach and the jumble of historic houses and it’s easy to see why Deal remains the most appealing spot on the Kent coast — although the lack of golden sand keeps the number of day-trippers down.

The browsable high street — posh and quirky at one end, down to earth at the other — has everything a high street should, and the town’s sense of community is winning out against the weekenders from London. The beautiful community gardens at Sandown Castle and the number of people taking part in regular beach cleans are proof of that.

Train connections to the capital are fast (direct to London St Pancras in just under an hour and a half), if not quite as regular as they used to be.

Deal’s great draw is its range of beautiful period properties, mostly in the Middle Street conservation area. Once they were a magnet for theatrical types, but latterly they have been a canvas for those architects and interior designers who see 18th-century proportions and winding staircases as a challenge rather than a drawback. High demand means these houses have been hard to come by in recent years and prices are still high — at least £400,000 for two bedrooms, £700,000 for four — but there’s movement in the market again. “The number of listings has significantly increased since Easter and the quality is better than last year, with more higher-value properties,” says Rebecca Lead, a director at the Bright & Bright estate agency.
Average house price: £341,912

Southsea, Hampshire

Southsea is more than just the acceptable face of Portsmouth. Once a celebrity-friendly resort that was home to the likes of Arthur Conan Doyle, Rudyard Kipling and Peter Sellers, it’s now a fun and funky hotspot.

The revamped prom is the perfect spot for a golden-hour jog or stroll, the beach is family-friendly and the streets are filled with interesting independent shops, bars and restaurants. The highlights include the artisan bakery Bread Addiction, the Canteen café/restaurant, which is as much an arts hub as a place to eat, and Broadway Coffee Roasters, supplier of top-class beans to the Royal Navy among others. Duane Bradshaw, Broadway’s boss, who was born in Portsmouth, says Southsea’s spirit is hard to beat. “We have the sea air, the sound of waves brushing the pebbles and history in every building, but what makes this little coastal pocket remarkable is its community. People here choose independent over chain, quality over quantity, and community over convenience.”

Everywhere’s walkable and there’s a good selection of properties, such as the historic homes of Old Portsmouth (where £1 million buys a grandstand view of passing aircraft carriers), smart Victorian semis and terraces for about £500,000, and eco-friendly homes from £224,950 at St James Park, a new development in the former St James Hospital.
Average house price: £274,070

Hunstanton, Norfolk

Something is stirring on this part of the north Norfolk coast. The arrival of new wine bars and artisan bakeries in villages such as Snettisham, Thornham and Holme-next-the-Sea should lure the canny homebuyer away from the usual hunting grounds on the well-known stretch between Burnham Market and Cromer. Hunstanton (pronounced “Hunston” if you want to fit in), meanwhile, hasn’t quite shed its slot-machines-and-walking-frames image, but the surrounding villages are lush and lovely.

According to Jamie Jamieson, a Norfolk-based property search agent, this area doesn’t just have great sunsets, a winning golf course and easy access to the best of the coast — Holkham’s endless sands and the magical marshland around Blakeney and Cley — but also easy connections to London via King’s Lynn, and all with a more modest price tag.

Interesting new foodie businesses such as the Old Store at Snettisham (soon to open a branch in Thornham) and White Horse Bakery in Holme provide reason to linger. Allow £750,000 for a four-bedroom detached house or £1.5 million for a barn conversion or a house with a bit more land.
Average house price: £299,396

Clevedon, Somerset

Nobody could mistake the latte-coloured tidal rush of the Bristol Channel for the azure waters of the Caribbean, but for anyone who wants to breathe fresh briny air while keeping Bristol close at hand, Clevedon is, hands down, the best option.

The best thing here is Clevedon Marine Lake. Run by volunteers and topped up fortnightly by the tide, it’s the world’s largest saltwater infinity pool and provides a clean alternative to the murky waters of the channel for swimmers, kayakers and paddleboarders. Clevedon is an attractive town too, with an elegant pier, views across the water to Wales and a parade of independent shops with a village vibe in Hill Road.

Bristol is 40 minutes away by car, but the tree-lined avenues of smart Victorian villas winding down from the town’s seven hills could easily pass for one of the city’s well-scrubbed suburbs. And the best homes are a bit cheaper than in overheated Bristol — expect to pay about £1.2 million for a substantial period detached on Cambridge Road or neighbouring streets.
Average house price: £402,666

The Witterings, West Sussex

West Wittering’s expanse of pristine white sand is a beach for the ages, a stunning coastal playground that would look more at home in the tropics than in the overcrowded south of England. Surfers, windsurfers, swimmers, birdwatchers, kayakers and paddleboarders can all occupy themselves happily, with only the £15.45 peak car park charge and the serious summer traffic jams to spoil the idyllic image. Which is why it makes sense to live close by if you can.

You’ll need an A-list budget to join the likes of Keith Richards and Kate Winslet in the beautiful flint houses on West Wittering’s lovely lawns, though. These sell for at least £2 million and are likely to be snapped up long before they reach an estate agent’s window. East Wittering, however, is much more affordable (and laid-back) than its western neighbour. It has good three-bedroom homes for about £500,000.
Average house price: £645,861

Saltburn-by-the-Sea, North Yorkshire

Perhaps inspired by the film with which it shares a name (if little else — best not recreate the ending on the beach), Saltburn is having a bit of a moment. In the past 12 months it has been variously named Britain’s best beach, Britain’s most beautiful seaside town and Britain’s “best town for a seaside staycation”.

Take these “awards” with a pinch of sea salt if you like, but this gently faded Victorian resort does have looks and charm. The delicate pier (amusement-free) and the Cliff Tramway are an atmospheric reminder of the glory days of the British seaside, while the magnificent beach — eight miles long, no less — is now a mecca for the surfing crowd.

On days when the north wind turns a stroll on the prom into an icy endurance test, there’s always the beautiful Valley Gardens or a browse in the many backstreet galleries. The best properties are the big detached homes on Victoria Road and Victoria Terrace, which can sell for more than £1 million. The coveted terraces on the “jewel streets” — Pearl, Diamond, Emerald etc — are handy for the beach and will set you back about £500,000.
Average house price: £277,159

Hove, East Sussex

With plenty of beach to go around, and vibrant culture and nightlife, Hove (actually) is the UK’s best place to enjoy a city-by-the-sea lifestyle — it’s far less crowded and chaotic than Brighton with its relentless stream of boozy day-trippers. Here you’ll find a more relaxed lifestyle that is heavy on yoga, wellbeing and barista-made flat whites (44 Poets is especially good). There are plenty of good nurseries and schools, plus direct trains to London Victoria.

• Hove, East Sussex, named one of the best places to live 2025

The food scene is catching up with Brighton’s too, from the superior sarnies at Tom’s Sandwich Shop to fine dining at Etch. Hove also has a better selection of homes than its noisy neighbour, including seafront Regency apartments (up to £1 million), family-friendly Victorian terraces in Poets’ Corner (from £500,000) and luxury villas around Tongdean Road (£2.5 million).
Average house price: £547,063

Isle of Wight

This island is the ultimate natural playground for seekers of water-based fun. From serious sailors to kayakers, paddleboarders and wild-swimmers, everyone can find something to enjoy on the Isle of Wight’s 57-mile coastline. Even the short ferry crossing to get here can send stress levels tumbling.

Delightfully vintage in character — all seaside proms, Victorian piers, tea rooms and country lanes linking the quaint towns and villages — the island’s apparent disdain for the modern world seems increasingly like a selling point.

“You are sacrificing a bit of convenience by living on an island, but it does only take two and a half hours to get to London, there are lots of ferries, and the lifestyle and the value for money more than make up for it,” says Eilidh McIntyre, a former Olympic sailor (she won gold at the Tokyo Games in 2020) who is now a property buying agent with Middleton Advisors.

There’s a choice of lifestyles on offer too, from arty Ventnor and community-minded Bembridge, where you’ll find some of the best beaches, to laid-back Yarmouth and Freshwater in the wilder west, which attracts the coastal equivalent of the Soho House crowd. If you want a prime property on the beach, you’ll need anything from £1.5 million to £6 million, which might even bag a private stretch of sand. Nowhere here is more than 30 minutes from the coast, though, and there are much cheaper properties inland.
Average house price: £301,722

Best seaside towns to live in Scotland

The East Neuk, Fife

There’s nothing secret about the golden beaches, magical light and famous fish suppers on offer in the string of fishing villages that line the coast where the Firth of Forth meets the North Sea. What has changed is that, thanks to the remote-working revolution, Elie, Anstruther, Pittenweem, Crail et al are now places to live and work, rather than just to escape for a day’s paddling and the taste of freshly battered haddock.

With Edinburgh about 70 minutes away by car or train (from Leven railway station) for irregular commuters, and Dundee and St Andrews much closer, it’s no surprise that many second homes have been turning into first ones. A fisherman’s cottage overlooking Crail Harbour will set you back about £400,000, while anyone with £500,000 to spend can WFH with a view of the waves from a larger terraced home in Cellardyke, pausing for a dip in the newly restored tidal pool known locally as “the Bathie” — and perhaps even a session in one of the Neuk’s horsebox saunas.

There is also a burgeoning food and drink scene. Sample the gourmet fare at the Kinneuchar Inn in Kilconquhar or visit the Bowhouse food market in St Monans, which attracts top producers from across Scotland once a month.
Average house price: £360,541

Portobello, Edinburgh

Portobello is a breath of fresh sea air in overheated Edinburgh. Its beach and car-free prom are just 20 minutes’ cycle from Princes Street — bikes are a big part of life in progressive “Porty” — but the relaxed atmosphere could hardly be more different. No wonder that it has become the location of choice for young families and creative types, attracted by the chance to play on the sand, dip in the (generally) clean water and admire the continuing transformation from fading Victorian bathing outpost to revitalised hipster hub.

Browse in the independent shops — the Portobello Bookshop, in particular, is a high street treat — and feast from the bagel bakery, seafood shack or popular New York-style pizza joint. There’s a nice selection of tenements and townhouses, though Porty is no longer the bargain it was a decade ago. Expect to pay £400,000 for a flat in a prime location, while the best houses sell for £1 million or so.
Average house price: £379,545

Cullen, Moray

A splash of local spirit — and not just the whisky from the nearby Glenglassaugh distillery — keeps this pretty fishing village lively all year round, and earned it a debut in the annual Sunday Times Best Places to Live guide.

Tiny Cullen is full of small businesses — a deli, a coffee truck with a view, a sauna on the beach, antiques and interiors shops, cafés and restaurants — and volunteering here is a strength. Paths have been restored, the community centre hosts a wide range of classes, and a campaign has saved the public loos. It’s the water that’s the main focus, though, with paddleboarding, sailing, surfing and fishing a big part of life, along with “dooking” for crabs. You’re a long way from urban pleasures —Aberdeen and Inverness are both 60 miles away — but if you can put up with that, you can bag a grand villa in the centre for between £400,000 and £500,000, or a waterside cottage on Seatown for between £200,000 and £300,000.
Average house price: £216,320

Best seaside towns to live in Wales

Gower peninsula, Swansea

There’s seaside for everyone on this modest peninsula, from the surfer-friendly waves of wild Rhossili and Llangennith to brooding cliffs, sandy bays, salt marshes and the ice-cream stops in Mumbles. Easy access to the improving city of Swansea is a bonus, and one of the reasons why The Sunday Times named the Gower as the best place to live in Wales this year.

The Gower is a place with a lot of local pride and all kinds of cool, creative and sustainable independent businesses, from potteries and surfboard shapers to bakeries and community veg projects.

Another reason to live there is the wide choice of homes, from the aspirational enclaves of Langland Bay and Caswell Bay, supposedly Wales’s answer to the Hamptons and with price tags to match: from £1 million or so for a good-sized detached home to well over £2 million. There’s better value to be found inland, though. Canny buyers should look at Crofty or Penclawdd, which are further from the famous beaches but handy for Swansea — there’s a good range of homes there, from about £250,000 for a three-bedroom property.
Average house price: £459,466 (five-year average)

Aberdovey, Gwynedd

Perfectly placed where the mountains of Snowdonia tumble down to the sea, Aberdovey (Aberdyfi in Welsh) provides glorious views of sunsets, night skies, seals and otters basking in the estuary and dolphins playing in Cardigan Bay.

“The views are ever-changing,” Phil Thomas, a local businessman, says. “The sea can be beautifully flat and calm, or the waves might crash over the sea wall and on to the street — sometimes on the same day.” Thomas runs Coast, a deli and restaurant that brings a buzz to the village. Look out too for Dai’s Shed, a fish stall on the wharf, the Braided Rug Company and the Tides Inn, which opened in 2022.

There are a fair few second homes here but this is no off-season ghost town, Thomas says. “It’s quieter but it’s still a busy seaside village. The holiday homes are well used and the owners are a big part of the community. Even though not everyone lives here all the time, Aberdyfi has a strong community feel.”

The downside is that house prices are high by Welsh standards. A seafront townhouse will fetch at least £500,000, a large detached home on one of the ever-popular hillside roads could cost anything from £1 million. If that’s too expensive, consider Tywyn, four miles up the coast. It’s a bit more old-school but has decent-sized bungalows for £250,000-£350,000 and the feel of a village that’s going places. Tywyn also has a brilliant cinema, some good shops and restaurants — Millie & Sid’s coffee shop, Salt Marsh Kitchen — not to mention the Talyllyn steam railway, one of the lines that inspired The Railway Series books by the Rev Wilbert Awdry (which starred Thomas the Tank Engine).
Average house price: £358,997

Penarth, Vale of Glamorgan

Cardiff’s smartest suburb is one of those rare places where class and convenience mix with all the fun of the coast. Penarth has an impressive array of schools, independent shops, restaurants and cafés, not to mention fast connections to the centre of Cardiff. It is a place where folk can go about their daily business, then make the most of the water when the working day is done. Or before it starts, in the case of the Dawnstalkers, a band of sea swimmers who gather daily at first light close to the pretty pier. For the less hardy there’s always paddleboarding, sailing and kayaking.

Penarth has a great choice of Victorian homes. Marine Parade hogs the headlines, with imposing mansions built to give Victorian shipping tycoons a view of their cargoes sailing into port. These sell for as much as £3.5 million. There are quieter and far cheaper options, however, such as the large detached Victorian and Edwardian homes on Victoria Road, Westbourne Road and Plymouth Road.
Average house price: £354,260

Solva, Pembrokeshire

With its sheltered harbour hidden between fragrant, gorse-covered hillsides, Solva could hardly be more beautiful. In the lower half of the village, colourful shops line the main road and old cottages sit beside the rushing river. Climb into Upper Solva and it’s all big skies and distant views of St Brides Bay. For surfing, swimming and sandcastles, the epic beaches at Newgale and Whitesands Bay are close.

The number of second homes here does make the property market unforgiving for many locals, but there is also a determination among the full-time population to take care of each other and keep Solva lively all year round.

Bay View Stores is a brilliant village shop and starting point for the new year treasure hunt, which kicks off a packed programme of events. There are duck races in the river, a fireworks display and, biggest and best of all, the annual Edge Festival, a weekend of music and culture that brings the entire community together as volunteers, spectators and sometimes performers, with profits going to local good causes.

The prettiest (and priciest) houses are on Prendergast, beside the river in Lower Solva. You can get a three-bedroom semi for about £400,000; budget up to £750,000 for something bigger and detached.
Average house price: £314,167 (five-year average)

Best seaside town to live in Northern Ireland

Dundrum, Co Down

You get all the sea you could ever want in Dundrum, chosen by The Sunday Times as the best place to live in Northern Ireland this year. Whether you’re swimming or paddleboarding among the seals and seabirds in the tidal waters of Dundrum Bay or watching the waves from the beach in the magnificent Murlough National Nature Reserve, you’re never far from some saltwater-based excitement.

Plenty of houses here have a view of the water, and the rest will probably have a view of the mighty Mourne Mountains — many have both. Allow £200,000 for a waterfront new-build, £300,000 for a Georgian townhouse.

Dundrum is a small place that feels out of the way, but Belfast is only 50 minutes away by car to the north, while Newcastle, a bustling bucket-and-spade resort, is 10 minutes away to the south.

There’s plenty going on in Dundrum itself, though, with some excellent places to eat — the Bucks Head, Mourne Seafood Bar and Scopers takeaway, for example — and a busy community occupied with all kinds of sports, art drop-ins, pub quizzes and open-mic nights at the much loved Dundrum Inn.
Average house price: £228,206 (source: PropertyPal)

House prices supplied by Savills using Land Registry data, except where stated. In locations where there were not enough transactions to supply an annual average, a five-year one has been provided instead.

Prime Central London an ‘anxious market’ due to falling prices

By Ryan Bembridge

The Prime Central London market is the most ‘anxious’ it’s been for over a decade, according to London property broker Black Brick.

Much of the anxiety steps from the departure of wealthy elites due to the end of the non-dom tax regime in April – which is pushing down prices.

There is speculation that the Chancellor could u-turn on imposing inheritance tax of 40% on resident’s worldwide assets, given that the loss of wealthy elites is cutting down tax receipts.

Camilla Dell, managing partner at Black Brick, said: “I don’t think this will suddenly bring back people who have already left – unless they are having a horrible time elsewhere.

“Relocation is not for the fainthearted, it is not an easy thing to do and it is not cheap. But it may stop people who are thinking about going, and it will be good for sentiment.”

She added: “I think that people are just really nervous about the fall out of all the wealthy people leaving.

“Buyers are nervous about catching a falling knife. Our buyers at the £10m, 15m, 20m level totally get that it is a buyers’ market, but they are wondering how much further prices will fall.”

According to Knight Frank – which earlier this year cut its price growth projection for PCL from 2% to 0% – the change created a £401m stamp duty black hole in the year to May, thanks to a collapse in the number of £5m+ sales in central London, down 14% year-on-year.

The newly-published Henley Private Wealth Migration Report 2025 found that the UK will lose 16,500 millionaires this year, the largest net outflow of high-net-worth individuals experienced by any country since the firm began tracking millionaire migration a decade ago.

A number of factors have served to dampen the property markets for investors in recent years: stamp duty hikes on second homes introduced in 2014 and 2016, Capital Gains taxation, and a ban on offsetting mortgage interest payments against tax.

Transaction levels are 36% below levels seen in May 2024, and the number of homes under offer is also falling.

Despite this, Black Brick said some investors are returning to London property as a result of falling prices and rents.

Tom Kain, a partner at Black Brick, notes that investors can find properties which will offer a gross yield of around 5%, which is not only a little more than they would earn by simply putting their assets into a savings bond but gives them the hope of capital growth down the line.

Ironically jitters amongst owner occupiers are fuelling this trend.

People who could quite easily afford to buy a London property are increasingly looking to rent while they get to know the city and await a return to price growth before putting down roots.

Amidst a backdrop of falling prices, there are a couple of neighbourhoods in PCL seeing prices continue to grow.

Postcode level analysis, again from Lon-Res, has found that South Kensington and a swathe of the West End (Fitzrovia, Bloomsbury and Soho) both appear to have turned a corner, with prices starting to climb in the past year.

Domestic buyers seizing unprecedented opportunities in PCL, says agency

British purchasers now make up over 40% of Black Brick’s client base, up from 25% last year.

British domestic buyers are making the most of some unprecedented conditions in London’s prime property market, according to Black Brick.

The high-profile buying agency has reported a notable shift in its client base this year, with the proportion of UK domestic purchasers rising to 41%, compared to 25% in the previous year.

This is unsurprising, said the firm, given the recent increases in stamp duty rates for overseas purchasers and changes to the non-dom regime: on a £3mn purchase, a foreign buyer of an additional property now pays £210k more in stamp duty than a UK buyer.

Black Brick’s Camilla Dell

Traditional prime markets are “suffering hugely” as a result of these changes, according to the team, citing LonRes data showing achieved prices in Belgravia and Knightsbridge sank by 8.9% in Q1, with buyers achieving an average 12.8% discount on asking prices.

Overall, Prime London transaction volumes in May were down by 35.8% compared to the same month a year ago.

At the same time, there’s lots of choice: the data shows stock levels are now 22.4% higher in the £5mn-plus range.

These conditions are creating buying opportunities “that have never been seen before”, said the firm, offering up a recent acquisition in Marylebone as an example.

Acting on behalf of a UK domestic client who was looking for a second home in London to add to their primary residence in the country, the agency secured an 18th century freehold townhouse – recently renovated and in a prime spot on Manchester Street – at £250k below the asking price.

It’s a different story in more domestic markets like Chiswick and Tufnell Park, however, where demand for family houses is outstripping supply. The team is on the hunt for a number of family houses up to £3mn, and said the comparison with super-prime is “like night and day” with good houses attracting multiple bids and selling within a few days of coming to the market.

Camilla Dell, Managing Partner at Black Brick: “With stamp duty rates having risen significantly for overseas buyers, combined with the abolishment of the UK Res Non-Dom tax regime it is unsurprising to see that British are back. Overseas buyers of a UK property who are also buying an additional property face stamp duty rates of 19% on the portion of the price above £1.5 million compared to 12% for a British buyer moving home.”

The firm also reports a rise in the number of US buyers, who now make up 23% of its client base, up from 15% last year.

Dell: “Many US buyers are looking to diversify, and some are unhappy with both the political and social situation. In other areas, like California, high property tax and climate change are also causing buyers to look abroad. Having a bolt hole in London makes a lot of sense for US buyers, even if they are not relocating permanently to the UK. Remaining buyers we are advising are from Middle East and continue to show strong interest in London, followed by European buyers. Recent volatility in the Middle East may drive more buyers from these regions to diversify and buy London property which is looking cheaper by the day.”

Another key trend flagged by the firm is a rise in the number of new developments catering to short term stay buyers in areas like Knightsbridge: “Developers such as Finchatton are creating two and three-bedroom luxury new build apartments to cater for a new breed of super prime buyer. Those who do not wish to rent or become tax resident in the UK but still want a luxury pad in the capital,” said the update.

Dell added: “These new boutique developments often have smaller sized apartments priced below £10 million and do not have all the luxury amenities of the traditional super prime new build but that’s the advantage. Buyers who are here for 90 nights or less don’t need or want to spend tens of millions or pay ridiculous levels of high service charges for facilities they will barely use. As long as there is a lift and some kind of porter then it’s enough for this new kind of buyer. We have been to a series of development launches recently which appeal to this trend, one was situated in Knightsbridge, and we recently acquired a property just like this in Mayfair for a client.”

Developer Jamie Reuben: ‘London needs to make foreign investors feel welcome’

Property magnates the Reuben Brothers are investing £1bn to move the dial in Mayfair. Can they succeed?

By Caroline Roux

To turn off Piccadilly and into White Horse Street in London’s Mayfair is to enter a different world. The first is a traffic artery lined with Tube station entrances, swish hotels and flashy car showrooms, where distracted tourists bump into polite couples heading to the Royal Academy of Arts. The second is a winding lane, its tiny shops — a dry-cleaner, a wine bar — quaint finds. But forgotten it is not.

On a sunny Friday in June, the latter’s slender pavement is busy with workmen communicating in all the languages of Europe, moving between a series of projects taking shape in the 1.3 acres of prestige land known as the Piccadilly Estate. This is the land of the Reuben Brothers.

The family is investing £1bn in this small, upmarket slice of London — creating apartments, a members’ club, a hotel and public realm. The project is coming to fruition at the very moment when its foreseen customers might be rather less available, thanks to the ending of non-dom status, and changes in taxation and stamp duty have hit the wealthy hard (for overseas buyers, stamp duty on property purchases can push north of 17 per cent). In the year to May 2025, the number of prime property sales above £5mn in London was 14 per cent lower than in the previous 12 months. The question “can they pull it off?” looms large.

The Reuben family, with a fortune of £26.87 billion, is Britain’s second richest, squeezed between the Hindujas at number one and Sir Len Blavatnik at number three. Iraqi Jews born in India, brothers David and Simon came to London in the 1950s and, from dealing in carpets and scrap metal and making their fortune in aluminium in the post-Soviet “wild east”, expanded into property and many other businesses besides.

The brothers, now well into their eighties, are known for watching and waiting, swooping in when the going gets tough for their competitors, with their ability to put cash on the table. It has secured them some significant gains in London, New York — and beyond. In 2015, they purchased the combined debt of the Plaza Hotel and the Dream Downtown hotel in New York, and Grosvenor House in London, after its owner Subrata Roy of Sahara Group was arrested and bail set at $1.6bn for its non-payment. It cost them $850mn. In 2020, they pounced again, this time on the Surrey Hotel, a star of the Upper East Side’s Golden Triangle, for $150mn cash ($65mn below asking price) when the owner failed to pay the rent. Investments in the US property market over the past seven years total more than $6bn.

It was in 2011 that they snapped up the Piccadilly Estate for £130mn, at a £20mn discount, from beleaguered businessman Simon Halabi. “It included the In and Out Club, 100 Piccadilly, some of the buildings behind that, and some in Shepherd Market, including the members’ club 5 Hertford Street,” says David’s youngest son Jamie, reeling off a list of landmarks. The first, known by its loud lettering out front, is soon to become a hotel and residences, and return to its original name Cambridge House. It is set to open early next year.

“My uncle has assembled the rest with patience, bit by bit,” continues Reuben. “We had the idea to establish a chic new quarter — cool, upmarket, authentic.” He pauses on the last word. “You don’t always get that around here.” He has a point — Mayfair is increasingly a district of division, where old-school elegance and charm rubs up against some fairly brash new clubs and restaurants.

Yet, according to buying agent Camilla Dell, founder of Black Brick Property Solutions, nowhere is more location, location, location than this part of town. “We would consider prime Mayfair to be Grosvenor Square, Mount Street, bits of Davies Street,” she says. “Off-patch” properties are a harder sell. And there are already a number of new-builds that have had properties on the market for a while, including 60 Curzon, on the north border of Shepherd Market, and One Mayfair, a development on Audley Square by British billionaire John Caudwell, where apartments begin at the £35mn mark.

Can the Reubens magic a newly meaningful part of Mayfair into being?

Americans are coming big time, the dollar is good. They love London and they buy in totally to the culture here.

I meet Reuben at One Carrington, a Reuben-built block of 28 apartments reached down a cobbled cul-de-sac off Shepherd Street. The red brick building, by London firm AHMM, fits politely between the existing 19th- and 20th-century buildings on what was once an NCP car park. Its generous square windows overlook a plant-filled courtyard by landscape architect Robert Myers. “The concept was for something that feels domestic, and small-scale,” says Reuben. “It’s about discreet living, not huge-scale apartments.”

Prices at One Carrington are around £3,000-£5,500 per square foot; one-bedrooms from £2.95mn up to four-bedrooms from £12.95mn. What Dell calls “around the corner” are 1 and 20 Grosvenor Square, converted into homes in the latter 2010s where prices are a heady £6,500-£7,500 per sq ft (local less-illustrious second-hand stock sits at the £2,500-£3,000 mark).

One Carrington might not have 1 Grosvenor’s supersonic allure, but it does offer membership to the Carrington Club across the road for business, fun and wellness — to be run by 5 Hertford’s Robin Birley. In Mayfair terms, these are entry-level properties, in a boutique building. “Hanover Square sold really well,” says Dell of the apartments that form part of the Mandarin Oriental, which opened there a year ago. “Because they were on for £3mn-£6mn.”

Tom Rundall, a partner at Knight Frank, which is selling the apartments at One Carrington, delicately spins the tough sales environment as he shows me around it. “London is a buying opportunity,” he says. “We’re more flexible around price than we were in 2014,” he continues, referring to the decade-old bubble. “We’ve had 30 viewings in the past week — Americans, Europeans and those from the Middle East. The sub-penthouse has sold. A two-bed has been bought by two Canadian brothers for their families to use.”

Jamie Reuben, who is 38, joined the family firm in 2018. Previously, he had started an emerging market hedge fund and some rumours point to him having had a place at Conservative HQ under Boris Johnson. (He denies this, but is a known Tory-party donor, purported to have given at least £750,000.)

Today he is dressed in a blue suit, white shirt and brilliant white trainers — all by Thom Sweeney, a men’s outfitters in Old Burlington Street in which he is an investor. “We have a racing business, Arena Racing, the largest racecourse business in the country,” he says, of other family assets. “Airports, Newcastle United football club . . . we’re not just niche real-estate developers.” He is very keen on Newcastle, both team and city — a United flag hangs in the lobby of the reopened art deco Surrey in New York.

Less playboy and more family and work-oriented than your average super-solvent thirtysomething, Reuben shifts between London, where he lives in Marylebone, and New York, where he has a place in NoHo. (His brother and sister, David Jr (45) and Jordana (46) are currently in Los Angeles developing the hell out of six acres of Century Plaza into residential and retail.) At weekends, he plays padel, the new sport of, if not kings, the high achiever.

The same year he joined the company, the family bought Mayfair’s Burlington Arcade — constructed as a safe shopping street for jewellery and fancy items in 1819, and still fulfilling a similar function. They paid £300mn, according to Trupti Shah, also 38, who looks after retail at Reuben Brothers. She has worked closely with Reuben, and together they have breathed new life into the arcade. “After Covid, we had six empty shops and then 11,” says Shah. “But the Reubens wanted me to wait for the right takers. I persuaded Borsalino — the Italian hat makers — to come in after a year-long negotiation.” It is a sign of its success that even Stephen Webster, the A-list jeweller, has moved there from Mount Street.

“I think, if I have a passion, it’s for restoring these important old buildings and streets,” says Reuben. “They are integral to the city and its history.” Another project, the conversion of Admiralty Arch, at the Trafalgar Square end of The Mall, into a Waldorf Astoria hotel, is also under way. “There will be a restaurant by Daniel Boulud on the roof,” says Reuben. “We will have views like no other.”

With masterful optimism, he talks up London’s continued viability. “Covid was tough, and post-Covid,” he says. “And the focus since has been on the cost of living. But we shouldn’t ignore the wealth traders, the foreign investors, the entrepreneurs, and all the visitors. They bring a lot culturally but also financially. We need to make them feel welcome here.”

“We’ve been quite successful in the UK over the years in offering good incentives, tax credits,” he adds. There might be a non-dom exit, but “Americans are coming big time, the dollar is good. They love [London] and they buy in totally to the culture here. All cities go through ebbs and flows.”

Shepherd Market, a stone’s throw from One Carrington, dates back to 1735. Reuben Brothers are part-financing pedestrianisation of the public realm areas with Westminster Council, upping the appeal of its few interconnected streets by adding new bijou, independent offerings to the old favourites like the L’Artiste Musclé, established in 1971 and a favourite of Apple Records as a party venue.

“We’re not going to spoil it with chains,” says Shah, who lives here. “We could do with a florist.” Cars can’t park after midday, making outdoor dining one of its assets. “I would have to talk most of my buyers into viewing One Carrington,” says Dell. “But these improvements at ground level will help.”

The Reubens don’t like publicity. David and Simon are practically invisible. At the launch of the Surrey, last October, Jamie gave a single interview. Our meeting today will be his only one in London. It is perhaps why he can’t resist the short walk to Cambridge House. The 1756 building, designed by Matthew Brettingham in the Palladian style for the Wyndham family, is Grade I listed. Its development into a 102 room hotel and seven residences has been a long affair. “It feels like we’ve been working on it for 250 years,” he says.

The restoration is detailed and extreme. It had been occupied by the Naval and Military Club until it sold to Simon Halabi in 1996. “It was a wreck, they’d been patching it up for years,” says Reuben. Twenty original marble fireplaces are currently with experts in the Thames Valley. And each has an overmantel mirror, dating back to the 1750s. “They take a year each to restore,” says site manager Paul Storey. Moulds are being made of original plasterwork. Walls are recreated in lath and plaster. And when the 24-metre-deep basement was excavated, a Thames sewer had to be diverted and then put back in place.

Reuben is entranced. “Peek up, you can see the ceiling being restored,” he says, pointing to sky-blue paintwork and delicate curls of white plaster. “As British people, we don’t always recognise how great London is, and what it’s got. I like to think that we’re making the best of it.”

The homes selling at a £5m discount

Sellers stuck in denial are forced to accept the days of property price highs are over

By Alexandra Goss

Two houses were recently put on the market for £15m, one in Cornwall, the other in West Sussex. They were luxurious and sprawling, but they definitely weren’t worth that much.

“These were exceptional properties but their owners, aided and abetted by estate agents fighting for listings, had simply misread the market;’ says Philip Harvey, of the buying agency, Property Vision. His clients paid £10.5m and £9.5m respectively for them.

“We are now in a totally fragmented market, with the very best of the best remaining firm, and the overnriced and comnromised failing to sell!’

Price reductions are happening across the country. Hamptons estate agency says almost half of the properties that sold in April had been reduced, while separate data from the property portal Zoopla reveals that homes nationally are selling for an average of

£16,000 below the asking_nrice, equal to 3pc.

At the very top of the market, cuts of millions of pounds are not uncommon, such as with Harvey’s £5.5m discount.

“Asking prices are often quite out of sync with reality;’ says Adrian Anderson, of the high-end mortgage broker, Anderson Harris.

“Some owners are still expecting to get the prices they could have got during the ‘hot’ Covid market. Many sellers also don’t have to sell. So if someone comes along and pays what they want, they’ll take the offer. Otherwise, they’ll just stay put:’

Consumer confidence is shaky against a weak economic background, and affordability is stretched due to historically high mortgage rates. There is also a stark imbalance between supply and demand.

The property portal Rightmove says the number of homes for sale is the highest in a decade, while figures from Knight Frank estate agency show that its new UK sales instructions are currently about a fifth higher than the five-year average (excluding 2020), while the number of new prospective buyers is a fifth lower.

“Buyers are able to take their time at the moment because they have so much to choose from;’ said Andrew Groocock, of Knight Frank.

London squeeze

The most expensive region for housing is also recording more reductions.

In research for The Telegraph, Zoopla has looked at the areas with the highest percentage of homes for sale that have been reduced by at least 5pc in the past three months and found that central London’s WC postcode tops the table, with 18.6pc of properties on the market there seeing a price cut. The SW, EC, SE and W postcodes in the capital also feature in the top 10.

Discounts are biggest on the priciest homes. Of the homes in central London valued at between £Im and £10m that sold in the first three months of the year, 82pc went for less than the asking price, according to separate data from Coutts.

The bank adds that the level of discounting has reached a five-year high, with an average reduction of 9.3pc across Prime London in the first quarter of 2025, rising to 15pc in Mayfair and St James’s.

Tom Kain, of the buying agency Black Brick, says: “We have not paid full price for a property for a while. After a long period of denial, vendors have finally accepted that their properties are no longer worth what they might have sold for at the height of the pandemic:’

London houses that need updating are recording some of the biggest discounts, says Lulu Egerton, of Strutt & Parker estate agency in Chelsea. She is selling a pretty three-bedroom house on Pavilion Road that was put on sale almost a year ago with another agent at £6.95m. Egerton is now marketing it at £4.55m, a reduction of more than a third.

“This house was remodelled 10 years ago and now, because the costs and time taken for a refurbishment have spiralled, buyers would rather pay more for something that’s done up;’ Egerton says. “Unlike flats, where buyers come and go more frequently, people purchase houses for the longer term. This means properties often come to the market in a less good condition:’

Egerton adds that there is no shortage of people who want to live centrally in London.

“However, they’re saying that it’s less about buying the cheap thing than the right thing;’ she explains. “Some properties we are showing [to prospective buyers] 80, 90 or even 100 times:’

There’s a glut of flats currently for sale in expensive areas such as Chelsea, South Kensington and Notting Hill, according to Sara Ransom, of Stacks Property Search.

“There is a huge amount of property being offloaded by investors. It makes very little sense to be a private landlord in a climate where the responsibilities are becoming more onerous, maintenance costs are rising, and it’s hard to see any capital growth in the near future;’ she says.

“Non-doms are wanting to get their money out of the  country too:’

Southern discomfort

Price cuts are most prevalent across southern England. Property data company, TwentyCi, says 4lpc of listings in the South East have undergone at least one price reduction, higher than the 37pc average for the UK.

According to Zoopla’s analysis, the BN postcode, covering Brighton and Hove, has recorded the second-highest levels of discounting nationally, with 13.6pc of properties on sale reduced by at least 5pc.

Also in the top 20 are the Canterbury (CT) and Rochester (ME) postcodes in Kent, and the Guildford (GU) postcode in Surrey.

Richard Donnell, of Zoopla, says: “The housing market in southern England is where house price inflation is lowest and currently stands at less than lpc a year. There is demand for homes, but buyers are price-sensitive given higher mortgage rates:’

In the east of England, Norwich properties are also being widely reduced, with 12.3pc having their price cut by at least 5pc.

Polly Hughes, of Savills estate agency, says: “Properties that are realistically priced from the outset continue to perform well, with some even generating multiple offers and achieving sales above the guide price.

“However, many properties priced optimistically in Norwich are struggling to attract viewings. Effective price reductions are in the region of 7pc to lOpc;’

‘Bargains’ aren’t always what they seem

The desire to get a good deal is even stronger in a buyers’ market, but just because something has been reduced, doesn’t mean it’s a bargain – as you could still be paying too much.

Jo Eccles, of the buying agency, Eccord, says that, in many cases, asking prices are being set deliberately high to factor in room for negotiation. “However, buyers need to be aware that, even if they secure what appears to be a good discount, they may still be overpaying substantially.”

She tells the story of a buyer who negotiated £lm off the £10m price of a house in south west London. “He’s delighted with the discount, but the property needs a lot of work and, in reality, isn’t worth more than £Sm;’ Eccles says.

“In a muddled market like this, it’s very easy to overpay. Opportunities are certainly there, but buyers need to tread carefully, do their pricing due diligence and take realistic account of refurbishment costs:’

The price must be right

If you’re selling your home, setting a realistic asking price is crucial.

Robin Chalk, of Anderson Rose estate agency in London, says: “Properties get the most exposure at launch, so it is all the more important to go to the market at a price that prompts immediate interest:’

If sellers price too high to start with and then reduce, it can take over two months longer to find a buyer, according to Colleen Babcock, of Rightmove.

“Our data also shows there has been a 32pc increase in the number of sellers who have swapped estate agent to try to find a buyer;’ Babcock explains. “This reflects the high market competition, and the frustration of some owners that their homes aren’t selling, a process made much harder by setting an over-optimistic price to begin with:’

Indeed, some estate agents are over-valuing properties by up to 25pcjust to win the sales instruction, claims Jess Simpson, of the rural agency Stoneacre Advisors.

“It takes a very long time to manage and modify sellers’ price expectations after that;’ she says. “No one wins when the property is over-valued:’

Yet this may mean facing the uncomfortable truth of selling at a loss. Average Prices in Prime central London have dropped 19pc over the last decade, Knight Frank’s figures show, due to factors such as higher taxes and successive bouts of political uncertainty.

The estate agency says average prices in the “country”, which covers a range of urban and rural markets above £750,000 outside London, are 8pc down from their peak in 2022, when mortgage rates were under 2pc and the race for space was in full swing.

“As the well-worn disclaimer goes: ‘The value of your investment may go down as well as up’;’ Harvey says. “And money spent definitely doesn’t equal a commensurate increase in value:’

A cut above the rest

Reductions can work successfully to sell a home – as demonstrated by a recent sale by Harry Chennells, of Chef-fins estate agency in Cambridge. The house was initially listed at £525,000, reduced after a month to £495,000.

“This shift sparked renewed activity and, following a round of competitive bidding, it ultimately sold for £530,000;’ Chennells says.

If your home isn’t selling, you need to make enough of a reduction to capture the attention of new buyers, says Graham Lawes, of JLL Residential.

“Of course, this will often be proportional to the value of the home, but it’s also crucial to get it down to the next price bracket on the property portals to open it up to a whole new market;’ he explains.

Putting an exact figure on what constitutes a meaningful reduction is tricky, says Paddy Pritchard-Gordon, of buying agency, Prime Purchase.

“Some properties are priced sensibly, others aren’t. Some may need to go down 20pc, others l0pc;’ he says. “However, you can’t go down 2pc or 3pc, it normally has to be 5pc to !Ope:’

Otherwise, Pritchard-Gordon explains, you end up reducing a bit, which doesn’t have any effect, and then reducing again.

“This makes you look desperate – it’s better to have one hard hit;’ he says. “The message you are putting out there by reducing the price is that you are listening to the market. It’s not a sign of desperation, you just want to sell:’

London’s Luxury Property Downturn Looks Set to Get Even Worse

UK tax hikes are thinning out the ranks of super-wealthy homebuyers

By Damian Shepherd

When two Chinese investors bought a majority stake in a development dubbed “Mayfair’s most exclusive address” in 2015, London’s housing market was booming. Almost 10 years and an insolvency later, half the apartments have yet to be sold.

The travails of 60 Curzon are emblematic of what’s been a miserable period for the city’s prime property market, with prices down more than 20% from their peak. The downtrend is now being supercharged by the recent removal of a tax perk for so-called non-doms and an exodus of wealthy. For realtors, that’s further thinning out the rolodexes of deep-pocketed clients on whom the luxury market has long depended.

Quite simply, the market looks to be in a chronic decline, with no recovery in sight. Sellers are slashing prices, deals are taking longer — if they happen at all — and some luxury complexes are part empty. Just this month, Sotheby’s dropped the price of a Mayfair penthouse to £68 million ($91 million) from £85 million. It had originally been put on the market for about £100 million.

“London isn’t as sought after as it was a decade ago,” said Aneisha Beveridge, head of research at broker Hamptons.

Broker Savills Plc expects prices for prime central London properties to fall about 4% this year. At Black Brick Property Solutions in Mayfair, managing partner Camilla Dell predicts an even steeper drop and is picking up other signs of financial trouble.

“I can see the prime central London market ending up 8% to 10% lower by the end of this year,” she said. “I am starting to see an increase in receivership deals come across my desk.”

The latest numbers seem to support such pessimism. Deals for properties valued at £5 million or more have fallen about 15% in the past year, researcher LonRes said last week. The result is a growing glut of homes that aren’t selling, meaning it’s going to take even more severe price cuts to get buyers interested.

Price Cuts for £5 Million-Plus London Homes Are On the Rise

The damage was set in train by a slew of tax hikes targeting both luxury real estate and the city’s wealthy elite, and has been compounded by blows from Brexit to higher interest rates and sanctions on Russian money.

This year, the Labour government ended a long-standing tax regime that benefited rich non-domiciled residents. After that sparked a wave of departures, the Financial Times reported that the government is considering reversing a decision on inheritance tax.

Read more: Britain Counts the Mounting Cost of Taxing Wealthy ‘Non-Doms’

The downward drift for high-end homes echoes the fortunes of London itself, particularly after the UK’s vote to leave the EU raised questions about the city’s place in the world and its desirability as a location for business and money.

Even if some of the most pessimistic Brexit predictions have proved off the mark, there are multiple examples of how much luxury property has been ground down in recent years, and how much harder it’s become to sell the priciest homes.

60 Curzon, which was later financed by funds managed by Apollo Global Management Inc., isn’t the only site with properties sitting empty. The Bryanston, a luxury residential tower overlooking Hyde Park, has only filled about half of its 54 units since they went on sale roughly four years ago.

“Long gone are the glory days,” said Paul Finch, head of new homes at broker Beauchamp Estates. “Margins have become extremely tight and the gap between commercial success or loss has become very narrow.”

Mega Mansion

In the first half of the 2010s, capital was flooding into London’s red-hot residential property as interest rates were slashed in the aftermath of the global financial crisis.

One moment capturing the boom was speculation in 2015 about the owner of ‘Witanhurst,’ the city’s largest private home, which newspapers estimated had a value of £300 million.

But just as readers were pouring over the details of the mega mansion and marveling at the torrent of wealth flowing into the UK capital, the market was quietly turning a corner.

London Luxury Property Isn’t As In Demand As It Once Was

First, then-Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne rewrote property tax rules in late 2014, effectively cutting bills for lower value properties but increasing them for top-tier homes. He followed that up with hikes on second properties.

Home values in prime central London are down almost 21% since 2014, according to Savills. Knight Frank’s sales index, a long-running gauge of the city’s top properties, peaked in August 2015. It’s down 19% since then.

London’s Property Market Has Lagged Behind Other UK Cities

A crackdown on money laundering and unexplained wealth, as well as sanctions on wealthy Russians have also thinned the ranks of overseas buyers that once dominated the top end of London’s property market.

One Russian billionaire caught up in the sanctions was Andrey Guryev, the founder of fertilizer giant PhosAgro. He’s also the owner of ‘Witanhurst’.

London’s slump reflects a broad global decline in high-end property prices. Earlier this year, Savills predicted that at least half a dozen major cities would see price drops in 2025.

“Global capital cannot move around the world as pain-free now,” said Ben Sanderson, managing director of real estate at Aviva Investors.

Prime London Homes Are Taking Longer to Sell

Quick deals are becoming rarer as buyers looks for price cuts.

In London, as the time to sell increases, deeper price reductions are on the cards.

A detached house in west London sold for £5.2 million in November, roughly 15% below its original asking price. The property was marketed at about £6 million for four months and received zero bids in that time, according to Jo Eccles, the buying agent involved in the deal.

In the same month, a double-fronted mews house in Knightsbridge — a stone’s throw from the luxury Harrods department store — had its asking price reduced to less than £13 million. As recently as 2023, it had been listed at £17 million, according to Knight Frank.

With the tax environment becoming more hostile, some wealthy arrivals have turned to rentals rather than committing to an expensive home purchase.

Charles McDowell, a broker whose decades-old London property firm has traditionally advised clients on buying multi-million pound homes, has broadened his services into lettings. He set up a unit last year following a surge in demand from London movers worried about potential policy changes under the soon-to-be-elected Labour government.

“Those people are looking to rent instead so they can get a full picture of the tax environment before putting down roots,” he said. “They’d rather take a ‘wait and see’ approach right now.”

How does the prime London property market vary by postcode?

We asked leading industry professionals to share the price and demand trends they have observed in the prime property market locations that are most popular with Investec clients.

 

Hampstead (NW3)

Kim Blackman, Managing Director of Blackman Investments, says:
“NW3 has always been attractive to affluent couples and families. It is an elegant, leafy suburb with Georgian houses, independent shops and cafés that is still so close to Central London. It’s also just five stops by tube to Kings Cross.

On average, house prices in Hampstead and Belsize Park have fallen by 9% over the past 12 months. However, properties with a good layout and outside space in the £1.5m – £5m range remain unaffected and demand for these homes is still strong.

My advice for buyers? Work with a trusted search agent who will not only listen to your criteria, but also deal with all the complex issues that invariably arise throughout the process and ensure your interests are protected. If you are selling your home, a property consultant can advise you on how to maximise the value of your asset. By making certain changes to your property, it can make a significant difference to the sales price achieved.”

 

St John’s Wood (NW8)

Jo Eccles, Founder and Managing Director of Eccord, says:
“Family homes in St John’s Wood persistently outperform the market, with American buyers accounting for around 40% of our local clients.

St John’s Wood offers a greater range of architecture than other locations, with more lateral living space and some wonderful gardens on large plots. It is possible to achieve 5,000 square feet over three floors.
We’re seeing strong demand in the £10m – £15m price range from clients who are relocating for school places. Demand is also robust in the super-prime price range, and we recently acquired a £25m house in St John’s Wood for clients who wanted to be within walking distance of the American school.

In a higher interest rate environment, 80% of our clients were choosing to pay cash for a new home. However, recent rate cuts are encouraging. Certain professionals, such as private equity clients, are more inclined to borrow, to keep their personal liquidity available for other investments.

Buyers should be mindful that St John’s Wood is a very relationship-led market. More than half of the properties we acquire for clients in St John’s Wood are sold off market.”

 

Bayswater (W2)

Camilla Dell, Managing Director of Black Brick Property Solutions, says:
“Bayswater appeals to a wide range of buyers, ranging from families to property investors. The area has seen a surge in buyer demand, driven by a £3bn regeneration of Queensway, which includes high-end apartment complexes, restaurant pavilions and landmark retail destinations that will be completed in 2026. W2 is also within striking distance of some of London’s best schools such as Wetherby, Chepstow House and Pembridge Hall.

My favourite part of W2 is The Hyde Park Estate, a small triangle area bordered by the Bayswater Road, Edgeware Road, and Sussex Gardens. The architecture consists of grand, white, stucco-fronted buildings that surround various garden squares and crescents. Residents are close to the park and Connaught Street for essential shopping.

The volume of transactions in W2 is up 14% year-on-year, and there has been a 9% increase in prices. In the last three months, houses achieved an average sales price of £6,082,667. Homes in good condition with period features and high ceilings are most sought-after, particularly in quieter streets.

That said, Bayswater hasn’t been immune from the slowdown caused by increases in stamp duty and the abolishment of the UK Resident Non-Dom rules. The average discount achieved between February and April 2025 was 9% *.”

 

Chelsea (SW3)

Jeremy McGivern, Founder of Mercury Homesearch, says:
“We have observed a slight increase in buyer numbers in Chelsea in the last month, as interest rate cuts have increased confidence. Buyer demand is strongest for properties below £5m and buyers include parents looking to invest in property for their children, as well as individuals looking for a city pied-à-terre.

In most cases, it is properties that have recently been refurbished that are achieving premiums, while homes that have been refurbished more than six years  ago are seen as being tired. We’ve seen that buyers are taking longer to make decisions too.

The golden rule is to remain patient and be selective. We sometimes find that sellers are not informed about what is happening to prices in their specific area. Consequently, you need to use specific negotiation techniques to achieve the lowest price possible. Relying on a price per square feet comparison rarely works, because logic is often not the deciding factor.”

 

Battersea (SW8)

Sarah Gerrett, Associate at Knight Frank in Battersea, says:
“Battersea is a very green neighbourhood with an excellent selection of schools so it’s a great place for families. In addition, some professionals look to buy a pied-à-terre close to Battersea Power Station with its excellent amenities and transport links.

Our Battersea index shows that prices rose 0.6% between January and April this year. Given that we are moving out of a volatile period of political and tax changes, and mortgage rates are now starting to ease, we believe this could be the bottom of the market, so it makes sense for sellers to explore their options now.

For homeowners, it’s imperative that marketing material and the viewing experience is excellent given that buyers have a lot of choice and are used to seeing beautifully stylised properties on social media.”

 

Fulham (SW6)

Edward Peers, Heads of Sales at Hamptons in Parsons Green and Fulham, says:
“Fulham attracts domestic buyers, as well as European buyers who are likely to live and work in London. For this reason, they are likely to move for lifestyle reasons and are less driven by economic events. Many of them tell us they are attracted to the local area because of the amount of green space and excellent schooling that it offers.

According to Land Registry data, in 2024 the average sales price for a home in Fulham was £1,186,510 and we have observed that prices have been relatively static in the first half of 2025.

There are currently around 60 houses that are on the open market for sale in Fulham above £3m. The greatest demand is for period terraced houses, with between four and six bedrooms, that are close to Parsons Green or Bishops Park.”

 

Notting Hill (W11)

Hannah Aykroyd, Managing Director at Aykroyd & Co., says:

“Notting Hill continues to be a firm favourite among our clients, drawn by its vibrant, ever-evolving character, iconic white, stucco architecture, and abundance of private communal gardens. This enduring appeal ensures the area remains one of the most sought-after in prime London.

Pricing across the Notting Hill market has softened by 7.6% compared to this time last year. However, transaction levels have risen by 16%, reflecting renewed activity and interest. Buyers are currently negotiating average discounts of 8.2% off initial asking prices.

The market for larger homes remains the most robust, with four-bedroom houses achieving an average of £2,536 per square foot. Demand is strongest for turnkey, exceptional family houses, which can command significantly higher premiums due to their rarity.

The recent change in interest rates has provided a degree of renewed confidence, particularly in the sub-£10m market, with notable momentum in the sub-£5m range. This has brought a wave of first-time buyers into the market, particularly for flats and smaller houses.”

 

Kensington (W8)

Pete Bevan, Co-head of prime central London at Savills, says:
“In the last few months, our Kensington team has sold to buyers from North America, Asia Pacific, the Middle East and Europe, and several of their recent sales have been in conjunction with our new homes and international desks.

Meanwhile, activity across the family-house market has been largely driven by domestic buyers searching for a home in one of Kensington’s key addresses, who are taking a long-term view. These are people who are extremely familiar with the area and have always viewed Kensington as their preferred London location; they know the best streets, addresses and units within developments so when properties have come to market, they have chosen to make a move.

Interestingly, there has also been rising interest from people looking for pied-a-terre properties, and well-presented flats in portered buildings have sold well. We have seen some strong prices achieved for turnkey stock and in some cases, competition among buyers recognising the rarity of an asset coming to market.

Buyers are drawn to Kensington because it retains a community feel; it’s a discreet prime central London neighbourhood where people can access green space, fantastic schooling, shopping and dining. The lifestyle package coupled with the range of housing stock from period to newbuild has been a major factor in these deals taking place across all market segments.”

Why first-time buyers are going straight for the family house

By Hugh Graham

The property ladder is disappearing as young people save on stamp duty and moving costs by settling in their ‘for ever home’ much earlier

Marie Calligaris always thought her first property would be a flat, then she would gradually climb the property ladder. The trainee clinical scientist, 27, has just had an offer accepted on her first home with her partner, however, and it’s a four-bedroom house in Haslemere, Surrey.

Calligaris had been renting for several years in Brighton and her partner had been renting in London, where he works. Both had terrible landlords and endless problems. They decided it was time to buy, and moved in with her partner’s parents in Chichester, West Sussex, to save money. Haslemere was their target area because it’s a good halfway point for their commutes.

They considered buying a flat, but the threshold for first-time buyers paying stamp duty starts at £300,000 — at that price, they could have bought a one or two-bedroom flat in that area, but they hope to start a family in the next few years.

When her partner’s parents offered to help them financially, it was a no-brainer to look for a house. Otherwise they would have had to pay hefty stamp-duty charges each time they climbed the ladder. “A lot of the three-bedroom houses were in the same ballpark as the four-bedroom, and from a stamp duty point of view, there was no difference,” Calligaris says. “The four-bedroom house cost £575,000. We’re going to be paying just shy of £19,000 in stamp duty, and we would have had to pay the same for a smaller house.”

“The cost of moving is expensive,” she says. “You’re just shooting yourself in the foot if you need to move every two or three years because you have another child. We’d rather go straight for the house now and live in this property for ten years.”

The days of taking baby steps up the property ladder are disappearing, according to Camilla Dell, the founder of Black Brick, a buying agent. As property becomes less affordable, first-time buyers are getting older and saving longer by living with their parents or in flatshares. When they finally do buy — often with help from the Bank of Mum and Dad — they go big.

“In the old days, you might buy your studio, then sell it, then buy your one-bed, then sell, then a two or three-bed, then a family house,” Dell says. “That pattern, certainly in London, has vanished as a result of extortionately high stamp duty rates. People are moving less and trying to future-proof. First-time buyers want a house that will last them a good ten years.”

First-time buyers Jake Kelly and Emily Read have also gone straight for a house. Kelly, 30, spent seven years renting flats in east London and another year renting with Read in Hitchin, Hertfordshire. Kelly, an account executive for a tech firm, reckons he has spent about £67,000 in rent and thought it was time to stop throwing money down the drain. They’ve had an offer of £580,000 accepted for a three-bedroom semi in Guildford, Surrey.

They didn’t even consider buying a flat. “I’m sure for £580,000, you could secure a lovely flat in London, but then you’d have to go through the whole rigmarole of moving again if you get pregnant or get a dog,” Kelly says. “A lot of big life happenings are probably within the next five years, so it felt like a flat would be a short-sighted decision.”

Kelly finds moving stressful and isn’t keen to repeat the experience or the £19,000 in stamp duty they’re paying. Buying a house made financial sense. “My girlfriend and I complement each other quite well in terms of partnership — she inherited enough for a deposit and I have quite a good wage that allowed us to secure a good mortgage, so we make up for each other’s shortfalls.”

About 73 per cent of first-time buyers in Britain have bought a house in 2025, up from 62 per cent in 2020, according to Hamptons estate agents. In London, 50 per cent have bought a house, compared with 37 per cent in 2020. “Stamp duty is a big factor, with first-time buyers increasingly opting to buy larger homes to avoid having to move again in a few years when they won’t be eligible for a stamp duty exemption or discount,” says Aneisha Beveridge, the head of research at Hamptons.

First-time buyers pay no stamp duty below £300,000 and 5 per cent between £300,000 and £500,000. Above £500,000 they lose any first-time buyer discount.

Beveridge says the average age of a first-time buyer has risen to its highest level of 33.1, according to data from UK Finance, an industry body.

“We’re seeing a clear shift: more first-time buyers are skipping starter properties and going straight for family homes,” says James Evans, the chief executive of Douglas & Gordon, a London estate agency. “The fact that the average first-time buyer in London is in their mid-30s — more likely to be thinking about children and needing extra space — it’s no wonder we’re seeing people take the leap straight into their ‘forever home’.”

The disappearing rungs of the ladder are having wider effects on the property market, according to Dell. “There will be a potential oversupply of studio, one-bedroom and two-bedroom flats as they become less popular. And increasing demand for your three to four-bed terraced houses, starter homes in outer prime London areas.”

Dell says there is healthy competition for £1 million houses in outer prime London family neighbourhoods such as Fulham, West Hampstead, Clapham and Balham.

By contrast, demand for flats is dwindling. The problems with cladding post-Grenfell have undoubtedly cooled demand for flats. Matt Turner, the director of Rash & Rash estate agents in Southgate, north London, also says the profile of first-time buyers is changing in his patch. “They’re no longer buying £400,000 apartments. They’re now spending £750,000 and buying houses.”

Turner recently sold a two-bedroom flat he owned in the area for £410,000. “In 2016, we had it under offer at £430,000. I’ve sold it for £20,000 less nine years later. If I’d sold it then and bought a house for £500,000, that would probably be worth £700,000 now. Houses are really sought after, apartments are not.”

In London, the average price of a flat has grown only 2 per cent in five years, compared with 12 per cent for a terraced house, according to Hamptons. In Britain, the average price of a flat has increased 16 per cent in five years; a terraced house is up 31 per cent.

Buying as an investment was on the mind of Diogo Rodrigues and his partner, Laura Anderson, when they bought their first home: a three-bedroom house for £529,950 in Chesterford Meadows, a village development just outside Saffron Walden, Essex.

Rodrigues, a business development manager for a pharmaceutical company, and Laura, a PE teacher, lived at home with their parents until they were 26, saving money, then rented together for a year as a trial.

When it came time to buy, a house was the obvious answer. “One reason was that we wanted to maximise our return on investment,” Rodrigues says. “I’ve had older colleagues who bought flats as their first property, and had difficulty selling them and making a decent profit when they eventually outgrew it.

“Also, in five to ten years’ time, if Laura and I decide to have children or want to have pets, a house just made more sense.”

As befits an increasingly polarised society, the straight-to-house trend is a case of the haves and have-nots. Among Rodrigues and Anderson’s group of friends, the only ones who can afford to buy are couples with dual incomes — the single people are still renting or living with parents. It’s the couples who are leapfrogging up the ladder to their forever homes, often helped by parents.

Dell is concerned that fewer rungs means fewer moves, which doesn’t make for a healthy market. “Overall, volumes are massively down since George Osborne started messing around with stamp duty. That’s why it’s such a terrible tax. The housing market contributes a significant amount to the GDP. And yet the stamp duty stops the market from being fluid, as it causes people to stay in the same place longer than they should.” (Dell concedes another reason more people moved up the ladder in the early 2000s was because it was easier to get a mortgage).

Calligaris, for her part, is happy to be putting down roots. “We’re very fortunate to be able to live at home, to put money aside, and have parental help for the deposit. I realise a lot of people, like my siblings, are not in that position.

“I always thought we’d start with a flat, or a one or two-bed house and work our way up. But now that we’re in this position, I’m very thankful we’re doing it this way. I like knowing we’ll be there for the long term.”

Americans are flocking to ‘Hamptons of England’ as cost of buying property plunges by 40 percent

By Laura Parnaby

Americans are flocking to the ‘Hamptons of England’, where the cost of buying a charming countryside property is 40 percent cheaper than purchasing stateside.

Nestled within a range of rolling hills which rise from the lush meadows of the upper River Thames to the cliffs beside the Severn Valley, the Cotswolds is a picturesque holiday destination located a scenic 90-minute train ride from London.

‘It’s terribly beautiful. The scenery is glorious,’ said local store owner and Boston native Jesse D’Ambrosi, who moved to the area five years ago.

Home to 91,000 people, the Cotswolds, which straddles six southern English counties and is governed from Gloucestershire, comprises the largest swathe of protected natural beauty in the United Kingdom.

Punctuated by quirky local businesses and honey-colored limestone cottages, its stunning green pastures have long presented an attractive escape from the capital for those wealthy enough to afford a second home.

In recent years, it’s also seen a boom in popularity from American expats, who bring a host of new demands to the area while embracing quintessential English country life.

Cotswolds Council leader Joe Harris said Yankees are now ‘all over’ the area. ‘We have an American member on our council,’ he told the Daily Mail. ‘Most people in our area know an American or have an American neighbor.’

This is reflected in the footfall at D’Ambrosi’s Fine Foods store, which sells classic American snacks it’s hard to find anywhere else in the UK.

The colorful eatery attracts a hefty 50 customers each day on average, despite being located in the market town of Stow-on-the-Wold, which sits atop an 800-foot hill.

‘As a joke I would get in some American products and put them in the window. I was shocked at how much of that product I moved,’ D’Ambrosi told the Daily Mail.

The store offers luxury Thanksgiving and Fourth of July hampers, as well as classic American snacks like bright orange Goldfish crackers and crimson jars of Lawry’s Seasoned Salt.

D’Ambrosi enjoys life in a cozy cottage with her seven-year-old daughter Rose, after previously living in Amsterdam, Paris and New York City, with her now ex-husband.

The local entrepreneur said the easy commute to London from the British country escape makes it comparable to the ritzy Long Island beaches which are a stone’s throw from Manhattan.

‘The Cotswolds is the Hamptons of England – without the sea of course,’ D’Ambrosi told the Daily Mail. ‘It’s also comparable to going upstate, though it’s a bit more rural and bucolic.’

Private members clubs have proliferated in the Cotswolds in recent years, reflecting this influx of a new kind of wealth akin to the Hamptons elite – as opposed to the traditional agricultural landowning families who have lived in the area for centuries.

English real estate experts Camilla Dell and Harry Gladwin told the Daily Mail that Americans have increasingly been looking to the UK for home purchases over the past half-decade.

‘Americans are a significant buying force for UK property,’ said Dell, the founder of Black Brick property consulting firm, where 25 percent of clients are from the US, bringing an average budget of $1million to $10million for a second home.

Dell, who herself has a holiday home in the Cotswolds, said Americans started flocking to the UK in greater numbers ‘five to six years ago’, when the dollar was comparatively strong against the pound in the aftermath of Brexit.

‘We started to see a significant uptick in American inquiries at that point,’ Dell said.

‘Since 2014, the London real estate market hasn’t really gone anywhere,’ she added.

Dell said the combination of this property market plateau, relatively higher wages in the US, and the dollar strengthening against the pound means Americans purchase homes ‘at almost a 40 percent discount’ compared with in 2014.

She added that the UK government’s abolition of non-domiciled tax status is also a draw for wealthy Americans.

Gladwin, who runs the Cotswolds division of property consulting firm The Buying Solution, said affluent American expats coming to the UK are honing in on his region in particular.

‘We’ve definitely seen a noticeable rise in interest from American buyers in the Cotswolds over the past few years,’ he said.

‘Americans are drawn by the area’s natural beauty, historic charm and strong sense of community, often built around wonderful village pubs – it’s a perfect slice of English country life.

‘Many are looking for a second home or a lifestyle shift and the appeal of achingly beautiful Cotswold stone houses, privacy and space continues to resonate strongly.’

‘When Americans think of the quintessential British countryside, the Cotswolds comes to mind,’ Dell agreed.

She said Americans love the chocolate-box cottages built with local Jurassic limestone which make every village look like a scene from The Holiday.

Dell said popular destinations include the ‘golden triangle’ of villages which are most easily accessible from London – comprising D’Ambrosi’s hometown of Stow-on-the-Wold, along with Chipping Norton and Burford.

Maryland native Sarah Kirk, 43, is among the American expat community who relocated to the ‘golden triangle’, partly because her husband is from the area.

The homemaker, who has four children aged between two and nine, shares a glimpse of her fairytale life in the Cotswolds each day with her 31,000 Instagram followers.

She said she loves ‘the slower pace of life, emphasis on seasonal living, beautiful landscapes to explore, and conservative small-town values’.

Kirk spoke with the Daily Mail over the phone from her sprawling backyard – or back garden in British – as birds could be heard chirping in the background.

‘It’s just a really beautiful part of the country where people go to look for that country living feel,’ she said.

‘My children have a lot of free rein here, a lot of places to wander. It’s a slow childhood,’ said Kirk, who previously lived in rural Virginia and South Carolina, as well as New York City and Washington DC.

‘There’s space here, not only physically but mentally, for a lot of peace. We are sheltered from some of the bigger issues that you might have in city life.’

Kirk said she has noticed the boom in private members clubs, usually frequented by Londoners she refers to as ‘the white trainers (sneakers) crowd’, who come up to the Cotswolds for a weekend retreat, which has given pockets of the area a ‘Hamptons-like’ feel.

Relatively new Cotswolds clubs include The Lakes by Yoo spa which is partnered with British supermodel Kate Moss, and Estelle Manor in Eynsham Park.

The quintessentially English Aynhoe Park was recently bought up by American furnishings company Restoration Hardware (RH), and it now sells the US-made fittings.

Dell said RH hosted an opening party at the stately home in 2023, which drew in a star-studded crowd featuring the likes of Sydney Sweeney, Zoe Saldaña, Regé-Jean Page, Ellen DeGeneres, Portia de Rossi, and supermodel Jourdan Dunn.

Local councilor Sandra Smith, who moved to the beauty spot in 1987 from Seattle, Washington, said that despite the celebrity buzz surrounding both the Hamptons and the Cotswolds, the latter is much more inclusive.

‘The Hamptons is all set up for really rich people with rich people things. It’s not like that here at all,’ the 59-year-old told the Daily Mail.

‘It can be upper class if you want it to be, but you can do it cheaply as well.’

‘There are a lot of local businesses that are really quite quaint. It’s not all Jeremy Clarkson,’ she added, referring to the Top Gear host’s Diddly Squat Farm shop.

‘There’s a big arts culture out here. It’s a little bit bohemian.’

Smith, who lives in the ‘Cotswolds capital’ of Cirencester, said she only planned on moving to the area for two years back in the eighties, but she fell in love with the ‘tiny houses and cars’ and ‘sense of community’.

‘I just really like living in Britain,’ she said. ‘The American middle-class lifestyle is a big house and a big car – but it’s a bit soulless.

‘You spend a lot of time driving around to shopping malls in the US and everything is so far apart. I love how you can do anything on foot around here.

‘Plus, my friends from America are always talking about gun crimes and shootings. Nothing like that happens here. It’s wonderfully boring and stable.’

Smith asked the Daily Mail to use a pseudonym to protect her identity due to concerns about traveling as a naturalized Brit under Donald Trump’s administration.

She said she gave up her American citizenship decades ago in exchange for a British passport.

Black Brick founder Dell added that ‘political reasons’ have ‘certainly’ been driving American buyers to the Cotswolds more recently as people are keen to escape Trump’s hardline policies on issues like immigration, and college arts and sciences funding.

Liberal Democrat council leader Harris agreed that ‘many’ recent expats he has spoken with ‘are trying to get away from the political reality in America’.

‘We like having our American cousins here, they are very welcome,’ he added. ‘There’s a strong community here.’

The Daily Mail revealed in March that the number of Americans seeking UK citizenship had reached record levels since Trump was elected for a second term.

More than 6,100 US citizens applied last year, an all-time high after figures began two decades ago and 26 per cent more than in 2023.

US clicks on British job listings were also up 2.4 percentage points year on year to 8.5 percent, the sharpest increase from any country, according to job search site Indeed.

Immigration lawyers have said Trump’s presidential bid and victory in early November helped spur the increase in American movers, with others adding the US political landscape was ‘a very serious driver’.

This was epitomized by Ellen DeGeneres, when she stormed out of Hollywood following the presidential election in November and embraced a fresh start in a £15million ($20million) Cotswolds farmhouse.

The 67-year-old former talk show host moved across the pond with her celebrity wife Portia De Rossi, 52, but it wasn’t plain sailing. Their new home was surrounded by floodwater, prompting them to move to a new mansion around the corner.

Gladwin said celebrities are commonly drawn to the area because it ‘offers a discreet haven for high-profile individuals’.

‘With its low-key villages, excellent pubs and growing number of exclusive private members’ clubs like Soho Farmhouse, Estelle Manor and The Club by Bamford, it’s become a fashionable escape for celebrities and creatives,’ he told the Daily Mail.

‘They appreciate the balance of luxury and informality, all within reach of London and with great connections to the US.’

Ron Burkle is one of the ordinarily low-profile American real estate magnates who is eyeing the Cotswolds for his next project, called the Serpentine Lodge.

However, he spoke with the Daily Mail after he came up against unprecedented opposition from locals who railed against what they called his plans to construct a ‘McMansion’ amid their cozy cottage cul-de-sac.

Burkle said he wanted to work with local people to make sure everyone was happy with his scheme – though it might take a lot of negotiation.

The area is also home to former British Prime Minister David Cameron, or Lord Cameron of Chipping Norton, David and Victoria Beckham, X-Factor judge Simon Cowell and the Bamfords.

Though celebrities and high-flying businessmen occasionally threaten the natural harmony of the area, Smith, who works in town planning, added that the Cotswolds’ unique charm stems from its status as a protected area of natural beauty since 1966.

She said it’s the most perfectly-preserved pocket of traditional English countryside.

‘Much of the Cotswolds is a conservation area, which means developers can’t change much,’ she told the Daily Mail.

‘This is how it retains its character – it’s always going to be this way.’

 

The £400m blossoming of Bloomsbury

By Liz Rowlinson

The £400m blossoming of Bloomsbury Hovering on the edge of prime central London, the bohemian enclave’s quiet charm and proximity to Soho and Covent Garden, is being reinvigorated by local campaigns and new investment. The brutalist Brunswick Centre, built in the 1970s, is being improved by a £24mn Lazari investment.

For the wave of Americans looking to buy in central London, those who can prise their eyes from the obvious charms of high-profile enclaves are finding a rich seam in overlooked areas that are dusting themselves down. Jacqueline Griffin and her husband, a commercial executive in higher education, moved to London last year. Originally from Colorado, they were initially “drawn to the greenery of Holland Park, and the canals around Maida Vale,” says Griffin. They struck upon the less vaunted streets of Bloomsbury serendipitously.

“We ended up walking through the area and instantly loved its Georgian architecture, and the calmness, even though it is so close to Soho and Covent Garden.”  Since November the couple, who have two grown-up daughters, have rented a three-bedroom apartment on Bloomsbury Square — first laid out in the early 1660s and the one-time home of novelist Gertrude Stein and, later, architect Edwin Lutyens. “We love the bohemian and socially diverse feel,” says Griffin. “I garden with the Friends of Bloomsbury Square and have found a great sense of community.”

For buyers, Bloomsbury is a relative steal compared with its more illustrious neighbours. Last year, the average price of property sold in the area was £1,137 per square foot. Not only was this lower than 10 years ago (average prices topped £1,200 between 2015 and 2017, according to LonRes, which tracks the prime London market), it remains significantly less than the prime central London average of £1,654 per sq ft, and lower than both nearby Fitzrovia (£1,480) and Marylebone (£1,581).

“You don’t really buy in Bloomsbury for capital growth,” says Tom Kain, a partner at buying agent Black Brick Property Solutions. “You buy in Bloomsbury because it’s good value for central London.” South of King’s Cross, north of theatreland and next door to Fitzrovia, Bloomsbury has long been London’s intellectual quarter. It is dominated by the British Museum, UCL and the iconic art deco Senate House, but is also home to Soas, Birkbeck and myriad medical and publishing companies. It’s where the Russell Group of universities was formed (in Russell Square), and is still associated with the creatively progressive “Bloomsbury set” of artists and writers of the early 20th century — including Virginia Woolf, EM Forster and Vanessa Bell — who, as the American Dorothy Parker wrote, “lived in squares, painted in circles and loved in triangles”.  But after being heavily bombed during the Blitz, then blighted by postwar development, Bloomsbury has not been the fashionable neighbourhood it once was.

“Some parts are studenty or touristy,” says Edward Towers of buying agent Aykroyd & Co, “but buyers love its period charm and the fact they can walk to the theatre.” A four-bedroom, fifth-floor apartment with period features on sale for £2.25mn through Chestertons A one-bedroom ground-floor apartment, £600,000 through Chestertons What they won’t find, however, are glitzy new branded apartment schemes and chichi private members’ clubs — as a result, Bloomsbury has hovered on the edge of “prime central London” in both perception and pricing. But with a local reinvention campaign under way, could this be about to change?

Bedford Estates, the district’s largest private landowner, is working alongside Imperial London Hotels, Kimpton Fitzroy London (the 1905 hotel whose dining room was replicated in The Titanic), Lazari Investments and the Central District Alliance (CDA) to reinvigorate Bloomsbury with a £400mn investment. Its plan includes both improvements to public spaces, such as the woodland planting, seating and pedestrian-friendly new layout of Princes Circus, and a slew of new hotels, including chic, boutique brands that have honed their reputations elsewhere in the capital with place-making destination bars and restaurants. The brutalist Imperial Hotel is being redeveloped; a new Zetter hotel will open in October across six Georgian town houses; and Firmdale (the brand behind The Soho and Charlotte Street Hotels) has reportedly acquired a long leasehold interest in three adjacent buildings behind Bedford Place.    The historic and partially pedestrianised Lamb’s Conduit Street is full of chic independent shops.

The opening of the Elizabeth Line at Tottenham Court Road has already been a game-changer, says Alexander Jan, chair of the CDA. “The area is coming of age as a more sophisticated business district too. Office vacancy rates have fallen.” He points to newly built offices for more than 3,000 GSK staff on New Oxford Street, and McKinsey & Co on Museum Street.

In a Grade II-listed building in Bloomsbury Square, a state-of-the-art life sciences lab is being built, while Lazari has invested £24mn improving the Brunswick Centre, the shopping centre completed in 1972 that also incorporates 600 architecturally striking flats. It’s telling that wholefood brand Farmer J’s has joined Waitrose and Gail’s there, while Store Street has been smartened up and is styling itself as something of a micro-Marylebone High Street.  “Residents are spending more time in the area now — they don’t have to trip across to Mayfair to go out for dinner,” says Simon Elmer, steward of Bedford Estates. “With this and festivals and events like Picnic in the Park, we are slowly lifting the profile of Bloomsbury.” Russell Square gave its name to the prestigious Russell Group of universities; Senate House is in the background.

Pianist Jonathan Papp, the artistic director and co-founder of Georg Solti Accademia in Italy and senior operatic and vocal coach at the Royal Academy of Music, has mixed feelings about the area changing too much. He moved to Bloomsbury in 2022, buying a two-bedroom penthouse overlooking the British Museum to renovate. “I can walk everywhere, including to work at the Royal Academy and Royal Opera House.” Like the Griffins, he soon gave up his car. “It feels like a place where people really live rather than just pass through — there’s a mix of young people, lawyers, musicians and students,” says Papp, 60, remarking on the queues to the Fortitude Bakehouse behind Russell Square station since it began trending on TikTok.  I can walk everywhere, including to work at the Royal Academy and Royal Opera House. It feels like a place where people really live rather than just pass through Pianist Jonathan Papp One perennial hotspot, however, is Lamb’s Conduit Street, the part-pedestrianised thoroughfare lined with upmarket independent shops, the odd — small and chic — chain (Aesop, Honey & Co, La Fromagerie), and restaurants such as local institution Noble Rot.  When an elegant one-bedroom flat above a shop there was recently offered for sale at £675,000 by Greater London Property, it swiftly attracted eight bids and is currently under offer for over the asking price. Interest was driven, says agent Rob Hill, by “rarity value. Many properties on this street are owned by Rugby School and don’t come up for sale.” More broadly, one-bedroom flats in the neighbourhood’s mansion blocks are priced at around £450,000-£500,000. Though Towers has just shown one in Bedford Court Mansions to an American client looking to buy in the area. The Bloomsbury Group united early 20th-century writers and intellectuals such as Virginia Woolf and Vanessa Bell.

Adrian Philpott, associate director at Winkworth, recently sold a three-bedroom flat in the classic red-brick mansion block of Ridgmount Gardens to a Lebanese couple; they bought it for their daughter, who is at the French school. Greater London Property is selling a two-bedroom flat in the smart block with on-site porterage for £700,000 (it needs an update). “We have parents who buy flats for their children at UCL, Birkbeck or Soas, then maybe let them out,” says Philpott. According to the 2021 census, only 16.6 per cent of households in the Bloomsbury-St Giles-Holborn area are occupied by three or more people, and 96.9 per cent of residents live in flats.

Family houses are thin on the ground. Kain was recently charged with finding a Georgian four- to six-bedroom town house in the area for a couple in TV production; ultimately, although they loved the area, they couldn’t find the right house, and bought in Marylebone instead — despite it costing 25 per cent more. “Such houses cost £1,500 per sq ft in Bloomsbury but £2,000 in Marylebone,” he says.  For Jerome Salle, Bloomsbury has proved a rewarding base to raise his two daughters. The Frenchman and his Japanese wife relocated to London from New York for their jobs in finance and have rented a three-bedroom flat in the area since 2015. “We moved here to be close to the then-new French school, École Jeannine Manuel,” he says. “We had our doubts at first — about it being so commercial, with not so many residents — but have grown to love the area’s convenience. I travel regularly to Paris and can walk to the Eurostar station.” They also frequent Coram’s Fields — a historic seven-acre family-only park in the heart of Bloomsbury opened in 1936, which is packed with children and teens on a sunny midweek afternoon.

“The area has long been overlooked but it’s possible to find some great properties,” says Oliver Sanhaji at Middleton Advisors, who has just located a house for a couple of young lawyers who wanted to be able to walk to their offices. Currently, one of the 4,000 sq ft Georgian town houses on the popular tree-lined John Street, on the Holborn borders, is for sale at £6.5mn with Sotheby’s International Realty. The rarity of these homes makes them difficult to price, says Philpott. “A five-storey Regency town house on the market last year at £5mn sold for closer to £4mn.”

Recommended UK prime property Can Bayswater level up with the rest of prime central London? In some ways, Bloomsbury makes its own rules and is difficult to predict, like the literary characters who made its name. Despite the sizeable drop in price of the Regency town house, overall in the past year Bloomsbury did not see the decrease in the average price per sq ft felt by both Fitzrovia (-11 per cent) and Marylebone (-3.6 per cent). Those with a similarly offbeat outlook might well find their niche here.

How interest rate cuts will help revive our flagging housing market

A record 104,794 home sellers slashed their prices last month. Could the Bank of England’s base rate cut today signal future falls in mortgage rates and offer a lifeline?

By David Byers

The spring housing market is traditionally a hive of activity, with homes flanked by gardens of tulips and daffodils flying off estate agents’ shelves like hot cakes.

However, this spring has been a season of two drastically contrasting halves. After a frenetic start in March, when buyers set new records for deals done and mortgages taken out, it all went very quiet in April and sellers have been left pleading for attention since.

In early spring, before the cheaper rate of stamp duty expired on March 31, there was a flurry of activity, as buyers — particularly first-timers — desperately rushed to complete their purchases, trimming an average of £6,000 off their tax bills in London and the southeast.

As a result of this stampede, the number of house sales rose to a record of 177,370 in March, up from 109,700 in February — and more than double the 86,810 total recorded in March 2024 — according to HMRC. There was a surge in mortgage borrowing, up from £3.3 billion in February to £13 billion in March, while stamp duty receipts for a gleeful Treasury in the first quarter of this year were £2.595 billion — the third quarter in a row when they were above £2.5 billion.

 

 

After this rush, as the calendar ticked over to April Fool’s Day, the dust settled — and, for many sellers, it has been tumbleweeds all the way since as they struggle to find buyers for their homes.

The property portal Zoopla reports that there were 15 per cent more homes for sale in April compared with the same time last year, but only 1 per cent more buyers. The average estate agency, meanwhile, has 34 homes sitting on the market — the highest number in any April since 2019.

As a result of this buyer desert, many sellers are taking urgent action. Data given to The Times by TwentyCi, the analytics company, shows a record 104,794 sellers reduced the price of their properties last month, which is higher than all prior Aprils going back to 2019.

At the height of the Covid boom, when buyers were flocking to the market amid the April 2021 stamp duty holiday, only half as many — 51,376 — needed to cut their prices because there were so many more buyers around.

All of which means that this spring there will be a simple mantra for many sellers, particularly in more affluent areas, where prices (and therefore stamp duty) are higher: cut your prices or have your home languish. As Simon Gerrard, chairman of Martyn Gerrard Estate Agents, says: “The stamp duty changes have had an immediately chilling effect on the market.”

 

 

And yet it isn’t all bad news. With today’s cut in the Bank of England base rate of interest from 4.5 to 4.25 per cent, mortgage rate cuts look likely to accelerate across high street lenders in the coming weeks, potentially luring buyers back to the market and providing some desperately needed attention for those neglected sellers.

Here’s what you need to know about the strangest spring market in recent years.

The spring where only certain areas are in bloom

As March ticked into April and stamp duty rose, data provided toThe Times shows the huge extent to which the UK’s housing market cooled almost overnight. PropCast, a data platform that produces weather forecast-style heat maps for every area of the UK, shows the number of “hot” markets — where more than 35 per cent of properties listed for sale are under offer — shrank from 1,730 in March to 1,678 in the space of a month.

However, the regional variations are greater than ever. On the one hand, some areas in the southeast, southwest, east and London — where buyers are most affected by rising stamp duty and where international residents worried about higher taxes are selling up — are getting much chillier. For example, the SW10 postcode (covering West Brompton and part of Chelsea) has a paltry 11 per cent of advertised properties under offer, and Marylebone, Mayfair and Fitzrovia (W1), which has been particularly badly hit by foreign owners selling up, records only 9 per cent.

Camilla Dell, of Black Brick, a buying agent that sources properties at the most expensive end of the market for wealthy buyers, says the impact of Labour’s tax rises — and in particular the end of the non-dom scheme — is hobbling the priciest parts of London: “Buyers of prime London property are nervous about buying into a market with excessively high stamp duty rates and an exodus of wealthy people leaving our shores for more favourable tax jurisdictions.”

Areas in coastal resorts and beauty spots are also getting chillier, as rising taxes and running costs price out second-home buyers and holiday let investors. In TR8 (Mawgan Porth, Cornwall) only 25 per cent of advertised properties were under offer in April. In Windermere (LA23) it was 23 per cent.

By contrast, property markets in northern areas — where large numbers of homes remain beneath the stamp duty threshold (of £250,000 for home-movers and £425,000 for first-time buyers in England) and are popular with investors and first-timers — are still booming. For example CA1 (Carlisle) and SK3 (Stockport) both have 73 per cent of homes on the market under offer.

Reflecting this extraordinary divide, Edward Hartshorne, managing director of Blenkin & Co, an agency in York, says: “March and April saw some of the best trading months in our 33-year history.”

Selling a property in a cold area? Here’s what to do

“Many sellers have just not grasped that we are in a very challenging market, and have not adapted accordingly,” Marc Schneiderman, director of Arlington Residential, says.

Jamie Hope, managing director of Maskells, agrees: “This is a price-critical environment. We recently agreed to the sale of a good house that, at the initial asking price, saw no offers. The price was reduced and, within two weeks, three buyers competed and the house is now under offer close to the original asking price.”

There is early evidence that sellers in most areas are indeed dropping their prices meaningfully, according to Hamptons, the estate agency. It found that across Britain, nearly half (48 per cent) of homes sold in April were reduced in price, up from 45 per cent in January, February and March this year. This ranges from 52 per cent of sellers reducing prices in the south to 42 in the north.

 

However, the average number of homes on agents’ books is still the highest in recent years, at 34 properties per agent, according to Zoopla, which suggests more price cuts are needed.

Ultimately, sellers need to familiarise themselves with the picture in their area and act accordingly.

 

Light at the end of the tunnel — as mortgages become cheaper and easier to get

In the short term Gerrard believes the sluggishness in parts of the market will continue. “It’s likely that these [stamp duty] changes will act as a persistent brake on transactions,” he says. Indeed, data released last week by Nationwide showed national prices down 0.6 per cent month on month, reflecting that trend, although Halifax recorded a modest 0.3 per cent rise in figures out on Thursday.

Yet the evidence is that in areas hit the hardest by rising taxes there might be the prospect of a brighter summer ahead as borrowing becomes cheaper. The Bank of England cut interest rates today in the first of what is likely to be a series of back-to-back rate cuts that could result in them falling by as much as one percentage point over the next six months, City analysts believe.

This will particularly help buyers in pricier southern areas, who are struggling to afford the loans needed to meet more expensive house prices. The number of mortgage products being offered by lenders has steadily gone up in recent weeks as rates have reduced. And lenders are being asked by the financial regulator to be more generous on affordability calculations to allow more people to borrow.

 

Look around, buyers: there are new-build deals to be had

However, if you’re a buyer and fear your stamp duty bill will price you out, rest assured there are people even more desperate than you — new-build developers.

Builders are suffering a double whammy, with high taxes putting off prospective buyers who were, in many cases, already deterred by the end of the Help to Buy scheme, which until 2023 used to provide loans of up to 40 per cent to first-time buyers to buy new-builds.

Now, many developers are desperately trying to compensate with lucrative incentives to cancel out tax rises. Peabody New Homes, for example, will provide up to £11,250 to buyers at its developments including Higgs Yard at Loughborough Junction, southeast London, where properties start at a pricey-looking £424,000 for a one-bedroom flat.

Another developer, Backhouse, is offering an incentive of £10,000 to buyers purchasing in their Cotswolds developments at Blunsdon, Highworth and Moreton-in-Marsh.

Barratt, another developer, has launched a scheme called Starter Deposit Match, in which the developer will add 5 per cent on top of any 5 or 10 per cent deposit raised by a buyer. Meanwhile, NHG Homes is offering £5,000 cashback on one-bedroom apartments at the Perfume Factory, where prices start from £435,000, but where buyers can buy slices of a home under the Shared Ownership scheme (read the smallprint carefully before entering into such arrangements). Lovell Homes is offering to pay stamp duty on its flats at Trinity Park in Woolwich.

So, for cash-strapped buyers looking for money off a newbuild — or hunting for a bargain as desperate sellers drop their prices — this could counterintuitively be a time of opportunity. “There are some clear buying opportunities,” Robin Chalk, of the agency Anderson Rose, says. “Spring is a season of contrasts, after all.”

Can Bayswater level up with the rest of prime central London?

By Liz Rowlinson

The first stages of the £3bn redevelopment of Queensway are bedding in. More change is on the way. But there’s still some distance to go to shake off the “cheap side of the park” jibes. Buyers are enjoying a different view of Bayswater, as luxury developments such as Park Modern transform the landscape. Can Bayswater level up with the rest of prime central London?

Just north of London’s Hyde Park on Queensway, the main commercial artery of Bayswater, The Whiteley is one of the capital’s most talked-about ultra-luxury apartment schemes. Behind the creamy-white art deco Portland stone facade of what was once London’s oldest department store, are 139 new apartments, a Six Senses hotel, plus shops, restaurants, an Everyman cinema and upscale Third Space gym. Yet, across the street from the Foster + Partners redesigned building (where a penthouse is selling for £39.5mn), it’s a different matter. A block of cheap souvenir shops, discount stores and fast-food joints buzzes about its business. A boarded-up shop reads “Queensway is changing”. After June these will be razed to make way for high-end shops and pavement cafés. But will the £3bn regeneration of the street with Parisian-style glass dining pavilions, help the “cheap side of the Park”, as it is known, level up with the rest of prime central London?

Despite all the elegant Victorian white stucco terraces, pretty garden squares and many a photogenic mews, the neighbourhood between Notting Hill and Marble Arch has, for several generations, been the grittier, under-the-radar sibling in the area — a sort of lost hinterland. Bayswater’s renaissance has been driven by developments such as The Whiteley, a luxury conversion of the former department store into apartments starting at £1.5mn. It was not always so.

When its genteel crescents and squares were built in the 1850s it was a quietly affluent area, where William Whiteley decided to build a drapery shop on Westbourne Grove that became the new Whiteleys store (with royal warrant) in 1911. The area’s desirability continued when Selfridges bought and extended the store in 1927; it also became known for its affluent multiculturalism with its Greek, Jewish and Middle Eastern communities.

But since the 1980s it has drifted downmarket.  Bayswater (W2) became the area “where you can get spacious period flats and mansion blocks at a discount for prime central London” says Moreas Madani of Tyburn Property Consultancy. The average flat sold for £1,229 per sq ft last year — considerably less than the prime London average of £1,577, according to LonRes, which tracks the prime market.

But as the wider prime central London market struggles with the effects of Brexit, stamp duty increases, higher mortgage rates and inflation, Bayswater has stayed stable. The average price per sq ft of a sold property fell just 0.1 per cent between 2023 and 2024, while transaction levels were up 9 per cent. The respective averages across prime central London were down 5.6 per cent and up 5 per cent. Average time on the market of 285 days (around nine months) is consistent across both.  The drive to regenerate Bayswater has not robbed it of its many quintessentially Victorian properties and businesses.

A new, younger demographic is now seeing the area’s comparative value as “less a compromise and more an opportunity”, says Madani. The smartening up of the area around Paddington Station, used by the Heathrow Express and more recently Crossrail, has already moved the dial.

Daven Chopra who works in finance is about to exchange on a one-bedroom flat in a stucco terrace near Queensway, after living in Maida Vale, an affluent area 1.5 miles north. “I use Heathrow every week and being so close to Paddington was also a big draw — and I am at my Hanover Square office on the Elizabeth Line in around 10 minutes. While some of the incredible buildings in Bayswater are [currently] rundown bedsits or guesthouses, I am confident this will change.”

The opening of Crossrail was also a plus for Jacinta Goulter who bought a one-bed flat in the area after moving from Queens Park, another affluent but less central area. “Being next to the Park has to be a good investment,” she says. She cites a new outpost of pilates brand FORM on Queensway, and Jeremy King’s new restaurant The Park as early signs of positive change.  The American-style restaurant is on the ground floor of Park Modern, a super-prime development by Fenton Whelan at the Park end of Queensway, which will bookend a swath of new development running down from The Whiteley.  Developments such as Park Modern are driving change.

At 28-34 Queensway, 30 apartments will be completed in early 2026. The company has also acquired the long block opposite The Whiteley which was formerly slated to become The William; it is applying for new planning consent for a seven-storey, Portland stone apartment building with shops and cafés, which will also be given a new name and identity.  “We wanted to be part of the transformation of Queensway but are glad The Whiteley got the ball rolling,” says Vabel co-founder Daniel Baliti. “You look at how Notting Hill changed, and then Fitzrovia, then Marylebone and this is next.” He says they are looking to bring in brands and a private members club that are fun, fresh and modern — “less stuffy than Belgravia”.

The Whiteley has been one of Savills’ best-performing new schemes, according to Edward Lewis, head of London residential development for the company, who says that its average £3,600 per sq ft is less than new prime developments in Marylebone (£4,000), and the area including Mayfair, Knightsbridge and Belgravia (£5,000-£6,000). The building has 38 apartments left to sell (from £1.5mn).

Alex Winship The Queensway Steering Group of landowners (including The Whiteley and Fenton Whelan) is overseeing the area’s redevelopment. As well as introducing more street cleaning and security, they are also planning new paving and planting that will lead down to new ornate public gates into Hyde Park. There will also be upgrades to Queensway and Bayswater Underground stations.

A £3mn refurbishment was recently completed at Porchester Spa — London’s joint oldest with York Hall, both opened in 1929.  Smaller developers are feeling the ripple effect of the Queensway regeneration. “Right now, Bayswater feels like an easier place to sell a property than Maida Vale,” says Ben Wilson of Knight James, which buy homes to renovate and sell on.

Current projects are in Westbourne Terrace — a wide, tree-lined street of stucco terraces near Paddington — and Gloucester Terrace. “I see Bayswater catching up with Notting Hill in 10 years.”  Some people like the idea that W2 is not full of Instagramming tourists asking for directions to Portobello Road Market Charles Irwin, Winkworth Madani of Tyburn Property has not yet seen a rush of buyers reappraising those stucco houses: “The effect so far has been more psychological than transactional.”

Camilla Dell of Black Brick Property Solutions agrees: “I think the area will level up but it will take a while. At the moment it’s a bit of a hard sell. You are still buying with the hope factor.”

Long-term residents are also hopeful, says Scott Joseph of estate agent Anderson Rose. “Since The Whiteley I have had calls from owners in nearby mansion blocks assuming they can sell their flats for double what they are worth — which is actually around £1,000 to £1,300 per sq ft.” The LonRes data would suggest that what Joseph calls a “slim increase in value” is nearer the reality. But even those houses in Bayswater’s most desirable pockets, and which achieve a £1,500 per sq ft price tag, are still at least 25 per cent cheaper than similar properties in Notting Hill, says Charles Irwin of Winkworth, who points to the “lovely little enclave” of Sunderland Terrace, Alexander Street, Durham Terrace and Westbourne Gardens.  He has just sold a six-bedroom house in Bayswater, off-market, for £6.35mn that he estimates would be £10mn in prime Notting Hill. He adds: “Some people like the idea that W2 is not full of Instagramming tourists asking for directions to Portobello Road Market.”

Popular private prep schools such as Wetherby, Chepstow House and Pembridge Hall are close by so the large properties of the W2 area are a draw for families. “I can see houses in Bayswater [rising in value] more quickly than flats,” says Irwin. LonRes figures bear this out: the average house in W2 is up 5.6 per cent last year on the pre-pandemic average — more than the 3.5 per cent average of prime central London.

The border between Notting Hill and Bayswater is becoming more blurred in people’s minds, believes Arthur Lintell of Knight Frank’s Notting Hill office, referring to the streets west of Queensway — around Leinster Square, Hereford Road and Ossington Street. “Younger, wealthier buyers, including a number of Americans, want proximity to both Notting Hill and Queensway.” A four-bedroom flat on Cleveland Square, currently under offer through Savills, at £3.25mn Americans have been the biggest group of foreign buyers at The Whiteley, says Charles Leigh, sales director at the scheme. There have also been a number of British downsizers from Notting Hill. “We’ve seen people moving here from a four-storey townhouse within a mile of The Whiteley.” Yet the buzz about the project has had little impact on the area’s rentals market so far. “Until everything’s up and running [on Queensway], I don’t see demand and rates increasing,” says Tanya Hasking, head of lettings at John D Wood. “We are quite some time off that.”

Andrew Norris who has bought a one-bedroom flat on Queensway, opposite Starbucks, is happy to play the long game. “If in time I need a bigger place, I know it will be a great rental investment,” says the surveyor, who moved from Balham, south London. “I bought when it was undervalued but I can see that changing.”  Some fear that the changes on Queensway may result in the area losing its distinct appeal and become just another slickly curated high street. But recent buyers such as Chopra feel that a new distinction is needed. “I don’t think there is anything to lose. I hope it becomes like Westbourne Grove — my favourite street in London.”

‘For the brave, there are real opportunities’: Camilla Dell on buying PCL property in a global financial crisis

The playing field has changed substantially’ for property buyers, says one of London’s top buying agents, as she explores why Trump’s tariff-induced international economic turbulence feels different to previous financial crises.

Global financial markets have been on a wild ride in recent weeks, reacting to rapid changes to international trade dynamics as President Trump toys with the America’s tariff regime.

Prime London property is often touted as a “safe haven” in times of economic volatility, but are things different this time around?

Top-flight buying agent Camilla Dell, founder of Black Brick, has been musing on how the current turbulence compares with previous bouts of economic mania – such as the Global Financial Crisis of 2008.

“In 2008–2009, we saw a clear flight to safety,” says Dell. “At the height of the global banking meltdown, with names like Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, and AIG dominating headlines. Many of our clients turned to London property as a tangible, stable alternative to volatile stocks and bonds. Activity surged, driven both by opportunists and those seeking the security of bricks and mortar.”

This is not the case today, suggests Dell. “We don’t anticipate a sudden rush of overseas buyers flooding the market, despite the current financial volatility,” she says – although her buying agency is seeing “notable momentum from UK domestic buyers those upsizing, downsizing, or purchasing second homes.”

There are several reasons for the altered market landscape. Notably, prime property prices have largely stagnated over a ten-year timeframe. Prices have retreated back to where they were during the last financial crisis, quelled by changes in non-dom taxation and increased stamp duty – which means some PCL homes are now looking like relatively good value.

“For buyers who’ve been waiting patiently on the sidelines,” Dell believes “the tide has turned in their favour.”

Another “stark contrast” to the 2008 era is that foreign buyers can no longer purchase through offshore corporate structures to avoid inheritance or capital gains tax. “The playing field has changed substantially, limiting some of the fiscal benefits that once drew international capital to London,” notes Dell.

2008 Vs 2025: 3 key differences for the UK property market (according to Black Brick)

  1. Stamp Duty Dynamics: During the 2008 crisis, the highest stamp duty rate was just 4%, and the government raised the 0% threshold to stimulate transactions. Today, overseas buyers of additional properties may face rates as high as 19%.
  2. Interest Rate Environment: Following the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the Bank of England rapidly reduced base rates from 4.5% to 2% within months. Today, despite speculation of future cuts, the base rate sits at 4.5%, and dramatic reductions appear unlikely.
  3. Change in Tax Incentives: The removal of historic tax advantages for buy-to-let investors has largely reduced the appeal of property as a yield-focused investment.

Camilla Dell: “People are understandably nervous right now. In times of financial fear, many pause, especially those who have suffered losses in the markets. But for the brave, there are real opportunities. One of our overseas clients, currently transacting, put it perfectly: ‘Buying a place in this turmoil seems crazy, but that’s why I think offering something like this makes sense. No one is transacting on anything anywhere.’

“As the global financial picture continues to evolve, the message is clear: London may be down—but for the right buyers, it’s far from out.”

Will Trump’s tariffs hit the UK property market?

The US president has caused stock market turmoil. Why buyers and borrowers could be in for a wild ride

By Hugh Graham, David Byers and Carol Lewis

Just as everything seemed to be settling down after the rush to beat last week’s stamp duty tax hike, tariff turmoil has hit.

Twenty-four hours after the stamp duty deadline on April 1, President Trump declared “liberation day”, launching a global trade war that has led to stock market meltdown, initially pummelling the value of investments and pensions and unleashing uncertainty across the world.

Then, the president U-turned, telling reporters at the White House that people were “getting a little bit yippy”, and announced a 90-day pause in the higher rate of “reciprocal tariffs”. The FTSE 100 and 250 recovered to more than 8,000 points yesterday morning, in the biggest rally in more than five years.

However, given the president’s propensity to make seemingly contradictory announcements at a whim that can change the prospects of global economies, what is clear is that we have entered a period of unprecedented unpredictability which makes it near-impossible for people to plan what to do when making big decisions with their money. What does this mean for those hoping to buy or sell property, or take out a mortgage?

 

Is it 2008 all over again?

Whenever there is significant stock market uncertainty, some analysts look back with trauma at the 2008 financial crisis, which triggered job losses, left homeowners with easy-come mortgages sliding into negative equity, repossessions soaring and house prices dropping by about 20 per cent.

However, don’t panic. As the consequences of the autumn 2022 mortgage rate spiral showed, homeowners today have been far more extensively stress-tested than before the 2008 financial crisis, which means repossessions have stayed extremely low — and will continue to do so, even if further unpredictability sends markets into a fresh tailspin.

Matthew Swannell, the chief economic adviser to the EY Item Club, a leading economic forecasting group, says: “A careful and measured approach should be taken when comparing the UK’s current economic circumstances with the global financial crisis, when UK GDP fell by more than 6 per cent and the unemployment rate increased to about 8 per cent.

“The global financial crisis led to a significantly deeper downturn than even the Office for Budget Responsibility’s most pessimistic tariff scenario, where GDP is estimated to fall by just over 1 per cent.”

 

What about the super-rich?

Camilla Dell, who founded her property consultancy Black Brick in 2007, just before the financial crisis, says the luxury end of London’s property was already a buyer’s market, even before Trump. High tax is putting off purchasers — stamp duty can be as high as 19 per cent for overseas buyers compared with 4 per cent in 2008 — with tax advantages to invest in buy-to-let gone and the non-dom regime abolished.

So, this turmoil is the latest in a series of causes of a market slowdown, rather than the primary trigger. “The result of stamp duty increases and non-dom tax changes have caused prices in London to decrease to levels not seen since the financial crisis,” she says.

Helen Whitfield, whose Butler Sherborn agency deals with high-end homes in the Cotswolds, says: “The conversations I’ve had with people who are buying at the moment, some of them are like, ‘I’ve just had £400,000 wiped off the value of my stocks and shares.’” However, up until this week she says the market had been going well with her phone “ringing off the hook” and she believes it will again, particularly as most of her buyers don’t need mortgages. “The Cotswolds isn’t dying on its feet yet,” she adds.

 

What about the rest of us?

For most of the market, though, uncertainty abounds. And when there is uncertainty over people’s finances and their investments, there is likely to be a slowdown, particularly among middle-class movers. For sellers, this means being realistic on pricing, while buyers are likely to negotiate more robustly.

The latest monthly survey of property professionals by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (Rics), covering March, found the weakest buyer sentiment since September 2023.

It said “three-month sales expectations point to a further dip in activity over the near term, but further ahead the outlook is not quite as downbeat with sales volumes expected to rise.”

Simon Rubinsohn, Rics chief economist, says: “The expiry of the stamp duty break was always going to lead to a pause in activity in the sales market. However, the latest results, and indeed the anecdotal remarks from respondents to our survey, suggest that the shift in sentiment has been aggravated by the slew of negative macro newsflow over the past few weeks.

“Looking forward, the impact on the market will in no small part depend on how the economy is affected by the emerging trade war and the response of the Bank of England to the shifting environment.”

Ashley Webb, a UK economist for Capital Economics, agrees the market may be more muted as buyers worry about their investments — given the propensity for the markets to dip, soar and dip again. “The fallout in financial markets could reduce households’ net wealth via pensions and investments, which in turn could weigh on consumer confidence.”

He notes that housing demand has always risen and fallen in line with households’ confidence. Capital Economics, however, has not yet adjusted its market forecast — predicting a 3.5 per cent rise in property prices in 2025 and 4.5 per cent next year.

Lucian Cook, the director of residential research for Savills, says: “Further economic uncertainty is likely to mean the continuation of a price-sensitive market through the spring, with activity dominated by needs-based buyers and sellers.”

Savills’ forecast, released after the spring statement, predicted transactions remaining slightly below their pre-pandemic average over the next five years, peaking at 1,150,000 in 2028 (there were 1,040,000 transactions last year). This may be further hit.

For those buying more affordable properties outside London and the south, the market is likely to be stronger than for those stretching themselves for pricier homes. Data published by Halifax on Monday showed a 6.6 per cent annual price growth to the end of March in Northern Ireland, where the average property price of £206,620 has scarcely recovered from its level during the financial crisis. Scotland (4.3 per cent) and Yorkshire and the Humber (4.2 per cent) come next, but pricier Greater London was registering an anaemic 1.1 per cent in property price growth.

Is property still a safe investment?

Timothy Hawe, the director of the Your Move estate agency in the Newcastle area, says the average value of properties across its 13 branches is £180,000 — and suggests sentiment in this market is strong, particularly because the rise in stamp duty didn’t affect this price point. “We’re not seeing people pulling out of deals or getting really nervous. The other reaction we’re getting is: aren’t bricks and mortar great? Property doesn’t have that massive fluctuation — people see it as a safe investment.”

Nathan Emerson, the chief executive of Propertymark, the membership body for the property sector, says: “Perversely [market disruption] creates an incentive for investing in property. Investing in property is for the long term. Buy-to-let isn’t as profitable as it once was, but there is a shortage of stock and oversupply of tenants and it’s a lot less volatile than the markets are.”

 

Is there good news for borrowers?

One reason for confidence is to be found in the mortgage market, with the possibility that borrowers may actually yield some benefit out of the world’s economy going into a tailspin.

About 1.34 million homeowners are due to come off expiring fixed-rate deals between April and December, according to the Financial Conduct Authority. Of these, up to 750,000 will be coming off super-cheap five-year fixes which they took out during the 2020 Covid era, which was set to leave them with a massive payment shock when they negotiated new deals.

However, there is now a suggestion that the Bank of England will need to cut interest rates faster than expected to stave off an economic downturn — a move which could lead lenders to cut rates.

Experts generally agree that the outlook for mortgages — while uncertain — looks slightly improved in light of this, at least in the short term.

Webb says: “The markets have concluded that interest rates will fall a bit faster than they previously thought. At face value, that implies the two-year mortgage rate will fall from 4.5 per cent in March to about 4.25 per cent.”

Chris Sykes, a broker at Private Finance, also sees reason for optimism on rates, even though the situation is “rather confused and up in the air”.

He adds: “Interest rate futures currently price in about an 85 basis point reduction this year according to Reuters, with Trump’s tariffs being the leading cause for changes in this over the past week.”

Although rates may get lower faster, this doesn’t necessarily mean everyone will be able to afford the cheaper rates.

While some lenders could follow the example of Santander in relaxing stress-testing, others are likely to be more cautious, given the uncertainty which affects their balance sheets. Martin Stewart, of the broker London Money, says: “If bank shares are hit hard — and they have been — it can have an effect on their capital adequacy ratio, which in turn leaves them having to ring-fence money to improve financial stability and absorb potential losses — money that they can’t then lend to the consumer.”

There’s also a counter-argument that the tariffs are likely to stoke inflation by making prices of goods more expensive, and so the Bank of England ought not to cut rates at all. Andrew Sentance, a former Monetary Policy Committee member, takes this view. “I expect UK inflation to go above 5 per cent this autumn and stay at around this level into next year.”

Emerson agrees: “In the short term we could see interest rate cuts but in the longer term there is an inflationary risk to the market, so rates could adjust again.”

Although, he adds: “There is nothing to suggest there will be a housing crash. We might see a little negotiation over stamp duty after the deadline but the fundamentals of the housing market remain. We have a supply shortage.”

 

What about first-time buyers?

For first-time buyers, the chance to pick up a bargain from modestly falling prices may provide a hint of optimism — even if increased stamp duty has raised the bills of buyers in the southeast and London (from £2,752 to £9,002, on average).

In the run-up to the stamp duty deadline, first-time buyers were over-represented in the market — purchasing a record 32 per cent of all homes in the first quarter of this year, up from 30 per cent a year earlier, a record high.

Those whose Lifetime Isa accounts are invested in the stock market may have seen their portfolio shrink significantly over the past week, setting back their hopes of affording a home.

Plus, given that the so-called Bank of Mum and Dad helped first-time buyers with £9.3 billion in 2024 — assisting 54 per cent of those buying homes — there are question marks over whether those whose investments have been hit will be able to afford it this time.

 

Will Labour’s building plans be hit?

There are also questions over whether inflation may hit the government’s ability to build the homes it has promised. “We will need to watch the impact on building material costs around the world. Costs are already at an all-time high and we’re already about half a billion bricks short of what we need. This could affect the government’s ability to hit its building targets. If building material costs do rise further it will be challenging to be affordable housing goals,” Emerson says.

Spring Budget 2025: The prime property industry’s hopes & fears

Our panel of luxury property leaders urges the Chancellor to ease the tax burden on residential transactions, and to make Britain a more hospitable place for international investors & HNWIs.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves is due to present the annual Spring Forecast and economic statement later this week (on 26th March). This is not supposed to be a full “fiscal event” like the Autumn Budget, but Treasury sources recently warned that “the world has changed” in the last six months – implying the Spring Statement may be more than an economic sit-rep. Tax changes and policy shifts are very possible.

So we asked leaders in the prime property sector what they most hope Reeves will announce on the 26th, and what they most fear will come to pass:

  • What measures could the Chancellor announce in a Spring Forecast Statement that would bolster the property market?
  • Which policies could (or already are) doing most damage to the high-value residential property sector?

Our panel – which includes estate agents, buying agents, developers, designers and mortgage brokers – is not optimistic. Given the bleak wider economic landscape, not-great news on the geopolitical front, warning noises about public sector over-spending, and a left-leaning government – the likelihood of any announcement in favour of luxury homes is slim.

As is now tradition, Stamp Duty reform tops many property pros’ wishlists. Simon Barry of Harrods Estates says “the current regime creates an artificial market where both buyers and sellers are penalised for wanting to move or invest.” Buying agency boss Camilla Dell argues changes to the SDLT regime since 2014 have been “like pouring glue into the London property market”, and advocates for a return to the pre-George Osborne “slab” structure.

Stamp Duty cuts are unlikely, admits Robin Edwards of Curetons, but “even the hint of an easing or targeted relief for specific groups, such as first-time buyers and downsizers, could inject some much-needed momentum into the market.”

Other key concerns include ongoing fallout from the abolition of Non-Dom tax breaks, “unintended consequences” of the Renters’ Rights Bill, and the possibility of hikes to Capital Gains Tax or even the introduction of a new mansion tax or wealth tax targeting the super-rich.

More positive notes focus on the potential for effective reform of Council Tax – balancing the levy so more affluent areas and higher-value homes pay a fairer share, and the potential to remove or reduce VAT on some construction and home renovations – which Harrods’ Barry argues would be “a game-changer” for the property market.

There’s also an underlying cheerfulness about the relative stability of the current UK government, at least when compared to all the goings-on of recent years.

Overall, prime resi movers and shakers would like to see lower taxes and more encouragement for – rather than deterrents to – inward international investment. Becky Fatemi of Sotheby’s International Realty UK sums up the mood: “The worst thing Reeves could do right now is double down on punitive taxes that push wealth out of London”.

Talking Heads: Luxury property leaders’ Spring Budget wishes & fears

Revert to the pre-2014 slab system of Stamp Duty

– Camilla Dell, Managing Director at Black Brick

“Unfortunately, our ‘wish list’ for what we think should happen to the property market is unlikely to be fulfilled, but if we had a magic wand…

  1. Stamp Duty: By far the biggest cost that a buyer incurs. When George Osbourne changed Stamp Duty rates in 2014, he changed the market forever. Those changes and indeed subsequent changes have been like pouring glue into the London property market. Transactions are fewer and people have no incentive to move. I would reverse Osbourne’s changes and revert to the old slab system with a top rate of 7% (and 3% extra for overseas buyers or second homes).
  2. Reform Council Tax: Considering the above, I would then change the way council tax is charged, ensuring more affluent areas and expensive homes pay more and that these funds can be used to help fund wider public services in the borough.
  3. Renters Reform: again, something that is being brought in, without any thought of unintended consequences. Landlords now have no security of tenure, with tenants being able to serve notice at any time which may push even more Landlords to sell, and reduce rental supply further, thereby harming the very people the government is trying to protect.

“Along with stamp duty, changes to the UK Res Non-Dom tax regime are by far the most harmful to the Prime Central London property market. We have taken calls from several clients all selling up due to Non Dom changes as they do not wish their entire estate to be drawn into UK IHT. A much smarter move would have been to keep the regime intact and instead charge a much bigger annual fee for Non Dom’s to retain their tax status.”

If the property market comes out of the Spring Statement relatively unscathed, demand should build over the year as buyers adapt to the new lending landscape

– Tom Bill, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank

“The government wants to boost tax revenue and encourage economic growth but its new rules for non doms risk doing neither. A tweak to the legislation around inheritance tax and overseas trusts would notably lower the number of foreign investors leaving the UK, but political ideology has so far trumped economic pragmatism. The government has also not been swayed by arguments in favour of an Italian-style flat tax to make the UK more competitive on the international stage.

“The inflationary impact of policies like higher employer national insurance contributions and minimum wage rises is a risk for the UK housing market. If inflation stays higher for longer, that will keep upwards pressure on mortgage rates. However, if the property market comes out of the Spring Statement relatively unscathed, demand should build over the year as buyers adapt to the new lending landscape.”

The worst thing Reeves could do right now is double down on punitive taxes that push wealth out of London

Becky Fatemi, Executive Partner at Sotheby’s International Realty UK

Wish: “London has lost too many of its UHNW residents, and it’s time to bring them back. The Spring Budget needs to send a clear message: London is open for business again. We should be rolling out the red carpet with policies that make it worth staying – like a more competitive non-dom tax regime, a longer tax exemption period for new arrivals, or incentives that encourage investment in UK businesses rather than pushing money offshore. The wealthy have choices, and right now, they’re choosing Dubai, Monaco, or Italy. If we want London to remain the world’s capital of opportunity, we need to stop pushing people away and start making them feel welcome again.”

Nightmare: “The worst thing Reeves could do right now is double down on punitive taxes that push wealth out of London. The city thrives because it attracts visionaries – entrepreneurs, investors, creatives—people who drive innovation and fuel our economy. If the Spring Budget brings more tax hikes – like higher Capital Gains Tax, an extended wealth tax, or even harsher inheritance tax rules on UK property – those people will simply take their wealth elsewhere. We’ve already seen international buyers turn away due to increased stamp duty and the non-dom crackdown. If the government keeps making London an expensive place to succeed, we risk turning it into a playground for tourists rather than a global hub for wealth, business, and culture.”

Adjustments to Stamp Duty could significantly enhance market fluidity, especially at the higher end

– Craig Tonkin, Regional Sales Director at Hamptons London

“As we approach the Spring Forecast, the property market, particularly in Prime Central London, is poised for potential shifts. While we hope for measures that could invigorate the sector, there are also concerns about policies that might dampen growth.

“In terms of hopes, it would be fantastic to think there might be some sort of stamp duty reform as adjustments here could significantly enhance market fluidity, especially at the higher end, by reducing barriers for both domestic and international buyers. We’re also keen to see a clear, long-term tax strategy that avoids sudden policy changes, providing the stability that investors and homeowners crave.

“However, there are apprehensions too. Any increase in Capital Gains Tax on property sales could stifle transactions and discourage investment, potentially deterring international clients from the London market. Similarly, the introduction of a mansion tax or further restrictions on non-dom buyers could push high-net-worth individuals to seek opportunities elsewhere, slowing the prime market considerably.

“Ultimately, while the Chancellor’s announcements are crucial, the most significant boost to the market in the short term would likely come from a reduction in interest rates. This, of course, falls outside the scope of the budget but remains a key factor in market dynamics.”

Zero-rated VAT on building work and refurbishments for second-hand homes would be a game-changer for the property market

– Simon Barry, Head of New Developments at Harrods Estates

Wish: “Our biggest wish would be for Reeves to reduce SDLT to a level which reflects the reality of property values in London and the South East. The current regime creates an artificial market where both buyers and sellers are penalised for wanting to move or invest.

“In addition, zero-rated VAT on building work and refurbishments for second-hand homes would be a game-changer for the property market. It would encourage investment in existing housing stock, driving sales, revitalising older properties, and embedding sustainability into the industry in a truly meaningful way. Instead of demolishing and rebuilding, homeowners and developers would be incentivised to restore, enhance, and future-proof Britain’s homes – delivering both economic and environmental benefits.”

Nightmare: “Conversely, an increase in Capital Gains Tax (CGT) on second homes and investment properties would risk stifling market activity. Faced with higher tax burdens, many sellers would simply hold onto their properties, further restricting supply and pushing prices even higher. At a time when we need to encourage greater fluidity in the market, additional CGT increases could have the opposite effect, limiting opportunities for buyers and reducing overall transaction levels.”

A change to Stamp Duty for downsizers would get the entire market moving

– Nina Harrison, London Specialist at Haringtons UK

Wish: “My biggest ask would be for Reeves to slash Stamp Duty for downsizers. There are thousands of older homeowners rattling around in houses far too big for them, desperate to move but trapped by eye-watering tax bills. Free them up, and suddenly, family homes start flowing through the market again. Chains speed up, sales rise, and the Treasury still rakes in tax from all the extra transactions. A change to Stamp Duty for downsizers would get the entire market moving.”

Nightmare: “The nightmare would be making it even harder and more expensive to employ people. Businesses are already drowning in costs, and every new tax or regulation just pushes them closer to the edge. If Reeves really wants a thriving economy, she needs to let businesses breathe. Cut the red tape, lower employment costs, and encourage growth. The rise in NI for employers was a mistake – many would welcome a U-turn.”

Rather than deterring foreign buyers, we should be encouraging them

– George Nares, co-founder of Blue Book Agency

Wish: “At the top of my wish list is a substantial reduction in Capital Gains Tax – ideally to 5-10%. This relatively new tax ultimately deters transactions, discouraging people from selling assets, including property. Lowering it would incentivise sales rather than stagnation, stimulating far greater economic activity and, ironically, generating more tax revenue than repeated hikes ever could.

“A reduction in Stamp Duty would also be welcomed. Successive increases have prompted buyers to limit the number of property transactions in their lifetime. Where people once moved as their needs evolved, newlyweds today are more likely to purchase a long-term home that accommodates future children rather than upgrading gradually. A lower tax would encourage more frequent transactions, increasing overall revenue despite a reduced rate. After all, high taxes are futile if they stifle market activity altogether. A more fluid property market means more money circulating through the economy. There is such an opportunity to turbo boost the market. Yet, the early signals from our new government suggest otherwise – so, regrettably, this may remain nothing more than wishful thinking!”

Nightmare: “My greatest concern is the prospect of yet another rise in Stamp Duty surcharges on second homes or foreign buyers. Such measures would dampen demand and make the UK less attractive to international investors. With uncertainty in the US and a fragile EU economy, now is precisely the time to welcome wealthy investors, not repel them. Rather than deterring foreign buyers, we should be encouraging them.”

 

It may be sensible for the Government to investigate why areas with low taxation, such as Florida, are doing so well

– Charles Curran, Managing Director at Maskells Estate Agent

 

“According to the OBR, in 2024/25 the Public Sector raised £1,148.7Bn (£40,000 per household) vs spending £1,276.2Bn (£45,000 per household). The UK is therefore running a budget deficit. Prior to the market correction over the past weeks, the impending US Tariffs and the expected spend on defence, the OBR predicated that this deficit would fall to £70.6bn over the next five years. It is now likely to take much longer.

“Whilst the cost cutting headlines are welcome, our opinion is that the only way to deal with this debt pile is economic growth, which can only be obtained via investment and confidence, both home-grown and foreign. For example, at home, imposing Inheritance Tax on Farmers and businesses is, simply put, ill-conceived as no thought has been levelled on how this tax will be paid: The burden is likely to lead to the closure of small companies and farms, if they survive the Employer NIC increase. The IHT post NIC increase has been likened to “salting the ground after the battle” by Andrew Griffith MP, Shadow Business Secretary. Overall Business Confidence, according to the Adam Smith Institute’s  latest survey, is now of 2.6 out of 10 with 77% of respondence reporting low or very low confidence. It is no wonder foreign corporate investors are waiting by the side-lines.

“For foreign individual investors, Labour must ask itself why anyone would tie themselves to a high tax jurisdiction whereafter 10 years their global assets would fall under the UK inheritance Tax net, even if those assets have nothing to do with, and were not generated in the UK.  It may be sensible for the Government to investigate why areas with low taxation, such as Florida, are doing so well.

“Therefore, Labour needs to introduce an attractive tax regime to drive investment and positive sentiment that in turn will have a galvanising effect across all sectors, including the property market.  In our opinion, the Chancellor needs to continue cutting costs, talk to the Gilt Market, lower taxes, reduce red-tape and then leave it to the private sector.”

The danger is that prime properties are once again seen as easy targets

– Robin Edwards, Partner at London buying agency Curetons

“To be honest we’re really not hopeful about Rachel Reeves’ Spring Forecast, the best we think we can expect is a bit of economic stability and predictability. The prime property market relies on confidence – when buyers and investors feel secure in their financial outlook, they’re far more willing to make significant purchases.

“Stamp duty remains one of the biggest issues, acting as a deterrent not just to new buyers, but also to those looking to move up or down the ladder. While it’s unlikely we’ll see a wholesale reduction, even the hint of an easing or targeted relief for specific groups, such as first-time buyers and downsizers, could inject some much-needed momentum into the market.

“What we most fear is that Reeves in her desire to appear “fiscally prudent” opts to introduce further tax hikes or clampdowns on prime property. There’s been a lot of rhetoric around wealth taxes recently and the danger is that prime properties are once again seen as easy targets. Additional taxes, whether on second homes, foreign ownership or more stringent capital gains tax on high-end property sales could prove devastating.

“It’s not just about more taxes though, but the ongoing erosion of incentives that once made London so appealing to HNWIs around the world. Non-dom reforms have already chipped away at the city’s appeal for wealthy internationals. The UK lost 10,800 millionaires to foreign countries last year, more than double the number that left in 2013. That means since Labour came to power one millionaire has left the UK every 45 minutes. We don’t need yet another signal that the UK is an inhospitable place to put down roots or invest. The constant uncertainty around taxation only amplifies the sense that the UK is becoming increasingly unwelcoming to wealth and success.”

Sustained policy stability would serve as a positive springboard

– Laura Dam Villena, Head of London residential agency at Cluttons

“While stamp duty reductions would be very welcome, it’s unlikely any significant changes will be made.

“In any event, the ideal outcome of the spring budget would be for Rachel Reeves to deliver a statement that creates confidence in the growth of our economy. Sustained policy stability would serve as a positive springboard, encouraging activity amongst both domestic and international buyers alike.”

Be bold and scrap Stamp Duty altogether

– Jennie Hancock, founder and director of West Sussex & Hampshire buying agency Property Acquisitions

“It might seem like a distant memory, but many of us in the property industry can remember the halcyon days of a single 1% rate of stamp duty, until it started creeping steadily upwards after 1997.

“People moved house every 3 or 4 years, when their circumstances changed such as a new job, a new baby, or when their children had left home and they wanted to downsize. And every time they did so, solicitors, estate agents, surveyors, removals firms, builders, architects and so on, all got paid – and so did the government via their taxes.

“Today, stamp duty has distorted and constrained the market so heavily, that we have older homeowners rattling around in large family homes which they no longer need or want, because they can’t face handing £150,000 to the tax man. They would rather stay put and hire a gardener or a housekeeper with that money.

“Meanwhile families are crammed into smaller properties, unable to afford to upsize because there aren’t enough large family homes to choose from. Plus, the stagnated market means they probably haven’t made much on their current home – so the enormous stamp duty bill they would face to upsize has to come out of their existing equity.

“When people don’t move home, the economy suffers, which is why stamp duty is such a pointless and prohibitive tax. As well as all the service providers and suppliers in the property ecosystem who lose out, it’s harder for companies to recruit, workers are forced to commute further to work and you end up with a far less mobile and less productive population.

“This is unlikely to be a tax cutting budget, but I wish the government could see just how much of an economic own goal stamp duty is.”

 

To attract investors, entrepreneurs as well as wealthy individuals, we would like the Chancellor to consider tax incentives and streamline regulations that promote innovation

– David Johnson of property consultancy INHOUS

“Although there is no traditional Spring Budget this year, we expect the Chancellor to announce further measures to tackle the nation’s debt and rising inflation which has hit 3% last month. To date, Rachel Reeves’ Autumn Statement has had a number of implications on the UK property market; especially on first-time buyers who will be facing higher stamp duty thresholds as of April.

“Despite news of wealthy individuals leaving the UK, we have since seen a gradual increase in the number of buyers with budgets over £5million. The Chancellor’s more recent decision to soften non-dom tax changes may have contributed to this uplift. To attract investors, entrepreneurs as well as wealthy individuals, who are crucial for the UK economy, we would like the Chancellor to consider tax incentives and streamline regulations that promote innovation.”

We are still not seeing the return of international buyers who were ever present in the years before Brexit

– Dominic Agace, Chief Executive of Winkworth

What measures could the Chancellor announce in a Spring Forecast Statement that would bolster the property market? “A full-scale replacement for the Help to Buy scheme to ensure there is demand for developers to build the right properties for first time buyers and to help FTBs get on the housing ladder.   This would support developers to help meet their house building targets – and those set by the Government.  The Government needs to tackle stamp duty if they want to make it easier to move and have the economic benefits of a more fluid housing market. This has been  proven every time there is a tweak to stamp duty – most recently by the rush driven by the March 31st deadline.”

Which policies could (or already are) doing most damage to the high-value residential property sector? “From a London perspective,  we are still not seeing the return of international buyers who were ever present in the years before Brexit.  This reflects the fact that so far Labour hasn’t boosted the demand from the international community to live and work in London.   The growth narrative from the Government has yet to be delivered.  The prevailing sentiment is concern about future taxation targeting high net worth individuals.  The Government needs to change the mood music. Reforming their own non-dom taxation initiative further would go some way towards that.  They also need to address inheritance tax changes. Non-doms who have built wealth overseas are now finding it will be caught up in UK taxation should they stay too long in the country.  The top of the market is struggling in the face of this.

“This seems to be more of a political stance, rather than one rooted in economics. These high net worth individuals are wealth generators. This is recognised by other countries such as Italy, which is actively pursuing them.  The UK, as a small nation without an abundance of natural resources, is at its best as an internationalist trading nation. To fulfill the role globally, it needs to look at changing its international perception. More effort is being made on the international stage and global relations.  However, policy needs to follow, and so removing barriers to  net worth individuals to live here would be a good starting point.”

Stamp duty has to be reformed

– Nick Austin, agent with RiverHomes in Putney, and Conservative councillor & housing spokesperson for Wandsworth council

What measures could the chancellor announce in a Spring Forecast Statement that would bolster the property market? “Stamp duty has to be reformed. Boomers are staying in homes that are far too large for them because they can’t afford the stamp duty that they’d invariably have to pay to downsize.  They’re not moving down the property ladder which means that families can’t move up the ladder.  First time buyers can’t enter the market because the whole market is log jammed.  We may be operating near or at the top of the market but the bottom of the market has to move to support the rest.

Which policies could (or already are) doing most damage to the high-value residential property sector? “Where do I start?  The tax relief reductions on buy-to-let, the doubling of council tax on second homes and the changes to non-dom status are all leading us to where we are now.  It’s a demand issue.  Almost every agent has a surplus of flats on their books they are struggling to shift.  The gulf between flat prices and house prices has never been wider and today’s headlines show that there have never been so many empty properties in London yet we have a housing shortage.  What’s more, agents rely on volume and it was typically apartment sales that we relied on to keep up the number of transactions.  Flat sales injected liquidity into the property market and without them, the whole property industry suffers.”

Any moderation of SDLT would be welcomed. However, neither moderate or substantial changes seem likely

– Simon Capp, Head of Residential Sales at British Land

“Stamp Duty (SDLT), alongside purchase and ownership costs, is front of mind for buyers when calculating the affordability of prospective purchases. SDLT is a substantial source of revenue for the Chancellor, but to maximise tax revenue the right balance needs to be struck to encourage a healthy rate of transactional activity. Essentially at what level will SDLT encourage buyers to buy and sellers to sell.

“With headwinds continuing in the market, namely elevated interest rates which are expected to track downwards slower than earlier predictions, buyers in the current climate are measured and methodical in their decision making. As an affordability barrier, any moderation of SDLT would be welcomed.  However, neither moderate or substantial changes seem likely. The UK residential market is remarkably robust, and so far, 2025 has demonstrated green shoots with increased new enquiries and strengthened appetite from buyers looking to make a property move by the end of the year.”

The biggest threats to the market have already hit, and are here to stay

– Ranjit Thaker, Founder of Thaker Acquisitions

Fears: “The biggest threats to the market have already hit, and are here to stay. The most realistic announcement that should come into force is an extension for First-time buyers to benefit from the current threshold of £425,000 before being liable for SDLT. Although this is more fruitful to the lower end of the market, it will create momentum and prevent subdued transaction volumes in the liquid core market from £500k – £3m in central London.

“Another way the chancellor could show some ingenuity would be to incentivise downsizers and homeowners looking to restore and refurbish unmodernised empty properties.  Domestic families looking to downsize hesitate due to the front-loaded buying costs, so by creating some downsizer relief this would naturally create more of a buying cycle and free up much-needed family homes. Currently, buyers brave enough looking to undergo extensive work have a VAT benefit of 5% on renovations for properties that have been empty for two years or more. Reducing this window to say 1 year would create impetus for end users to take on full projects in a market where turnkey stock is heavily undersupplied.”

Hopes: “The aftermath of the chancellor’s NonDom reform changes, specifically on the IHT 10-year tail, has caused the exodus of millionaires that has dominated headlines in 2025. NonDoms exposed to UK inheritance tax on their worldwide assets along with additional stamp duty surcharges have been the kiss of death in terms of sentiment. The biggest issue is some people may relocate but are not in a rush to sell their high-value assets and are opting to retain these homes in their portfolios, thus creating even more pent-up inventory. The total buying costs for an overseas buyer are now maxing out at 19% and with stock levels increasing, they are in the driver’s seat to sit back and be discerning.”

It is unlikely that the Chancellor will take pity on landlords

– Mark Harris, chief executive of mortgage broker SPF Private Clients

“The obvious choice perhaps for boosting transactions in the housing market is reform of stamp duty. The government is keen to support first-time buyers as demonstrated with the continuation of the albeit rebadged Mortgage Guarantee Scheme, so not extending the current stamp duty concession, which ends on 31 March, is a little surprising. Perhaps consideration of a revised scale for first-time buyers will be revisited and if it isn’t, then it should be.

“First-time buyers are strapped for cash and face a big enough struggle to pull together a deposit – shelling out thousands of pounds on stamp duty on top is a disincentive to buying. And if we don’t have enough first-time buyers, which are the lifeblood of the market, those transactions higher up the ladder which are dependent on having a first-time buyer at the bottom, won’t happen either.

“At the other end of the scale, an incentive – again, most likely stamp duty reform – for those seeking to downsize would be helpful. Many properties are under-occupied by older borrowers who want to downsize but face too many barriers to doing so. Scrapping stamp duty for this cohort may lead to more supply to the property market.

“Housebuilding is said to be very important for this government, as indeed it has been for every other. With the drive to build 1.5mn properties, perhaps a revised version of Help 2 Buy could be considered. While the scheme had its detractors, it did incentivise builders to build as well as offering assistance to borrowers so that they could obtain finance.

“While landlords may feel they have been politically targeted and financially beaten enough, it is unlikely that the Chancellor will take pity on them and reverse any recent moves. With Reeves caught in a sticky position, either having to cut back on spending or raise revenue, she may look at changes to capital gains tax. This was left unchanged in the Budget, despite fears that it could increase considerably on property sales. If noise is made around increases to CGT, this may encourage further amateur landlords to sell up.”

An extension of the enhanced SDLT thresholds would be beneficial

– Lisa Simon, Head of Residential, Carter Jonas

“An extension of the enhanced Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) thresholds would be beneficial as it supports first-time buyers and stimulates broader market activity. Furthermore, an in-depth review of SDLT is warranted. The current structure has significant jumps at higher property values, which can disproportionately affect the housing markets across different regions. In some areas, high-value properties represent a significant portion of the market. Adjusting the step changes in SDLT for these properties could enhance their appeal and help unlock movement in this segment of the market.

“Recent changes to non-domicile tax rules have created significant market uncertainty. Easing some of these rules may encourage greater overseas or international investment in the prime property sector.

“Additionally, an adjustment to Capital Gains Tax (CGT) could motivate homeowners to sell, thereby increasing market supply. Specific CGT relief for certain prime properties, such as those that have been recently renovated, could also be beneficial.”

The Chancellor needs to signal to international investors that the UK is still the right place for them to work, invest and ultimately pay tax

– Liam Monaghan, Managing Director of LCP Private Office

“Having spent the last few weeks travelling in Asia, it is apparent that the Chancellor needs to signal to international investors that the UK is still the right place for them to work, invest and ultimately pay tax. Once you encourage one individual, the rest will follow. If she continues to grab for higher percentage points on Income tax, SDLT, CGT and IH, it will further chase away HNW individuals from the UK, having the opposite effect. Something that could make or break their premiership.’’

What measures could the Chancellor announce in a Spring Forecast Statement that would bolster the property market?

  • “Tax reform – Reviewing the current systems for stamp duty, inheritance tax and CGT and ultimately reducing rates would help unlock the market, particularly for BTL investors who have faced an ever-growing number of challenges, regulations and increased financial responsibilities which have discouraged growth in this sector.
  • “Addressing issues in the Planning system – Simplifying and expediting the planning process to allow developers to bring new high-end residential projects to market more quickly, as well as introducing measures to encourage the construction of more high-end properties in PCL to meet demand, such as incentivising developers and relaxing certain building restrictions.
  • “Introducing measures to help speed up the conveyancing process to increase transaction levels and generally improve the efficiency of the market. Measures might include enhanced digitalisation and automation of the system, streamlining the local authority search process, encouraging the use of technology more in the legal sector and even setting a transaction deadline policy.
  • “Measures to promote domestic investment – such as tax incentives, or a government led scheme akin to Help to Buy but for luxury property, to attract more domestic high-net-worth individuals to buy in Central London.”

Which policies could (or already are) doing most damage to the high-value residential property sector?

  • “Increased stamp duty rates, particularly for properties over £1.5 million, have pushed up transaction costs significantly, discouraging both domestic and international buyers from entering the market or making multiple transactions. The 2% surcharge for non-UK residents has had significant impact in reducing the attractiveness of the PCL market and deterring foreign investment. It has also created the perception that the UK is becoming less welcoming to international investors, driving them to look to other more advantageous jurisdictions for investment opportunities.
  • “Reduced tax relief on mortgage interest payments for buy-to-let landlords and the additional stamp duty surcharge on second homes have significantly negatively affected the rental and investment markets in PCL, disincentivising new investors from entering the market and leading many historic landlords to sell up. This in turn only negatively impacts the rental market from a tenant perspective, as a reduction in stock leads to higher rents, limited choice and high competition amongst renters.”

The time approaching every budget is full of uncertainty and sometimes anxiety

– Claire Whisker, founder of property advisor platform First In The Door

“The time approaching every budget is full of uncertainty and sometimes anxiety. There are often rumours of what may or may not happen, as regards property, most of which doesn’t happen. This year the fear is more tax aimed at either property directly through the recently mentioned wealth tax, or more tax or costs associated with the transitional costs of moving. For a lot of people in the higher price bands the escalating stamp duty table means 19% additional cost on top of the purchase price, and that is before lawyers fees, agents fees, removal costs etc.. Any change that adds more burden to the cost of moving we think will be detrimental to all levels of the market.

“In terms of hope – we always hope for the aforementioned to be reversed, so that the market starts to flow again, but this current government may not see the long term benefits of this policy in terms of the extra revenues generated by allowing people to buy and sell more freely.”

The reality is that without bold action, the market will continue to stagnate

– Alex Macaulay, MD at property developer Kinland

“The property market has long been held back by the same structural issues, yet little has been done to address them. If the Chancellor is serious about revitalising the sector, Stamp Duty Land Tax reform must be a priority. It remains the biggest obstacle to a dynamic, fluid market—discouraging transactions and making high-value residential property less accessible. Equally, we need to reconsider how we treat international buyers. For too long, they’ve been pushed away by punitive surcharges and an increasingly hostile tax environment, which has significantly weakened demand in the prime sector.

“Inheritance tax is another antiquated regime that stifles long-term investment, adding unnecessary complexity to an already convoluted system. Instead of policies that encourage growth, we’ve seen layers of taxation that make the market less attractive to both domestic and international buyers. The reality is that without bold action—whether through tax simplification, incentives, or a more welcoming approach to global investment—the market will continue to stagnate. Unfortunately, history suggests that rather than meaningful reform, we are more likely to see minor tweaks at best, or further taxation at worst, as the government looks to fill its coffers rather than support the real estate sector.”

Restrictive rules still prevent many smaller housebuilders from accessing the loans they need

– Wayne Douglas, MD at City & Country

“The recent extension of the Home Building Fund for SMEs is a step in the right direction, but restrictive rules still prevent many smaller housebuilders from accessing the loans they need. This scheme alone isn’t enough. The Government must go further by offering zero or low-cost finance through Homes England, available to all SMEs, not just those rejected by commercial lenders.

“This could really level the playing field, taking away an unreasonable level of risk to make smaller, potentially more tricky schemes, like urban brownfield sites and empty retail spaces, into viable projects for smaller housebuilders, that would never be of interest to the largest players.

“Without suitable finance support from the Government, these sites will remain untouched, and the Government’s 1.5 million homes target will be out of reach.”

Clarity is required on key tax policies, including non-domicile status, Inheritance Tax, and Capital Gains Tax

– Marco Previero, Co-Founder and Head of Research at R3Location

“The government should prioritise policies that lower transaction costs to encourage investment and stability. While we do not expect this to happen, a clear commitment to reforming Stamp Duty Land Tax, for example, particularly by reducing rates for prime and super-prime properties, would provide much-needed stimulus to a market that has stagnated over the past year.

“Clarity is also required on key tax policies, including non-domicile status, Inheritance Tax, and Capital Gains Tax (CGT), especially considering last year’s budget uncertainty and policy reversals. Potential tax hikes on high-value properties, such as increased annual property taxes are a concern, but unlikely to happen this spring – the same may not hold true for higher CGT rates. I fear that the Chancellor may attempt to rebalance the current political narrative surrounding benefit reform by shifting focus onto wealthier property owners, but I hope this is not the case.

“What’s more, any adverse changes to non-domicile tax rules would only heighten uncertainty, further weakening an already fragile prime property market.”

 

Prime country house buyers are just starting to get used to a degree of what feels like relative stability, not more uncertainty

– Ross D’Aniello, Co-Founder of Midlands-based estate agency Chartwell Noble

“With the Chancellor’s Spring Forecast looming, buyers and sellers in the prime country house market across central England, the Cotswolds, are just starting to get used to a degree of what feels like relative stability, not more uncertainty.

“At Chartwell Noble, we see first-hand how uncertainty can have a detrimental impact on confidence and how tweaks to tax policy can shape sentiment.  If Rachel Reeves wants to bolster the market, Stamp Duty reform for downsizers would be the single most effective move. The current structure stifles transactions at the top end, particularly for downsizers who could free up supply. A targeted SDLT reduction for those looking to downsize – or even a holiday – would inject much-needed confidence and be beneficial.

“What we fear most is a fresh assault on property wealth. Even talk of a ‘Mansion Tax’ or higher Capital Gains Tax on additional homes would discourage investment and stagnate the market. Rural estates and landowners are already feeling sore from the impact of recent changes to Inheritance Tax relief on agricultural and development land, making succession planning more complex and discouraging long-term investment. If the government tightens these rules further, it risks further undermining rural property values and land supply.

“Equally damaging would be more punitive levies on overseas buyers, which could deter demand for best-in-class properties. The prime property sector is a major driver of economic activity beyond just sales. More tax isn’t the answer, liquidity is. The Chancellor should focus on encouraging movement, not penalising those who want to transact.”

Changes to non-dom tax status are already having a detrimental impact on the prime property market

– Henry Lumby, Chief Commercial Officer at Auriens

What measures could the Chancellor announce in a Spring Forecast Statement that would bolster the property market? “One of the most effective ways to stimulate the prime property market would be to reform Stamp Duty. The current high rates of Stamp Duty have significantly contributed to stagnation in the London property market over the past decade, discouraging transactions and limiting real growth. A targeted reduction, particularly for those downsizing, would incentivise homeowners to move from properties they are under-occupying, freeing up larger properties and increasing overall market activity.”

Which policies could (or already are) doing most damage to the high-value residential property sector? “The proposed changes to non-dom tax status, coupled with the lack of detail since the Budget, are already having a detrimental impact on the prime property market. The uncertainty surrounding these changes has deterred international buyers, leading to lower transaction volumes and a slowdown in the prime London market. This hesitation is not only affecting property investment but also wider economic activity. The policy is counter to the Government’s stated aim of driving economic growth and is ultimately reducing tax revenues, with HMRC already seeing a decline in Stamp Duty receipts.”

 

While a cut to SDLT across the board is highly unlikely, it would significantly stimulate market activity

– Peter Greatorex, Managing Director, Peter Greatorex Unique Homes

“As with any fiscal forecast, there is always an opportunity to support the prime property market by reassessing Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT). While a cut to SDLT across the board is highly unlikely, it would significantly stimulate market activity, benefiting both buyers and sellers by reducing the upfront tax burden and improving market fluidity. Additionally, the recent increase in SDLT for additional properties from 3% to 5% is already deterring investment in the rental sector, exacerbating supply shortages and driving up rents. A more balanced approach would encourage investment, supporting both the sales and lettings markets. Furthermore, targeted incentives for urban property development, particularly in historic cities like Bath, would provide a further boost by supporting the refurbishment of existing buildings and the construction of high-quality apartments to meet growing demand while preserving architectural heritage.

“Most damaging would be further increases in SDLT for high-value properties, which would dampen market activity and potentially lead to reduced transactions and stagnation in the sector. The super-prime market has already seen price corrections, and additional tax burdens would only accelerate this trend. Moreover, recent changes to taxation for non-domiciled residents risk discouraging international investors who have long played a crucial role in the UK’s luxury property sector. While ensuring fairness in taxation is important, maintaining policies that attract global investment is essential to sustaining the health of the prime residential market.”